LOST Case LOST Dodoma Jiji 3-2 Young Africans
Fixture Case File ยท Ref V โšฝ
D

Dodoma Jiji

Home Side
D W D L L
4W 3D 3L โ–ฒ Trending Up
VS
3-2
Y
Young Africans
Away Side
W W D W W
6W 4D 0L โ–ผ Trending Down
โš‘
MODERATE
54%
Wednesday, 13th May 2026 Case Verdict
2
Filing on Young Africans to win
Dodoma Jiji 20%
Draw 30%
Young Africans 50%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob78.7%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-24.7%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBD<<<<<<J<<<<<<<<<<<<<<Y<<<<<A<<<<<<<<<<E671FF4FC4DFB2609102M2609109<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst ยท Last checked 13 May 2026
โœ“ Data-Audited โœ“ Independently Checked
โšก
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
2 โ€” Young Africans to win
1.27
BTTS โ€” No75% Dodoma Jiji Clean Sheet60% Young Africans Clean Sheet80%
๐Ÿ“‹ Case Slip / Combo Builder
Dodoma Jiji vs Young Africans Competition: Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara Date: Wednesday, 13th May 2026 Pick: 2 (Young Africans to win) Odds: 1.27 Confidence: 54% Also: BTTS โ€” No (75%) Also: Dodoma Jiji Clean Sheet (60%) Also: Young Africans Clean Sheet (80%) Ledger Ref: E671FF4FC
โš”
Head to Head
Record
4
Dodoma Jiji
5
Draws
10
Young Africans
19
Meetings
2.9
Avg Goals
26%
BTTS
63%
Over 2.5
Neutral Young Africans won 10 of 19 meetings.
๐Ÿ“Š
Stats Duel
Comparison
Dodoma Jiji
Metric
Young Africans
1.1
Goals For / Game
2
1
Goals Against / Game
0.3
60%
Clean Sheets
80%
4-3-3
W โ€” D โ€” L
6-4-0
Win Rate
40%
60%
2.2
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Rate
๐ŸŽฏ
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
Y0
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
D0
0-0 11.1%
0-1 16.6%
0-2 12.5%
0-3 6.2%
0-4 2.3%
0-5 0.7%
D1
1-0 7.8%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 8.7%
1-3 4.4%
1-4 1.6%
1-5 0.5%
D2
2-0 2.7%
2-1 4.1%
2-2 3.1%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.2%
D3
3-0 0.6%
3-1 1.0%
3-2 0.7%
3-3 0.4%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
D4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.2%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
D5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(16.6%) 0-2(12.5%) 1-2(8.7%)
โ–  Best match โ–  Possible โ–  Low ยท โ–  Contradicts filing D=Home goals โ†“   Y=Away โ†’
๐Ÿ“‰
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Dodoma Jiji Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Young Africans Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
๐Ÿ“ˆ
Team Ratings
Grades
Dodoma Jiji
Overall
4.9 โ–ฒ
Scoring
3.7 โ–ฒ
Defence
6.7 โ–ฒ
Young Africans
Overall
7.2 โ–ผ
Scoring
6.7 โ–ผ
Defence
9.0 โ–ผ
๐Ÿ”€
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Home Win & BTTS No 23%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 20%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 33%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 17%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 12%
Away Win & Over 2.5 24%
Away Win & Under 2.5 20%
๐Ÿงฎ
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ€”
Kelly %
โ€”
Stake
โ€”
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
๐Ÿ”Ž How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter โ€” a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee โ€” it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

๐Ÿ“ Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds โ€” no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status โ€” nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
๐Ÿ“œ
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
27.01.26LKB
Young Africans3
Dodoma Jiji1
22.06.25LKB
Young Africans5
Dodoma Jiji0
25.12.24LKB
Dodoma Jiji0
Young Africans4
22.05.24LKB
Dodoma Jiji0
Young Africans4
10.04.24FAC
Dodoma Jiji0
Young Africans2
05.02.24LKB
Young Africans1
Dodoma Jiji0
13.05.23LKB
Young Africans4
Dodoma Jiji2
22.11.22LKB
Dodoma Jiji0
Young Africans2
15.05.22LKB
Dodoma Jiji0
Young Africans2
31.12.21LKB
Young Africans4
Dodoma Jiji10.05.26 (LKB) Pamba 0 - 0 Dodoma Jiji0
06.05.26LKB
Mtibwa Sugar0
Dodoma Jiji1
01.05.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji0
Namungo0
15.04.26LKB
Coastal Union3
Dodoma Jiji1
12.04.26FAC
Simba3
Dodoma Jiji1
03.04.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji3
Fountain Gate0
11.03.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji0
Azam3
25.02.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji0
Simba0
12.02.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji3
TRA United0
08.02.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji2
Kinondoni MC1
Recent Form
Dodoma Jiji
10.05.26LKB
Pamba0
Dodoma Jiji0
D
06.05.26LKB
Mtibwa Sugar0
Dodoma Jiji1
W
01.05.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji0
Namungo0
D
15.04.26LKB
Coastal Union3
Dodoma Jiji1
L
12.04.26FAC
Simba3
Dodoma Jiji1
L
03.04.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji3
Fountain Gate0
W
11.03.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji0
Azam3
L
25.02.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji0
Simba0
D
12.02.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji3
TRA United0
W
08.02.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji2
Kinondoni MC1
W
Young Africans
09.05.26LKB
Young Africans3
Coastal Union0
W
06.05.26LKB
Kinondoni MC0
Young Africans1
W
03.05.26LKB
Simba2
Young Africans2
D
16.04.26LKB
Young Africans6
Mbeya City0
W
11.04.26FAC
Young Africans1
TMA Stars0
W
08.04.26LKB
Pamba0
Young Africans3
W
04.04.26LKB
Young Africans3
Tanzania Prisons0
W
21.03.26LKB
Mtibwa Sugar1
Young Africans1
D
18.03.26LKB
TRA United0
Young Africans0
D
15.03.26LKB
Azam0
Young Africans0
D
๐Ÿ“
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Wednesday, 13th May 2026, Dodoma Jiji host Young Africans in Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara. Our analysis desk recommends Young Africans to win as the standout selection.

Dodoma Jiji arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Young Africans are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 4D 0L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Dodoma Jiji, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Young Africans's 10, with 5 draws from 19 encounters. Both teams have scored in 26% of those meetings.

Our verdict: young africans to win at odds of 1.27 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 2, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.27. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 13 May 2026
โ“
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Dodoma Jiji vs Young Africans?
Our selection is 2 โ€” Young Africans to win, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 54%.
What is Dodoma Jiji's current form?
Dodoma Jiji have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Young Africans been performing recently?
Young Africans have recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Dodoma Jiji lead with 4 wins versus Young Africans's 10, with 5 draws across 19 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 26%.
โš ๏ธ
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