LOST Case LOST Sandur 2-2 HB Torshavn 2
Fixture Case File · Ref V
S

Sandur

Home Side
W W W W W
9W 1D 0L ▲ Trending Up
VS
2-2
1:00 pm
N/A
H
HB Torshavn 2
Away Side
L W L W D
4W 2D 4L ▲ Trending Up
CASE VERIFIED
74%
Saturday, 4th July 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Sandur to win
Sandur 60%
Draw 20%
HB Torshavn 2 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob78.7%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-4.7%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBS<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<HB<T<<<<<<<<2<<<<CACDFB1D34DFB2607042M2607049<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 6 Jul 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
8
Sandur
1
Draws
1
HB Torshavn 2
10
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Sandur won 8 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Sandur
Metric
HB Torshavn 2
3
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
9-1-0
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
90%
40%
3
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
S0
0-0 5.2%
0-1 5.0%
0-2 2.4%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 10.5%
1-1 9.9%
1-2 4.7%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
S2
2-0 10.5%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
S3
3-0 7.0%
3-1 6.6%
3-2 3.2%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 3.5%
4-1 3.3%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 1.4%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(10.5%) 2-0(10.5%) 2-1(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing S=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Sandur Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
HB Torshavn 2 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Sandur
Overall
9.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
7.7
HB Torshavn 2
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.0
Defence
6.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 31%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 34%
Home Win & Under 2.5 28%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
19.04.26DEI
HB Torshavn 21
Sandur2
19.10.24DEI
Sandur7
HB Torshavn 20
25.08.24DEI
Sandur3
HB Torshavn 20
15.03.24DEI
HB Torshavn 20
Sandur1
07.10.23DEI
HB Torshavn 20
Sandur3
03.10.23DEI
Sandur4
HB Torshavn 21
29.04.23DEI
Sandur1
HB Torshavn 21
03.09.22DEI
Sandur4
HB Torshavn 20
13.08.22DEI
HB Torshavn 22
Sandur1
23.04.22DEI
Sandur2
HB Torshavn 20
Recent Form
Sandur
28.06.26DEI
TB Tvoroyri1
Sandur6
W
20.06.26DEI
B36 Torshavn 21
Sandur2
W
12.06.26DEI
Sandur5
Vikingur 20
W
30.05.26DEI
IF Fuglafjordur1
Sandur2
W
25.05.26DEI
Sandur1
FC Suduroy0
W
18.05.26DEI
Sandur5
Hoyvik1
W
09.05.26DEI
IF Fuglafjordur2
Sandur2
D
02.05.26DEI
Sandur4
TB Tvoroyri0
W
25.04.26DEI
NSI Runavik 20
Sandur1
W
19.04.26DEI
HB Torshavn 21
Sandur2
W
HB Torshavn 2
27.06.26DEI
Vikingur 23
HB Torshavn 21
L
24.06.26DEI
TB Tvoroyri1
HB Torshavn 22
W
20.06.26DEI
HB Torshavn 20
Hoyvik1
L
13.06.26DEI
HB Torshavn 22
FC Suduroy0
W
29.05.26DEI
Streymur 21
HB Torshavn 21
D
23.05.26DEI
HB Torshavn 21
IF Fuglafjordur1
D
16.05.26DEI
NSI Runavik 22
HB Torshavn 20
L
09.05.26DEI
HB Torshavn 20
Vikingur 21
L
02.05.26DEI
Streymur 20
HB Torshavn 21
W
25.04.26DEI
Hoyvik0
HB Torshavn 24
W
Sandur (Home)
12.06.26DEI
Sandur5
Vikingur 20
W
25.05.26DEI
Sandur1
FC Suduroy0
W
18.05.26DEI
Sandur5
Hoyvik1
W
02.05.26DEI
Sandur4
TB Tvoroyri0
W
11.04.26DEI
Sandur5
Hoyvik2
W
04.04.26DEI
Sandur3
Streymur 21
W
07.03.26DEI
Sandur1
FC Suduroy2
L
25.10.25DEI
Sandur3
IF Fuglafjordur0
W
27.09.25DEI
Sandur7
07 Vestur Sorvagur 21
W
20.09.25DEI
Sandur2
Klaksvik 21
W
HB Torshavn 2 (Away)
27.06.26DEI
Vikingur 23
HB Torshavn 21
L
24.06.26DEI
TB Tvoroyri1
HB Torshavn 22
W
29.05.26DEI
Streymur 21
HB Torshavn 21
D
16.05.26DEI
NSI Runavik 22
HB Torshavn 20
L
02.05.26DEI
Streymur 20
HB Torshavn 21
W
25.04.26DEI
Hoyvik0
HB Torshavn 24
W
11.04.26DEI
FC Suduroy2
HB Torshavn 21
L
07.03.26DEI
IF Fuglafjordur4
HB Torshavn 20
L
19.10.24DEI
Sandur7
HB Torshavn 20
L
06.10.24DEI
Klaksvik 24
HB Torshavn 21
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 4th July 2026, Sandur host HB Torshavn 2 at N/A in Faroe Islands 1. Deild. Our analysis desk recommends Sandur to win as the standout selection.

Sandur arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

HB Torshavn 2 are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Sandur, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to HB Torshavn 2's 1, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: sandur to win at odds of 1.27 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Faroe Islands 1. Deild fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 5 wins from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at N/A, and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 1 at @1.27, a call the model rates at roughly 60,20,20%. Things get underway at 1:00 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

 

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 6 Jul 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Sandur vs HB Torshavn 2?
Our selection is 1 — Sandur to win, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 74%.
What is Sandur's current form?
Sandur have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has HB Torshavn 2 been performing recently?
HB Torshavn 2 have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Sandur lead with 8 wins versus HB Torshavn 2's 1, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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