WON Case WON Hluboka nad Vltavou 2-1 Milin
Fixture Case File · Ref V
H

Hluboka nad Vltavou

Home Side
W W W D L
5W 3D 2L → Holding Steady
VS
2-1
M
Milin
Away Side
L L L L L
2W 0D 8L → Holding Steady
CAUTION
41%
Thursday, 7th May 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Hluboka nad Vltavou to win
Hluboka nad Vltavou 50%
Draw 30%
Milin 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob76.3%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-35.3%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBH<<<<<<<<<<<V<<<<<<<<<M<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<4A03F2B744DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 7 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Hluboka nad Vltavou to win
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Hluboka nad Vltavou vs Milin Competition: Czech 4 Liga Date: Thursday, 7th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Hluboka nad Vltavou to win) Odds: 1.31 Confidence: 41% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Ledger Ref: 4A03F2B74
Head to Head
Record
0
Hluboka nad Vltavou
2
Draws
1
Milin
3
Meetings
1.7
Avg Goals
33%
BTTS
33%
Over 2.5
Against Filing Hluboka nad Vltavou won 0 of the last 3 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Hluboka nad Vltavou
Metric
Milin
2.4
Goals For / Game
0.6
1.6
Goals Against / Game
2.3
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
5-3-2
W — D — L
2-0-8
Win Rate
50%
20%
3.5
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
H0
0-0 3.2%
0-1 3.5%
0-2 1.9%
0-3 0.7%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
H1
1-0 7.5%
1-1 8.2%
1-2 4.5%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
H2
2-0 8.8%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 5.3%
2-3 1.9%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
H3
3-0 6.9%
3-1 7.6%
3-2 4.2%
3-3 1.5%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
H4
4-0 4.0%
4-1 4.4%
4-2 2.4%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
H5
5-0 1.9%
5-1 2.1%
5-2 1.2%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.6%) 2-0(8.8%) 3-1(7.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing H=Home goals ↓   M=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Hluboka nad Vltavou Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Milin Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Hluboka nad Vltavou
Overall
5.9
Scoring
8.0
Defence
4.7
Milin
Overall
2.0
Scoring
2.0
Defence
2.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Home Win & BTTS No 27%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
11.10.254L
Milin1
Hluboka nad Vltavou1
09.05.254L
Hluboka nad Vltavou0
Milin3
12.10.244L
Milin0
Hluboka nad Vltavou0
Recent Form
Hluboka nad Vltavou
01.05.264L
Krimice1
Hluboka nad Vltavou2
W
26.04.264L
Hluboka nad Vltavou5
Doubravka1
W
19.04.264L
Milevsko3
Hluboka nad Vltavou6
W
10.04.264L
Hluboka nad Vltavou1
Sobeslav1
D
05.04.264L
Domazlice B4
Hluboka nad Vltavou2
L
27.03.264L
Hluboka nad Vltavou2
Tachov0
W
22.03.264L
Hluboka nad Vltavou0
Benesov0
D
13.03.264L
Petrin Plzen B1
Hluboka nad Vltavou1
D
06.03.264L
Hluboka nad Vltavou3
Horovice2
W
21.02.26CF
Hluboka nad Vltavou2
Pisek3
L
Milin
02.05.264L
Milin0
Benesov3
L
25.04.264L
Petrin Plzen B2
Milin1
L
18.04.264L
Milin1
Horovice3
L
11.04.264L
Cesky Krumlov2
Milin1
L
03.04.264L
Milin0
Povltavska FA3
L
28.03.264L
Rokycany2
Milin0
L
21.03.264L
Milin1
FK Komarov0
W
15.03.264L
TJ Prestice0
Milin2
W
07.03.264L
Tachov2
Milin0
L
15.11.254L
Krimice6
Milin0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Thursday, 7th May 2026, Hluboka nad Vltavou host Milin in Czech 4 Liga. Our analysis desk recommends Hluboka nad Vltavou to win as the standout selection.

Hluboka nad Vltavou arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Milin are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 0D 8L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Hluboka nad Vltavou, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Milin's 1, with 2 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 33% of those meetings.

Our verdict: hluboka nad vltavou to win at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Czech 4 Liga game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.31. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 7 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Hluboka nad Vltavou vs Milin?
Our selection is 1 — Hluboka nad Vltavou to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 41%.
What is Hluboka nad Vltavou's current form?
Hluboka nad Vltavou have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Milin been performing recently?
Milin have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Hluboka nad Vltavou lead with 0 wins versus Milin's 1, with 2 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. DailyForebet provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Betting carries risk: debt, isolation, dependency. Predictions are for entertainment and informational purposes only, not financial advice.