WON Case WON Cork City 0-1 Cobh Ramblers
Fixture Case File · Ref V
C

Cork City

Home Side
D W W D W
7W 3D 0L ▼ Trending Down
VS
0-1
C
Cobh Ramblers
Away Side
L D W W W
3W 4D 3L ▼ Trending Down
MODERATE
64%
Friday, 1st May 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Cork City to win
Cork City 50%
Draw 30%
Cobh Ramblers 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob70.4%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-6.4%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBC<<<<C<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<C<<<<R<<<<<<<<<<<89B1701BB4DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 1 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Cork City to win
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Cork City vs Cobh Ramblers Competition: Ireland Division 1 Date: Friday, 1st May 2026 Pick: 1 (Cork City to win) Odds: 1.42 Confidence: 64% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Ledger Ref: 89B1701BB
Head to Head
Record
8
Cork City
2
Draws
0
Cobh Ramblers
10
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Cork City won 8 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Cork City
Metric
Cobh Ramblers
2
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.2
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
7-3-0
W — D — L
3-4-3
Win Rate
70%
30%
2.6
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
C0
0-0 7.8%
0-1 7.4%
0-2 3.5%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
C1
1-0 12.5%
1-1 11.9%
1-2 5.6%
1-3 1.8%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
C2
2-0 10.0%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 4.5%
2-3 1.4%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
C3
3-0 5.3%
3-1 5.1%
3-2 2.4%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(12.5%) 2-0(10.0%) 2-1(9.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing C=Home goals ↓   C=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Cork City Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Cobh Ramblers Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Cork City
Overall
7.9
Scoring
6.7
Defence
7.3
Cobh Ramblers
Overall
4.2
Scoring
3.7
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 23%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 31%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 16%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
06.03.26DIV
Cobh Ramblers1
Cork City1
23.08.24DIV
Cobh Ramblers0
Cork City1
13.06.24DIV
Cork City4
Cobh Ramblers1
10.05.24DIV
Cobh Ramblers0
Cork City3
05.04.24DIV
Cork City3
Cobh Ramblers0
10.02.23CF
Cork City1
Cobh Ramblers1
19.08.22DIV
Cobh Ramblers1
Cork City2
31.07.22FAI
Cobh Ramblers0
Cork City1
24.06.22DIV
Cork City1
Cobh Ramblers0
22.04.22DIV
Cobh Ramblers2
Cork City3
Recent Form
Cork City
24.04.26DIV
Bray1
Cork City1
D
17.04.26DIV
Cork City2
Wexford1
W
06.04.26DIV
Cork City4
Kerry2
W
03.04.26DIV
Finn Harps0
Cork City0
D
27.03.26DIV
Cork City4
Athlone1
W
20.03.26DIV
UC Dublin0
Cork City1
W
13.03.26DIV
Cork City2
Longford1
W
06.03.26DIV
Cobh Ramblers1
Cork City1
D
27.02.26DIV
Cork City1
Bray0
W
20.02.26DIV
Wexford1
Cork City4
W
Cobh Ramblers
24.04.26DIV
Wexford2
Cobh Ramblers0
L
17.04.26DIV
Cobh Ramblers0
Longford0
D
10.04.26DIV
Finn Harps0
Cobh Ramblers2
W
06.04.26DIV
Cobh Ramblers4
Treaty United0
W
03.04.26DIV
Kerry1
Cobh Ramblers2
W
27.03.26DIV
UC Dublin4
Cobh Ramblers0
L
20.03.26DIV
Cobh Ramblers1
Bray1
D
13.03.26DIV
Athlone2
Cobh Ramblers0
L
06.03.26DIV
Cobh Ramblers1
Cork City1
D
27.02.26DIV
Cobh Ramblers1
Finn Harps1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Friday, 1st May 2026, Cork City host Cobh Ramblers in Ireland Division 1. Our analysis desk recommends Cork City to win as the standout selection.

Cork City arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Cobh Ramblers are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 4D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Cork City, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Cobh Ramblers's 0, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: cork city to win at odds of 1.42 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Ireland Division 1 game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.42. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 1 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Cork City vs Cobh Ramblers?
Our selection is 1 — Cork City to win, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 64%.
What is Cork City's current form?
Cork City have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Cobh Ramblers been performing recently?
Cobh Ramblers have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Cork City lead with 8 wins versus Cobh Ramblers's 0, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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