WON Case WON Wurzburger Kickers 2-1 Lokomotive Leipzig
Fixture Case File · Ref V
W

Wurzburger Kickers

Home Side
W W W W W
9W 1D 0L ▲ Trending Up
VS
2-1
L
Lokomotive Leipzig
Away Side
L W D L W
4W 2D 4L ▲ Trending Up
CASE VERIFIED
90%
Monday, 1st June 2026 Case Verdict
1X
Filing on Wurzburger Kickers to win or draw
Implied Prob82.6%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge+7.4%Value detected
Kelly %42.4%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBW<<<<<<<<<<K<<<<<<<<<<L<<<<<<<<<<L<<<<<3178131A34DFB2609222M2609229<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 2 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
1
Wurzburger Kickers
0
Draws
0
Lokomotive Leipzig
1
Meetings
1
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Wurzburger Kickers
Metric
Lokomotive Leipzig
3.3
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.2
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
9-1-0
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
90%
40%
3.2
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
W0
0-0 4.3%
0-1 3.9%
0-2 1.7%
0-3 0.5%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
W1
1-0 9.6%
1-1 8.7%
1-2 3.9%
1-3 1.2%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
W2
2-0 10.9%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 4.4%
2-3 1.3%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
W3
3-0 8.1%
3-1 7.3%
3-2 3.3%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
W4
4-0 4.6%
4-1 4.1%
4-2 1.9%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
W5
5-0 2.1%
5-1 1.9%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-0(10.9%) 2-1(9.8%) 1-0(9.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing W=Home goals ↓   L=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Wurzburger Kickers
Overall
9.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
8.0
Lokomotive Leipzig
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.0
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 28%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 34%
Home Win & Under 2.5 28%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
28.05.26RL
Lokomotive Leipzig0
Wurzburger Kickers1
Recent Form
Wurzburger Kickers
28.05.26RL
Lokomotive Leipzig0
Wurzburger Kickers1
W
16.05.26RL
Ansbach1
Wurzburger Kickers4
W
09.05.26RL
Wurzburger Kickers4
Unterhaching0
W
01.05.26RL
Wurzburger Kickers4
Burghausen1
W
26.04.26RL
Furth II1
Wurzburger Kickers5
W
21.04.26RL
Wurzburger Kickers1
Bayreuth1
D
18.04.26RL
Memmingen1
Wurzburger Kickers5
W
10.04.26RL
Wurzburger Kickers2
Bayern II1
W
06.04.26RL
Schwaben Augsburg0
Wurzburger Kickers2
W
02.04.26RL
Wurzburger Kickers5
Hankofen-Hailing0
W
Lokomotive Leipzig
28.05.26RL
Lokomotive Leipzig0
Wurzburger Kickers1
L
16.05.26RL
Lokomotive Leipzig5
Magdeburg II2
W
10.05.26RL
Greifswald1
Lokomotive Leipzig1
D
02.05.26RL
Lokomotive Leipzig1
BFC Preussen3
L
24.04.26RL
BFC Dynamo0
Lokomotive Leipzig1
W
18.04.26RL
Lokomotive Leipzig0
Hallescher0
D
12.04.26RL
Chemie Leipzig1
Lokomotive Leipzig0
L
04.04.26RL
Lokomotive Leipzig2
Erfurt1
W
25.03.26RL
Lokomotive Leipzig0
Hertha Zehlendorf2
L
21.03.26RL
Babelsberg1
Lokomotive Leipzig2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Monday, 1st June 2026, Wurzburger Kickers host Lokomotive Leipzig in Ger. Regionalliga Playoffs. Our analysis desk recommends Wurzburger Kickers to win or draw as the standout selection.

Wurzburger Kickers arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Lokomotive Leipzig are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Wurzburger Kickers, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Lokomotive Leipzig's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: wurzburger kickers to win or draw at odds of 1.21 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Ger. Regionalliga Playoffs game is a perfect chance to do exactly that.

Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass. We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter.

Then we turn our attention to the away side. We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important.

Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage. Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1X, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.21.

Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over. The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 2 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Wurzburger Kickers vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
Our selection is 1X — Wurzburger Kickers to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Wurzburger Kickers's current form?
Wurzburger Kickers have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Lokomotive Leipzig been performing recently?
Lokomotive Leipzig have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Wurzburger Kickers lead with 1 wins versus Lokomotive Leipzig's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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