WON Case WON Stofors 1-3 Skelleftea
Fixture Case File · Ref V
S

Stofors

Home Side
D W L L L
1W 3D 6L → Holding Steady
VS
1-3
S
Skelleftea
Away Side
W L D W W
5W 3D 2L ▼ Trending Down
CASE VERIFIED
72%
Wednesday, 3rd June 2026 Case Verdict
Over 2.5
Filing on over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob73.5%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-1.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBS<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<S<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<5A1E5436D4DFB2609202M2609209<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 4 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.36
Under 2.5 Goals75% BTTS — No80%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Stofors vs Skelleftea Competition: Sweden Div 2 Norrland Date: Wednesday, 3rd June 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.36 Confidence: 72% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: BTTS — No (80%) Ledger Ref: 5A1E5436D
Head to Head
Record
0
Stofors
2
Draws
5
Skelleftea
7
Meetings
4.6
Avg Goals
71%
BTTS
86%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Over 2.5 in 86% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Stofors
Metric
Skelleftea
0
Goals For / Game
1.7
0
Goals Against / Game
1.3
0%
Clean Sheets
50%
1-3-6
W — D — L
5-3-2
Win Rate
10%
50%
1.5
Avg Goals
35%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
S0
0-0 22.3%
0-1 19.0%
0-2 8.1%
0-3 2.3%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
S1
1-0 14.5%
1-1 12.3%
1-2 5.2%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
S2
2-0 4.7%
2-1 4.0%
2-2 1.7%
2-3 0.5%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
S3
3-0 1.0%
3-1 0.9%
3-2 0.4%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-0(22.3%) 0-1(19.0%) 1-0(14.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing S=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Stofors
Overall
1.9
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
Skelleftea
Overall
5.9
Scoring
5.7
Defence
5.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 2%
Home Win & BTTS No 9%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 26%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 45%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 3%
Home Win & Under 2.5 8%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 25%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 42%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
25.04.26DIV
Skelleftea2
Storfors2
17.08.23DIV
Skelleftea4
Storfors0
22.04.23DIV
Storfors2
Skelleftea4
01.08.22DIV
Storfors1
Skelleftea4
02.04.22DIV
Skelleftea5
Storfors1
08.09.21DIV
Storfors0
Skelleftea2
09.06.21DIV
Skelleftea2
Storfors3
Recent Form
Stofors
23.05.26DIV
Storfors3
Umea FC Akademi3
D
17.05.26DIV
Storfors3
IFK Umea1
W
10.05.26DIV
Taftea IK6
Storfors1
L
06.05.26DIV
Storfors1
IFK Lulea5
L
01.05.26DIV
Boden2
Storfors0
L
25.04.26DIV
Skelleftea2
Storfors2
D
11.04.26DIV
Umea FC Akademi2
Storfors1
L
22.10.23DIV
Ytterhogdal11
Storfors3
L
14.10.23DIV
Storfors3
Algarna-Harnosand3
D
08.10.23DIV
Umea FF7
Storfors1
L
Skelleftea
30.05.26DIV
Skelleftea1
Taftea IK0
W
16.05.26DIV
Skelleftea2
IFK Lulea3
L
10.05.26DIV
Umea FC Akademi1
Skelleftea1
D
06.05.26DIV
Skelleftea2
Boden0
W
02.05.26DIV
IFK Umea0
Skelleftea5
W
25.04.26DIV
Skelleftea2
Storfors2
D
19.04.26DIV
Taftea IK0
Skelleftea1
W
28.02.26CF
Umea FC5
Skelleftea0
L
15.02.26CF
Pitea2
Skelleftea3
W
18.10.25DIV
Skelleftea0
Kubikenborgs0
D
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Wednesday, 3rd June 2026, Stofors host Skelleftea in Sweden Div 2 Norrland. Our analysis desk recommends over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Stofors arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Skelleftea are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 3D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Stofors, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Skelleftea's 5, with 2 draws from 7 encounters. Both teams have scored in 71% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.36 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Sweden Div 2 Norrland game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is Over 2.5, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.36. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 4 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Stofors vs Skelleftea?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 72%.
What is Stofors's current form?
Stofors have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Skelleftea been performing recently?
Skelleftea have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Stofors lead with 0 wins versus Skelleftea's 5, with 2 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 71%.
⚠️
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