WON Case WON Khimik 4-1 Ural 2
Fixture Case File ยท Ref V โšฝ
K

Khimik

Home Side
W W W W D
9W 1D 0L โ–ฒ Trending Up
VS
4-1
4:00 pm
N/A
U
Ural 2
Away Side
D L W W W
3W 3D 4L โ–ผ Trending Down
โš‘
CASE VERIFIED
68%
Wednesday, 7th January 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Khimik to win
Khimik 50%
Draw 30%
Ural 2 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob74.1%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-6.1%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBK<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<U<<<<2<<<<<<<<<<<B0F416D8B4DFB2601072M2601079<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst ยท Last checked 2 Jul 2026
โœ“ Data-Audited โœ“ Independently Checked
โšก
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 โ€” Khimik to win
1.35
Over 1.5 Goals90%
๐Ÿ“‹ Case Slip / Combo Builder
Khimik vs Ural 2 Competition: Russia FNL 2 - Div B Date: Wednesday, 7th January 2026 KO: 4:00 pm Pick: 1 (Khimik to win) Odds: 1.35 Confidence: 68% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Ledger Ref: B0F416D8B
โš”
Head to Head
Record
3
Khimik
0
Draws
0
Ural 2
3
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Khimik won 3 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).
๐Ÿ“Š
Stats Duel
Comparison
Khimik
Metric
Ural 2
2.6
Goals For / Game
1.8
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.8
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
9-1-0
W โ€” D โ€” L
3-3-4
Win Rate
90%
30%
3.4
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
๐ŸŽฏ
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
U0
U1
U2
U3
U4
U5
K0
0-0 3.3%
0-1 4.0%
0-2 2.4%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
K1
1-0 7.3%
1-1 8.8%
1-2 5.3%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.2%
K2
2-0 8.1%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 5.8%
2-3 2.3%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
K3
3-0 5.9%
3-1 7.1%
3-2 4.3%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
K4
4-0 3.3%
4-1 3.9%
4-2 2.4%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
K5
5-0 1.4%
5-1 1.7%
5-2 1.0%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.7%) 2-0(8.1%) 1-0(7.3%)
โ–  Best match โ–  Possible โ–  Low ยท โ–  Contradicts filing K=Home goals โ†“   U=Away โ†’
๐Ÿ“‰
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Khimik Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Ural 2 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
๐Ÿ“ˆ
Team Ratings
Grades
Khimik
Overall
9.3 โ–ฒ
Scoring
8.7 โ–ฒ
Defence
8.0 โ–ฒ
Ural 2
Overall
3.9 โ–ผ
Scoring
6.0 โ–ผ
Defence
4.0 โ–ผ
๐Ÿ”€
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 38%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 38%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 13%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
๐Ÿงฎ
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ€”
Kelly %
โ€”
Stake
โ€”
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
๐Ÿ”Ž How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter โ€” a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee โ€” it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

๐Ÿ“ Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds โ€” no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status โ€” nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
๐Ÿ“œ
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
29.04.26FNL2B
Ural 21
Khimik3
31.08.25FNL2B
Khimik2
Ural 20
25.05.25FNL2B
Ural 21
Khimik5
Recent Form
Khimik
28.06.26FNL2B
Chelyabinsk 20
Khimik3
W
21.06.26FNL2B
Krylya Sovetov Samara 20
Khimik2
W
14.06.26FNL2B
Khimik3
Izhevsk1
W
07.06.26FNL2B
Orenburg 21
Khimik2
W
30.05.26FNL2B
Khimik1
Rubin Kazan 21
D
24.05.26FNL2B
Nosta0
Khimik1
W
17.05.26FNL2B
Khimik4
Dynamo Barnaul1
W
10.05.26FNL2B
Akron Togliatti 21
Khimik5
W
03.05.26FNL2B
Khimik2
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod0
W
29.04.26FNL2B
Ural 21
Khimik3
W
Ural 2
28.06.26FNL2B
Ural 20
Izhevsk0
D
21.06.26FNL2B
KDV Tomsk4
Ural 21
L
14.06.26FNL2B
Ural 25
Orenburg 20
W
07.06.26FNL2B
Nosta0
Ural 22
W
30.05.26FNL2B
Ural 26
Dynamo Barnaul3
W
24.05.26FNL2B
Akron Togliatti 23
Ural 21
L
17.05.26FNL2B
Ural 20
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod3
L
10.05.26FNL2B
Ural 21
Krylya Sovetov Samara 21
D
03.05.26FNL2B
Chelyabinsk 21
Ural 21
D
29.04.26FNL2B
Ural 21
Khimik3
L
Khimik (Home)
14.06.26FNL2B
Khimik3
Izhevsk1
W
30.05.26FNL2B
Khimik1
Rubin Kazan 21
D
17.05.26FNL2B
Khimik4
Dynamo Barnaul1
W
03.05.26FNL2B
Khimik2
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod0
W
26.04.26FNL2B
Khimik4
Chelyabinsk 20
W
19.04.26FNL2B
Khimik2
Krylya Sovetov Samara 21
W
05.04.26FNL2B
Khimik2
KDV Tomsk3
L
16.03.26CF
Khimik3
Oryol2
W
12.10.25FNL2B
Khimik3
Volna Nizhegorodskaya0
W
28.09.25FNL2B
Khimik0
Orenburg 20
D
Ural 2 (Away)
21.06.26FNL2B
KDV Tomsk4
Ural 21
L
07.06.26FNL2B
Nosta0
Ural 22
W
24.05.26FNL2B
Akron Togliatti 23
Ural 21
L
03.05.26FNL2B
Chelyabinsk 21
Ural 21
D
26.04.26FNL2B
Izhevsk0
Ural 22
W
13.04.26FNL2B
Orenburg 22
Ural 22
D
19.10.25FNL2B
Chelyabinsk 20
Ural 20
D
05.10.25FNL2B
Amkar3
Ural 20
L
28.09.25FNL2B
Akron Togliatti 23
Ural 20
L
14.09.25FNL2B
Rubin Kazan 23
Ural 20
L
๐Ÿ“
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Wednesday, 7th January 2026, Khimik host Ural 2 at N/A in Russia FNL 2 - Div B. Our analysis desk recommends Khimik to win as the standout selection.

Khimik arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Ural 2 are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Khimik, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Ural 2's 0, with 0 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.

Our verdict: khimik to win at odds of 1.35 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin โ€” and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Russia FNL 2 – Div B fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at N/A, and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 1 at @1.35, a call the model rates at roughly 50,30,20%. Things get underway at 4:00 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today โ€” worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

 

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 2 Jul 2026
โ“
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Khimik vs Ural 2?
Our selection is 1 โ€” Khimik to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Khimik's current form?
Khimik have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ural 2 been performing recently?
Ural 2 have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Khimik lead with 3 wins versus Ural 2's 0, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
โš ๏ธ
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