WON Case WON AB Argir 2-3 Vikingur
Fixture Case File · Ref V
A

AB Argir

Home Side
L D L D L
3W 2D 5L ▲ Trending Up
VS
2-3
V
Vikingur
Away Side
L D D W D
4W 4D 2L ▲ Trending Up
CASE VERIFIED
91%
Monday, 18th May 2026 Case Verdict
Over 1.5
Filing on over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob81.3%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge+9.7%Value detected
Kelly %51.9%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBAB<A<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<V<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<6BDC7EBD74DFB2609102M2609109<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 19 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.23
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
AB Argir vs Vikingur Competition: Faroe Islands Premier League Date: Monday, 18th May 2026 Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals) Odds: 1.23 Confidence: 91% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Ledger Ref: 6BDC7EBD7
Head to Head
Record
0
AB Argir
1
Draws
9
Vikingur
10
Meetings
4.4
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Over 1.5 in 90% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
AB Argir
Metric
Vikingur
1.2
Goals For / Game
2
1.8
Goals Against / Game
0.8
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
3-2-5
W — D — L
4-4-2
Win Rate
30%
40%
2.9
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
V0
V1
V2
V3
V4
V5
A0
0-0 5.5%
0-1 10.5%
0-2 9.9%
0-3 6.3%
0-4 3.0%
0-5 1.1%
A1
1-0 5.5%
1-1 10.5%
1-2 9.9%
1-3 6.3%
1-4 3.0%
1-5 1.1%
A2
2-0 2.8%
2-1 5.2%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.5%
2-5 0.6%
A3
3-0 0.9%
3-1 1.7%
3-2 1.7%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.2%
A4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.4%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(10.5%) 1-1(10.5%) 0-2(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing A=Home goals ↓   V=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
AB Argir
Overall
3.6
Scoring
4.0
Defence
4.0
Vikingur
Overall
5.2
Scoring
6.7
Defence
7.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 17%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 14%
Away Win & Over 2.5 22%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
16.04.26CUP
Vikingur5
AB Argir1
12.04.26PL
Vikingur4
AB Argir0
08.05.24CUP
Vikingur3
AB Argir (aet)0
01.09.23PL
Vikingur5
AB Argir0
21.05.23PL
AB Argir0
Vikingur4
15.05.23PL
Vikingur5
AB Argir0
16.10.22PL
AB Argir0
Vikingur0
26.05.22PL
Vikingur7
AB Argir0
03.05.22PL
Vikingur4
AB Argir1
30.09.20PL
Vikingur4
AB Argir1
Recent Form
AB Argir
10.05.26PL
Skala Itrottarfelag1
AB Argir0
L
03.05.26PL
HB Torshavn1
AB Argir1
D
26.04.26PL
AB Argir1
B36 Torshavn4
L
20.04.26PL
AB Argir1
Klaksvik1
D
16.04.26CUP
Vikingur5
AB Argir1
L
12.04.26PL
Vikingur4
AB Argir0
L
06.04.26PL
AB Argir2
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
W
21.03.26PL
NSI Runavik2
AB Argir1
L
15.03.26PL
Streymur0
AB Argir3
W
07.03.26PL
AB Argir2
Toftir0
W
Vikingur
14.05.26CUP
HB Torshavn2
Vikingur1
L
10.05.26PL
Streymur1
Vikingur1
D
04.05.26PL
Vikingur0
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
D
29.04.26CUP
Vikingur5
Hoyvik0
W
26.04.26PL
Vikingur2
Toftir2
D
20.04.26PL
Skala Itrottarfelag0
Vikingur0
D
16.04.26CUP
Vikingur5
AB Argir1
W
12.04.26PL
Vikingur4
AB Argir0
W
06.04.26PL
Klaksvik1
Vikingur0
L
01.04.26PL
Vikingur2
HB Torshavn1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Monday, 18th May 2026, AB Argir host Vikingur in Faroe Islands Premier League. Our analysis desk recommends over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

AB Argir arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Vikingur are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 4D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour AB Argir, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Vikingur's 9, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 30% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.23 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Faroe Islands Premier League game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is Over 1.5, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.23. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 19 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for AB Argir vs Vikingur?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.23. Tip confidence rating: 91%.
What is AB Argir's current form?
AB Argir have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Vikingur been performing recently?
Vikingur have recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
AB Argir lead with 0 wins versus Vikingur's 9, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
⚠️
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