WON Case WON Inter Turku 1-1 SJK
Fixture Case File · Ref V
I

Inter Turku

Home Side
D D W D W
7W 3D 0L → Holding Steady
VS
1-1
5:00 pm
Veritas Stadion (Turku)
S
SJK
Away Side
L W L L W
3W 2D 5L → Holding Steady
CASE VERIFIED
90%
Tuesday, 23rd June 2026 Case Verdict
1X
Filing on Inter Turku to win or draw
Implied Prob87.7%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge+2.3%Value detected
Kelly %18.6%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBI<<<<<T<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<SJK<<<<<<<<<<<<<<A6ED564A24DFB7001012M7001019<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 23 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1X — Inter Turku to win or draw
1.14
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Inter Turku vs SJK Competition: Finland Veikkausliiga Date: Tuesday, 23rd June 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: 1X (Inter Turku to win or draw) Odds: 1.14 Confidence: 90% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Ledger Ref: A6ED564A2
Head to Head
Record
5
Inter Turku
1
Draws
4
SJK
10
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Inter Turku
Metric
SJK
2.6
Goals For / Game
1.7
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.4
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
7-3-0
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
70%
30%
3.3
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
I0
0-0 3.7%
0-1 4.8%
0-2 3.1%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
I1
1-0 7.4%
1-1 9.6%
1-2 6.2%
1-3 2.7%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
I2
2-0 7.4%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
I3
3-0 4.9%
3-1 6.4%
3-2 4.2%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
I4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 3.2%
4-2 2.1%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
I5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(9.6%) 2-1(9.6%) 1-0(7.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing I=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Inter Turku
Overall
7.9
Scoring
8.7
Defence
7.0
SJK
Overall
3.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 39%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
10.06.26CUP
SJK1
Inter Turku2
16.05.26VEI
SJK1
Inter Turku3
30.10.25VEI
Inter Turku2
SJK2
27.09.25VEI
SJK2
Inter Turku1
27.07.25VEI
Inter Turku4
SJK1
25.05.25VEI
SJK0
Inter Turku1
15.03.25CF
SJK4
Inter Turku2
16.08.24VEI
Inter Turku3
SJK0
17.05.24VEI
SJK3
Inter Turku1
07.10.23VEI
Inter Turku1
SJK2
Recent Form
Inter Turku
17.06.26VEI
HJK3
Inter Turku3
D
13.06.26VEI
Inter Turku0
AC Oulu0
D
10.06.26CUP
SJK1
Inter Turku2
W
30.05.26VEI
KuPS1
Inter Turku1
D
26.05.26CUP
Inter Turku2
EBK1
W
23.05.26VEI
Inter Turku2
TPS1
W
20.05.26VEI
Ilves1
Inter Turku3
W
16.05.26VEI
SJK1
Inter Turku3
W
12.05.26CUP
Inter Turku8
Hercules0
W
09.05.26VEI
Inter Turku2
Jaro0
W
SJK
17.06.26VEI
SJK1
VPS2
L
13.06.26VEI
Lahti2
SJK3
W
10.06.26CUP
SJK1
Inter Turku2
L
30.05.26VEI
Gnistan3
SJK2
L
26.05.26CUP
SJK Akatemia0
SJK5
W
23.05.26VEI
SJK0
AC Oulu1
L
16.05.26VEI
SJK1
Inter Turku3
L
12.05.26CUP
SJK3
PEPO0
W
08.05.26VEI
KuPS0
SJK0
D
02.05.26VEI
SJK1
Ilves1
D
Inter Turku (Home)
13.06.26VEI
Inter Turku0
AC Oulu0
D
26.05.26CUP
Inter Turku2
EBK1
W
23.05.26VEI
Inter Turku2
TPS1
W
12.05.26CUP
Inter Turku8
Hercules0
W
09.05.26VEI
Inter Turku2
Jaro0
W
29.04.26VEI
Inter Turku1
HJK1
D
25.04.26VEI
Inter Turku1
Mariehamn0
W
11.04.26VEI
Inter Turku2
Ilves1
W
04.04.26VEI
Inter Turku0
VPS0
D
21.03.26LC
Inter Turku2
AC Oulu1
W
SJK (Away)
13.06.26VEI
Lahti2
SJK3
W
30.05.26VEI
Gnistan3
SJK2
L
26.05.26CUP
SJK Akatemia0
SJK5
W
08.05.26VEI
KuPS0
SJK0
D
28.04.26CUP
VPS 21
SJK6
W
18.04.26VEI
TPS2
SJK0
L
14.04.26CUP
HAPK1
SJK6
W
04.04.26VEI
HJK3
SJK0
L
21.03.26CF
HJK1
SJK0
L
14.03.26CF
Gnistan1
SJK3
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Tuesday, 23rd June 2026, Inter Turku host SJK at Veritas Stadion (Turku) in Finland Veikkausliiga. Our analysis desk recommends Inter Turku to win or draw as the standout selection.

Inter Turku arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

SJK are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Inter Turku, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to SJK's 4, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: inter turku to win or draw at odds of 1.14 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Finland Veikkausliiga fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 2 wins, 3 draws from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at Veritas Stadion (Turku), and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 1X at @1.14, a call the model rates at roughly 90%. Things get underway at 5:00 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

 

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 23 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Inter Turku vs SJK?
Our selection is 1X — Inter Turku to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.14. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Inter Turku's current form?
Inter Turku have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has SJK been performing recently?
SJK have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Inter Turku lead with 5 wins versus SJK's 4, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
⚠️
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