WON Case WON Singida Black Stars 1-0 Namungo
Fixture Case File · Ref V
S

Singida Black Stars

Home Side
W W L D W
6W 1D 3L → Holding Steady
VS
1-0
N
Namungo
Away Side
D L D L L
0W 4D 6L → Holding Steady
MODERATE
49%
Tuesday, 12th May 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Singida Black Stars to win
Singida Black Stars 50%
Draw 30%
Namungo 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob71.9%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-22.9%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBS<<<<<<<B<<<<<S<<<<<<<N<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<EAE10141A4DFB2609102M2609109<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 12 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
3
Singida Black Stars
3
Draws
3
Namungo
9
Meetings
1.6
Avg Goals
22%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Against Filing Singida Black Stars won 3 of the last 9 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Singida Black Stars
Metric
Namungo
2.2
Goals For / Game
0.6
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.5
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-1-3
W — D — L
0-4-6
Win Rate
60%
0%
2.7
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
S0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 5.7%
0-2 2.4%
0-3 0.7%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 12.4%
1-1 10.6%
1-2 4.5%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
S2
2-0 11.5%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 4.2%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.0%
S3
3-0 7.1%
3-1 6.0%
3-2 2.6%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 3.3%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.2%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 1.2%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(12.4%) 2-0(11.5%) 2-1(9.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing S=Home goals ↓   N=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Singida Black Stars Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Namungo Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Singida Black Stars
Overall
6.3
Scoring
7.3
Defence
6.3
Namungo
Overall
1.2
Scoring
2.0
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 39%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 16%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 36%
Home Win & Under 2.5 36%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
26.02.26LKB
Namungo1
Singida Black Stars1
06.03.25LKB
Namungo0
Singida Black Stars1
20.10.24LKB
Singida Black Stars2
Namungo0
06.05.24LKB
Singida Black Stars2
Namungo0
23.11.23LKB
Namungo2
Singida Black Stars0
20.12.22LKB
Namungo2
Singida Black Stars0
19.08.22LKB
Singida Black Stars0
Namungo1
08.04.21LKB
Namungo1
Singida Black Stars1
24.10.20LKB
Singida Black Stars0
Namungo0
Recent Form
Singida Black Stars
09.05.26LKB
Singida Black Stars4
Mtibwa Sugar0
W
05.05.26LKB
Singida Black Stars3
Pamba1
W
02.05.26LKB
Coastal Union2
Singida Black Stars1
L
16.04.26LKB
Mashujaa1
Singida Black Stars1
D
12.04.26FAC
Singida Black Stars5
Mbeya City1
W
08.04.26LKB
Singida Black Stars1
Kinondoni MC0
W
05.04.26LKB
TRA United2
Singida Black Stars0
L
01.04.26LKB
Singida Black Stars1
Azam2
L
18.03.26LKB
Tanzania Prisons1
Singida Black Stars2
W
15.03.26LKB
Mbeya City1
Singida Black Stars4
W
Namungo
08.05.26LKB
Namungo0
Mashujaa0
D
05.05.26LKB
Azam1
Namungo0
L
01.05.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji0
Namungo0
D
19.04.26LKB
Namungo1
Simba3
L
12.04.26FAC
Namungo0
TRA United2
L
04.04.26LKB
Namungo2
JKT Tanzania2
D
11.03.26LKB
TRA United2
Namungo0
L
26.02.26LKB
Namungo1
Singida Black Stars1
D
22.02.26LKB
Namungo0
Young Africans1
L
14.02.26LKB
Tanzania Prisons3
Namungo2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Tuesday, 12th May 2026, Singida Black Stars host Namungo in Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara. Our analysis desk recommends Singida Black Stars to win as the standout selection.

Singida Black Stars arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Namungo are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 4D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Singida Black Stars, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Namungo's 3, with 3 draws from 9 encounters. Both teams have scored in 22% of those meetings.

Our verdict: singida black stars to win at odds of 1.39 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.39. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 12 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Singida Black Stars vs Namungo?
Our selection is 1 — Singida Black Stars to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 49%.
What is Singida Black Stars's current form?
Singida Black Stars have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Namungo been performing recently?
Namungo have recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Singida Black Stars lead with 3 wins versus Namungo's 3, with 3 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 22%.
⚠️
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