WON Case WON Balestier Khalsa 6-0 Tanjong Pagar
Fixture Case File · Ref V
B

Balestier Khalsa

Home Side
W L L W W
7W 0D 3L ▲ Trending Up
VS
6-0
T
Tanjong Pagar
Away Side
L L L L L
0W 0D 10L → Holding Steady
CASE VERIFIED
67%
Saturday, 9th May 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Balestier Khalsa to win
Balestier Khalsa 50%
Draw 30%
Tanjong Pagar 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob71.4%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-4.4%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBB<<<<<<<<<K<<<<<<<<<<<T<<<<<<<P<<<<<<<<CBC2DDAFA4DFB2609102M2609109<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 9 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Balestier Khalsa to win
1.40
Over 2.5 Goals85% Over 1.5 Goals95%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Balestier Khalsa vs Tanjong Pagar Competition: Singapore Premier League Date: Saturday, 9th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Balestier Khalsa to win) Odds: 1.40 Confidence: 67% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (85%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Ledger Ref: CBC2DDAFA
Head to Head
Record
9
Balestier Khalsa
1
Draws
0
Tanjong Pagar
10
Meetings
5.1
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Balestier Khalsa won 9 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Balestier Khalsa
Metric
Tanjong Pagar
2.2
Goals For / Game
0.3
1.6
Goals Against / Game
3.2
10%
Clean Sheets
0%
7-0-3
W — D — L
0-0-10
Win Rate
70%
0%
3.7
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
B0
0-0 2.6%
0-1 2.5%
0-2 1.2%
0-3 0.4%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
B1
1-0 7.0%
1-1 6.7%
1-2 3.2%
1-3 1.0%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.1%
B2
2-0 9.5%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 4.3%
2-3 1.4%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 8.5%
3-1 8.1%
3-2 3.9%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 5.8%
4-1 5.5%
4-2 2.6%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 3.1%
5-1 3.0%
5-2 1.4%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-0(9.5%) 2-1(9.0%) 3-0(8.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing B=Home goals ↓   T=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Balestier Khalsa Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Tanjong Pagar Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Balestier Khalsa
Overall
7.0
Scoring
7.3
Defence
4.7
Tanjong Pagar
Overall
0.0
Scoring
1.0
Defence
0.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 50%
Home Win & BTTS No 50%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 85%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 0%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
01.03.26PL
Tanjong Pagar1
Balestier Khalsa4
02.11.25CUP
Balestier Khalsa3
Tanjong Pagar0
24.10.25PL
Balestier Khalsa2
Tanjong Pagar1
05.04.25PL
Balestier Khalsa3
Tanjong Pagar3
29.03.25CUP
Balestier Khalsa3
Tanjong Pagar0
28.10.24PL
Tanjong Pagar0
Balestier Khalsa5
24.07.24PL
Balestier Khalsa5
Tanjong Pagar2
19.05.24PL
Tanjong Pagar0
Balestier Khalsa5
01.03.24CF
Balestier Khalsa4
Tanjong Pagar1
25.11.23CUP
Balestier Khalsa7
Tanjong Pagar2
Recent Form
Balestier Khalsa
02.05.26PL
Geylang2
Balestier Khalsa3
W
27.04.26PL
Balestier Khalsa0
Hougang3
L
17.04.26PL
Tampines2
Balestier Khalsa1
L
13.04.26PL
Balestier Khalsa2
Albirex Niigata1
W
05.04.26PL
Young Lions0
Balestier Khalsa2
W
15.03.26PL
Balestier Khalsa0
Lion City3
L
09.03.26PL
Hougang1
Balestier Khalsa2
W
01.03.26PL
Tanjong Pagar1
Balestier Khalsa4
W
20.02.26PL
Balestier Khalsa5
Geylang2
W
13.02.26PL
Balestier Khalsa3
Young Lions1
W
Tanjong Pagar
05.05.26PL
Tanjong Pagar1
Hougang2
L
25.04.26PL
Albirex Niigata4
Tanjong Pagar0
L
19.04.26PL
Geylang2
Tanjong Pagar1
L
10.04.26PL
Tanjong Pagar0
Young Lions1
L
06.04.26PL
Tanjong Pagar0
Lion City4
L
16.03.26PL
Tanjong Pagar0
Tampines3
L
06.03.26PL
Tanjong Pagar0
Albirex Niigata2
L
01.03.26PL
Tanjong Pagar1
Balestier Khalsa4
L
23.02.26PL
Hougang3
Tanjong Pagar0
L
15.02.26PL
Lion City7
Tanjong Pagar0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 9th May 2026, Balestier Khalsa host Tanjong Pagar in Singapore Premier League. Our analysis desk recommends Balestier Khalsa to win as the standout selection.

Balestier Khalsa arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Tanjong Pagar are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 0D 10L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Balestier Khalsa, who lead the head-to-head with 9 wins to Tanjong Pagar's 0, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: balestier khalsa to win at odds of 1.40 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Singapore Premier League game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.40. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 9 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Balestier Khalsa vs Tanjong Pagar?
Our selection is 1 — Balestier Khalsa to win, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 67%.
What is Balestier Khalsa's current form?
Balestier Khalsa have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Tanjong Pagar been performing recently?
Tanjong Pagar have recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Balestier Khalsa lead with 9 wins versus Tanjong Pagar's 0, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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