LOST Case LOST Vipers 1-1 URA SC
Fixture Case File · Ref V
V

Vipers

Home Side
D D W W D
6W 4D 0L ▲ Trending Up
VS
1-1
U
URA SC
Away Side
L D D L D
3W 3D 4L ▲ Trending Up
MODERATE
58%
Friday, 8th May 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Vipers to win
Vipers 50%
Draw 30%
URA SC 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob81.3%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-23.3%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBV<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<URA<SC<<<<<<<<<<<B33557F3A4DFB2609102M2609109<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 8 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Vipers to win
1.23
Vipers Clean Sheet70%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Vipers vs URA SC Competition: Uganda Premier League Date: Friday, 8th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Vipers to win) Odds: 1.23 Confidence: 58% Also: Vipers Clean Sheet (70%) Ledger Ref: B33557F3A
Head to Head
Record
7
Vipers
2
Draws
1
URA SC
10
Meetings
2.1
Avg Goals
20%
BTTS
20%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Vipers won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Vipers
Metric
URA SC
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.3
Goals Against / Game
1.3
70%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-4-0
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate
60%
30%
2.2
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
U0
U1
U2
U3
U4
U5
V0
0-0 11.7%
0-1 8.7%
0-2 3.3%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
V1
1-0 16.3%
1-1 12.2%
1-2 4.6%
1-3 1.2%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
V2
2-0 11.4%
2-1 8.6%
2-2 3.2%
2-3 0.8%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
V3
3-0 5.3%
3-1 4.0%
3-2 1.5%
3-3 0.4%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
V4
4-0 1.9%
4-1 1.4%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
V5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(16.3%) 2-0(11.4%) 2-1(8.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing V=Home goals ↓   U=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Vipers Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
URA SC Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Vipers
Overall
7.2
Scoring
5.0
Defence
9.0
URA SC
Overall
3.9
Scoring
4.0
Defence
5.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 17%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
24.01.26PL
URA SC0
Vipers3
11.02.25PL
Vipers2
URA SC0
22.11.24PL
URA SC0
Vipers2
30.03.24PL
URA SC0
Vipers2
23.11.23PL
Vipers2
URA SC0
22.04.23PL
Vipers1
URA SC1
26.11.22PL
URA SC0
Vipers1
12.04.22PL
URA SC0
Vipers3
27.11.21PL
Vipers0
URA SC2
12.05.21PL
Vipers1
URA SC1
Recent Form
Vipers
03.05.26UGC
Kitara0
Vipers0
D
29.04.26PL
Kampala City1
Vipers1
D
26.04.26PL
Vipers3
Entebbe UPPC0
W
21.04.26PL
Buhimba0
Vipers2
W
15.04.26PL
Villa1
Vipers1
D
10.04.26PL
Vipers0
Kitara0
D
03.04.26UGC
NEC FC0
Vipers1
W
18.03.26UGC
Vipers4
Iganga United0
W
14.03.26PL
Vipers1
Calvary0
W
11.03.26PL
UPDF1
Vipers2
W
URA SC
04.05.26UGC
URA SC0
Villa2
L
28.04.26PL
URA SC2
Maroons2
D
24.04.26PL
UPDF0
URA SC0
D
21.04.26PL
Police2
URA SC1
L
16.04.26PL
URA SC1
BUL1
D
09.04.26PL
NEC FC1
URA SC0
L
04.04.26UGC
URA SC3
Kampala City2
W
20.03.26UGC
URA SC3
Tapoh0
W
14.03.26PL
Express3
URA SC1
L
11.03.26PL
URA SC1
Lugazi0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Friday, 8th May 2026, Vipers host URA SC in Uganda Premier League. Our analysis desk recommends Vipers to win as the standout selection.

Vipers arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

URA SC are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Vipers, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to URA SC's 1, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 20% of those meetings.

Our verdict: vipers to win at odds of 1.23 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Uganda Premier League game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.23. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 8 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Vipers vs URA SC?
Our selection is 1 — Vipers to win, priced at approximately 1.23. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Vipers's current form?
Vipers have won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has URA SC been performing recently?
URA SC have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Vipers lead with 7 wins versus URA SC's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
⚠️
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