WON Case WON Racing Club W 2-0 Huracan W
Fixture Case File · Ref V
R

Racing Club W

Home Side
D W W W W
7W 2D 1L → Holding Steady
VS
2-0
7:00 pm
Predio Tita Mattiussi (Sarandí)
H
Huracan W
Away Side
L L D D D
2W 5D 3L → Holding Steady
MODERATE
62%
Saturday, 4th July 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Racing Club W to win
Racing Club W 60%
Draw 20%
Huracan W 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob84%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-22%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBR<<<<<<C<<<<W<<<<<<<<<H<<<<<<<W<<<<<<<<1ABA110854DFB2607042M2607049<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 6 Jul 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Racing Club W to win
1.19
Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No65%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Racing Club W vs Huracan W Competition: Argentina Primera Women Date: Saturday, 4th July 2026 KO: 7:00 pm Pick: 1 (Racing Club W to win) Odds: 1.19 Confidence: 62% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: BTTS — No (65%) Ledger Ref: 1ABA11085
Head to Head
Record
4
Racing Club W
3
Draws
0
Huracan W
7
Meetings
2.3
Avg Goals
43%
BTTS
29%
Over 2.5
Neutral Racing Club W won 4 of the last 7 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Racing Club W
Metric
Huracan W
2
Goals For / Game
0.4
0.7
Goals Against / Game
0.8
50%
Clean Sheets
50%
7-2-1
W — D — L
2-5-3
Win Rate
70%
20%
2
Avg Goals
50%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
R0
0-0 14.2%
0-1 7.8%
0-2 2.2%
0-3 0.4%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
R1
1-0 19.9%
1-1 11.0%
1-2 3.0%
1-3 0.6%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
R2
2-0 13.9%
2-1 7.7%
2-2 2.1%
2-3 0.4%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
R3
3-0 6.5%
3-1 3.6%
3-2 1.0%
3-3 0.2%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
R4
4-0 2.3%
4-1 1.3%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
R5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(19.9%) 2-0(13.9%) 2-1(7.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing R=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Racing Club W Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Huracan W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Racing Club W
Overall
7.6
Scoring
6.7
Defence
7.7
Huracan W
Overall
3.5
Scoring
1.3
Defence
7.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 36%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 18%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 17%
Home Win & Under 2.5 39%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 20%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
19.07.25CF
Huracan1
Racing Club1
25.05.25PA
Racing Club2
Huracan2
13.09.24PA
Racing Club5
Huracan1
27.04.24PA
Huracan0
Racing Club1
09.09.23PA
Huracan0
Racing Club1
11.05.23PA
Huracan0
Racing Club2
08.08.22PA
Racing Club0
Huracan0
Recent Form
Racing Club W
26.06.26PA
Belgrano0
Racing Club0
D
21.06.26PA
Racing Club3
River Plate1
W
15.06.26PA
Banfield0
Racing Club4
W
23.05.26PA
Racing Club4
Gimnasia L.P.1
W
15.05.26PA
Newells Old Boys0
Racing Club1
W
08.05.26PA
Racing Club1
Social Atletico Television2
L
03.05.26PA
Racing Club1
San Lorenzo0
W
27.04.26PA
Talleres Cordoba1
Racing Club1
D
29.03.26PA
Racing Club2
Ferro0
W
20.03.26PA
Boca Juniors2
Racing Club3
W
Huracan W
29.06.26PA
Huracan0
San Lorenzo1
L
22.06.26PA
Talleres Cordoba4
Huracan0
L
15.06.26PA
Huracan0
Ferro0
D
25.05.26PA
Boca Juniors0
Huracan0
D
15.05.26PA
Huracan0
Lanus0
D
10.05.26PA
San Luis1
Huracan1
D
03.05.26PA
Huracan1
Union de Santa Fe0
W
26.04.26PA
Independiente0
Huracan1
W
29.03.26PA
Social Atletico Television1
Huracan1
D
20.03.26PA
Huracan0
Belgrano1
L
Racing Club W (Home)
21.06.26PA
Racing Club3
River Plate1
W
23.05.26PA
Racing Club4
Gimnasia L.P.1
W
08.05.26PA
Racing Club1
Social Atletico Television2
L
03.05.26PA
Racing Club1
San Lorenzo0
W
29.03.26PA
Racing Club2
Ferro0
W
15.03.26PA
Racing Club6
Lanus0
W
11.12.25PA
Racing Club1
Belgrano0
W
23.11.25PA
Racing Club2
Boca Juniors0
W
10.11.25PA
Racing Club1
Newells Old Boys0
W
12.09.25PA
Racing Club2
Gimnasia L.P.1
W
Huracan W (Away)
22.06.26PA
Talleres Cordoba4
Huracan0
L
25.05.26PA
Boca Juniors0
Huracan0
D
10.05.26PA
San Luis1
Huracan1
D
26.04.26PA
Independiente0
Huracan1
W
29.03.26PA
Social Atletico Television1
Huracan1
D
15.03.26PA
River Plate3
Huracan1
L
27.09.25PA
Social Atletico Television1
Huracan0
L
18.09.25PA
Belgrano4
Huracan0
L
08.09.25PA
Newells Old Boys2
Huracan0
L
24.08.25PA
Independiente1
Huracan1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 4th July 2026, Racing Club W host Huracan W at Predio Tita Mattiussi (Sarandí) in Argentina Primera Women. Our analysis desk recommends Racing Club W to win as the standout selection.

Racing Club W arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Huracan W are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 5D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Racing Club W, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Huracan W's 0, with 3 draws from 7 encounters. Both teams have scored in 43% of those meetings.

Our verdict: racing club w to win at odds of 1.19 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Argentina Primera Women fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at Predio Tita Mattiussi (Sarandí), and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 3 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 1 at @1.19, a call the model rates at roughly 60,20,20%. Things get underway at 7:00 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

 

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 6 Jul 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Racing Club W vs Huracan W?
Our selection is 1 — Racing Club W to win, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Racing Club W's current form?
Racing Club W have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Huracan W been performing recently?
Huracan W have recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Racing Club W lead with 4 wins versus Huracan W's 0, with 3 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 43%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. DailyForebet provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Betting carries risk: debt, isolation, dependency. Predictions are for entertainment and informational purposes only, not financial advice.