LOST Case LOST KoldingQ W 0-1 Fortuna Hjorring W
Fixture Case File · Ref V
K

KoldingQ W

Home Side
L L W L W
2W 1D 7L ▼ Trending Down
VS
0-1
F
Fortuna Hjorring W
Away Side
L W L L L
3W 0D 7L → Holding Steady
CASE VERIFIED
75%
Thursday, 28th May 2026 Case Verdict
Over 2.5
Filing on over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob64.5%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge+10.5%Value detected
Kelly %29.5%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBK<<<<<<Q<W<<<<<<<<<<<<F<<<<<<<H<<<<<<<<9E08672F54DFB2609202M2609209<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 28 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.55
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
KoldingQ W vs Fortuna Hjorring W Competition: Denmark A Liga Women Date: Thursday, 28th May 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.55 Confidence: 75% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Ledger Ref: 9E08672F5
Head to Head
Record
2
KoldingQ W
3
Draws
5
Fortuna Hjorring W
10
Meetings
3.1
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral Over 2.5 in 50% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
KoldingQ W
Metric
Fortuna Hjorring W
1
Goals For / Game
1
2.8
Goals Against / Game
1.7
10%
Clean Sheets
0%
2-1-7
W — D — L
3-0-7
Win Rate
20%
30%
3.3
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
K0
0-0 3.9%
0-1 7.4%
0-2 7.0%
0-3 4.4%
0-4 2.1%
0-5 0.8%
K1
1-0 5.2%
1-1 10.0%
1-2 9.5%
1-3 6.0%
1-4 2.8%
1-5 1.1%
K2
2-0 3.5%
2-1 6.7%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 4.0%
2-4 1.9%
2-5 0.7%
K3
3-0 1.6%
3-1 3.0%
3-2 2.9%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.3%
K4
4-0 0.5%
4-1 1.0%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
K5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(10.0%) 1-2(9.5%) 0-1(7.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing K=Home goals ↓   F=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
KoldingQ W
Overall
2.3
Scoring
3.3
Defence
0.7
Fortuna Hjorring W
Overall
3.0
Scoring
3.3
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 9%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 41%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
05.04.26AL
Fortuna Hjorring W1
KoldingQ2
03.10.25AL
KoldingQ W1
Fortuna Hjorring6
14.09.25AL
Fortuna Hjorring W1
KoldingQ1
10.11.24AL
KoldingQ W2
Fortuna Hjorring5
01.09.24AL
Fortuna Hjorring W4
KoldingQ1
12.05.24AL
Fortuna Hjorring W1
KoldingQ0
21.04.24AL
KoldingQ W1
Fortuna Hjorring1
06.11.23AL
KoldingQ W0
Fortuna Hjorring0
09.09.23AL
Fortuna Hjorring W0
KoldingQ1
21.05.23AL
KoldingQ W0
Fortuna Hjorring3
Recent Form
KoldingQ W
22.05.26AL
Brondby W3
KoldingQ W2
L
10.05.26AL
KoldingQ W1
Nordsjaelland W5
L
05.05.26AL
Aarhus W1
KoldingQ W2
W
24.04.26AL
KoldingQ W0
Koge W2
L
05.04.26AL
Fortuna Hjorring W1
KoldingQ W2
W
02.04.26CUP
KoldingQ W2
Nordsjaelland W3
L
29.03.26AL
KoldingQ W0
Brondby W3
L
25.03.26CUP
Nordsjaelland W6
KoldingQ W0
L
21.03.26AL
Nordsjaelland W4
KoldingQ W1
L
17.03.26AL
KoldingQ W0
Aarhus W0
D
Fortuna Hjorring W
23.05.26AL
Koge W1
Fortuna Hjorring W0
L
09.05.26AL
Fortuna Hjorring W2
Aarhus W1
W
03.05.26AL
Brondby W2
Fortuna Hjorring W0
L
25.04.26AL
Nordsjaelland W2
Fortuna Hjorring W0
L
05.04.26AL
Fortuna Hjorring W1
KoldingQ W2
L
28.03.26AL
Fortuna Hjorring W1
Koge W2
L
24.03.26AL
Aarhus W1
Fortuna Hjorring W2
W
15.03.26AL
Fortuna Hjorring W1
Brondby W2
L
07.03.26CF
Valerenga W3
Fortuna Hjorring W1
L
22.11.25AL
Fortuna Hjorring W2
Koge W1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Thursday, 28th May 2026, KoldingQ W host Fortuna Hjorring W in Denmark A Liga Women. Our analysis desk recommends over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

KoldingQ W arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Fortuna Hjorring W are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 0D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour KoldingQ W, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Fortuna Hjorring W's 5, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.55 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Denmark A Liga Women game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is Over 2.5, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.55. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 28 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for KoldingQ W vs Fortuna Hjorring W?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.55. Tip confidence rating: 75%.
What is KoldingQ W's current form?
KoldingQ W have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.
How has Fortuna Hjorring W been performing recently?
Fortuna Hjorring W have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
KoldingQ W lead with 2 wins versus Fortuna Hjorring W's 5, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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