WON Case WON Haka 1-1 Klubi 04
Fixture Case File · Ref V
H

Haka

Home Side
W W L W D
6W 3D 1L ▼ Trending Down
VS
1-1
K
Klubi 04
Away Side
D D L L L
1W 3D 6L ▲ Trending Up
CASE VERIFIED
90%
Monday, 18th May 2026 Case Verdict
1X
Filing on Haka to win or draw
Implied Prob90.1%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-0.1%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBH<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<K<<<<<04<<<<<<<<<E3558BEBB4DFB2609102M2609109<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 19 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1X — Haka to win or draw
1.11
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Haka vs Klubi 04 Competition: Finland Ykkosliiga Date: Monday, 18th May 2026 Pick: 1X (Haka to win or draw) Odds: 1.11 Confidence: 90% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Ledger Ref: E3558BEBB
Head to Head
Record
4
Haka
3
Draws
0
Klubi 04
7
Meetings
4.3
Avg Goals
71%
BTTS
57%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Haka
Metric
Klubi 04
2.9
Goals For / Game
1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.8
50%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-3-1
W — D — L
1-3-6
Win Rate
60%
10%
3.3
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
H0
0-0 3.9%
0-1 3.5%
0-2 1.6%
0-3 0.5%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
H1
1-0 9.1%
1-1 8.2%
1-2 3.7%
1-3 1.1%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.0%
H2
2-0 10.7%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 4.3%
2-3 1.3%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
H3
3-0 8.4%
3-1 7.6%
3-2 3.4%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
H4
4-0 4.9%
4-1 4.4%
4-2 2.0%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
H5
5-0 2.3%
5-1 2.1%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-0(10.7%) 2-1(9.6%) 1-0(9.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing H=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Haka
Overall
6.9
Scoring
9.7
Defence
7.3
Klubi 04
Overall
1.9
Scoring
3.3
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Home Win & BTTS No 27%
Draw & BTTS Yes 17%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 39%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 20%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 4%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
15.03.25CF
Haka0
Klubi 040
24.04.21CF
Haka1
Klubi 041
12.04.19CF
Haka4
Klubi 043
20.10.18YKS
Haka5
Klubi 040
12.08.18YKS
Klubi 041
Haka1
14.06.18YKS
Haka4
Klubi 043
19.03.14CUP
Klubi 043
Haka4
Recent Form
Haka
13.05.26CUP
EPS0
Haka4
W
08.05.26YKS
Haka4
Ekenas3
W
02.05.26YKS
Mikkeli1
Haka0
L
29.04.26CUP
EIF Academy0
Haka7
W
25.04.26YKS
Haka2
KaPa2
D
21.04.26YKS
Haka5
JaPS0
W
17.04.26CUP
Lasten0
Haka3
W
11.04.26YKS
PK-350
Haka0
D
27.03.26CF
VPS1
Haka1
D
22.03.26CF
Haka3
TPV1
W
Klubi 04
09.05.26YKS
Jippo1
Klubi 041
D
02.05.26YKS
Klubi 041
SJK Akatemia1
D
24.04.26YKS
Klubi 040
Mikkeli1
L
19.04.26YKS
Ekenas2
Klubi 041
L
10.04.26YKS
JaPS1
Klubi 040
L
06.04.26YKS
Klubi 041
KaPa2
L
20.03.26CF
Klubi 042
PK-352
D
14.03.26CF
Ekenas2
Klubi 043
W
07.03.26CF
Klubi 041
VJS2
L
28.02.26YKC
JaPS4
Klubi 040
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Monday, 18th May 2026, Haka host Klubi 04 in Finland Ykkosliiga. Our analysis desk recommends Haka to win or draw as the standout selection.

Haka arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Klubi 04 are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 3D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Haka, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Klubi 04's 0, with 3 draws from 7 encounters. Both teams have scored in 71% of those meetings.

Our verdict: haka to win or draw at odds of 1.11 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Finland Ykkosliiga game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1X, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.11. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 19 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Haka vs Klubi 04?
Our selection is 1X — Haka to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.11. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Haka's current form?
Haka have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Klubi 04 been performing recently?
Klubi 04 have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Haka lead with 4 wins versus Klubi 04's 0, with 3 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 71%.
⚠️
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