WON Case WON Deutschlandsberger 1-0 Treibach
Fixture Case File · Ref V
D

Deutschlandsberger

Home Side
W L W W D
6W 1D 3L ▲ Trending Up
VS
1-0
T
Treibach
Away Side
L L L L W
3W 0D 7L ▼ Trending Down
MODERATE
62%
Wednesday, 13th May 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Deutschlandsberger to win
Deutschlandsberger 50%
Draw 30%
Treibach 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob80%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-18%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBD<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<T<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<3F9FF84754DFB2609102M2609109<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 13 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Deutschlandsberger to win
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Deutschlandsberger vs Treibach Competition: Austria Regionalliga Central Date: Wednesday, 13th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Deutschlandsberger to win) Odds: 1.25 Confidence: 62% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Ledger Ref: 3F9FF8475
Head to Head
Record
6
Deutschlandsberger
1
Draws
0
Treibach
7
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
71%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Deutschlandsberger won 6 of the last 7 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Deutschlandsberger
Metric
Treibach
2.1
Goals For / Game
1
1.4
Goals Against / Game
2.3
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
6-1-3
W — D — L
3-0-7
Win Rate
60%
30%
3.4
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
D0
0-0 3.3%
0-1 4.0%
0-2 2.4%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
D1
1-0 7.3%
1-1 8.8%
1-2 5.3%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.2%
D2
2-0 8.1%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 5.8%
2-3 2.3%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
D3
3-0 5.9%
3-1 7.1%
3-2 4.3%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
D4
4-0 3.3%
4-1 3.9%
4-2 2.4%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
D5
5-0 1.4%
5-1 1.7%
5-2 1.0%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.7%) 2-0(8.1%) 1-0(7.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing D=Home goals ↓   T=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Deutschlandsberger Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Treibach Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Deutschlandsberger
Overall
6.3
Scoring
7.0
Defence
5.3
Treibach
Overall
3.0
Scoring
3.3
Defence
2.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 38%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 38%
Home Win & Under 2.5 25%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 19%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
17.10.25RL
Treibach1
Deutschlandsberger2
07.03.25RL
Deutschlandsberger3
Treibach0
09.08.24RL
Treibach1
Deutschlandsberger2
09.06.23RL
Treibach1
Deutschlandsberger3
28.10.22RL
Deutschlandsberger2
Treibach2
22.04.22RL
Treibach0
Deutschlandsberger5
10.09.21RL
Deutschlandsberger2
Treibach1
Recent Form
Deutschlandsberger
09.05.26RL
Weindorf St. Anna0
Deutschlandsberger1
W
03.05.26RL
Deutschlandsberger1
ASK Voitsberg3
L
26.04.26RL
Wolfsberger AC (Am)0
Deutschlandsberger1
W
17.04.26RL
Deutschlandsberger4
Dietach1
W
10.04.26RL
LASK (Am)1
Deutschlandsberger1
D
03.04.26RL
Deutschlandsberger1
Lafnitz2
L
27.03.26RL
Gleisdorf1
Deutschlandsberger5
W
20.03.26RL
Kalsdorf3
Deutschlandsberger2
L
13.03.26RL
Deutschlandsberger3
SC Weiz2
W
06.03.26RL
Wallern/St Marienkirchen1
Deutschlandsberger2
W
Treibach
08.05.26RL
Treibach2
SC Weiz5
L
30.04.26RL
Wallern/St Marienkirchen2
Treibach0
L
24.04.26RL
Treibach0
Union Gurten1
L
18.04.26RL
Oedt6
Treibach0
L
10.04.26RL
Treibach2
Atus Velden0
W
04.04.26RL
Ried (Am)2
Treibach0
L
27.03.26RL
Treibach2
Kalsdorf1
W
21.03.26RL
Treibach0
Weindorf St. Anna2
L
14.03.26RL
ASK Voitsberg3
Treibach1
L
07.03.26RL
Treibach3
Wolfsberger AC (Am)1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Wednesday, 13th May 2026, Deutschlandsberger host Treibach in Austria Regionalliga Central. Our analysis desk recommends Deutschlandsberger to win as the standout selection.

Deutschlandsberger arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Treibach are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 0D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Deutschlandsberger, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Treibach's 0, with 1 draws from 7 encounters. Both teams have scored in 71% of those meetings.

Our verdict: deutschlandsberger to win at odds of 1.25 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Austria Regionalliga Central game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.25. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 13 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Deutschlandsberger vs Treibach?
Our selection is 1 — Deutschlandsberger to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Deutschlandsberger's current form?
Deutschlandsberger have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Treibach been performing recently?
Treibach have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Deutschlandsberger lead with 6 wins versus Treibach's 0, with 1 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 71%.
⚠️
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