LOST Case LOST Bochum II 1-1 B. Monchengladbach II
Fixture Case File · Ref V
B

Bochum II

Home Side
W W D D D
6W 3D 1L → Holding Steady
VS
1-1
B
B. Monchengladbach II
Away Side
W W W D W
7W 1D 2L → Holding Steady
CASE VERIFIED
76%
Monday, 27th April 2026 Case Verdict
Over 2.5
Filing on over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob67.6%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge+8.4%Value detected
Kelly %26%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBB<<<<<<II<<<<<<<<<<<<<B<<M<<<<<<<<<<<<<0E2E421B74DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 27 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.48
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals95%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Bochum II vs B. Monchengladbach II Competition: Gemany Regionalliga West Date: Monday, 27th April 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.48 Confidence: 76% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Ledger Ref: 0E2E421B7
Head to Head
Record
0
Bochum II
2
Draws
8
B. Monchengladbach II
10
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Over 2.5 in 60% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Bochum II
Metric
B. Monchengladbach II
2.3
Goals For / Game
1.9
1.5
Goals Against / Game
0.9
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
6-3-1
W — D — L
7-1-2
Win Rate
60%
70%
3.3
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
B0
0-0 3.7%
0-1 6.3%
0-2 5.3%
0-3 3.0%
0-4 1.3%
0-5 0.4%
B1
1-0 5.9%
1-1 10.0%
1-2 8.5%
1-3 4.8%
1-4 2.1%
1-5 0.7%
B2
2-0 4.7%
2-1 8.0%
2-2 6.8%
2-3 3.9%
2-4 1.6%
2-5 0.6%
B3
3-0 2.5%
3-1 4.3%
3-2 3.6%
3-3 2.1%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.3%
B4
4-0 1.0%
4-1 1.7%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
B5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(10.0%) 1-2(8.5%) 2-1(8.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing B=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Bochum II
Overall
6.9
Scoring
7.7
Defence
5.0
B. Monchengladbach II
Overall
7.3
Scoring
6.3
Defence
7.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 16%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 33%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
01.11.25RL
B. Monchengladbach II4
Bochum II1
24.04.15RL
B. Monchengladbach II2
Bochum II1
25.10.14RL
Bochum II1
B. Monchengladbach II3
13.12.13RL
Bochum II0
B. Monchengladbach II0
27.07.13RL
B. Monchengladbach II4
Bochum II1
06.04.13RL
Bochum II1
B. Monchengladbach II1
16.10.12RL
B. Monchengladbach II1
Bochum II0
03.03.12RL
B. Monchengladbach II2
Bochum II1
10.09.11RL
Bochum II0
B. Monchengladbach II1
18.02.11RL
B. Monchengladbach II3
Bochum II0
Recent Form
Bochum II
18.04.26RL
Bochum II3
Bocholt2
W
10.04.26RL
Bochum II4
Wuppertal1
W
04.04.26RL
Lotte2
Bochum II2
D
25.03.26RL
Bonner2
Bochum II2
D
20.03.26RL
Bochum II0
Siegen0
D
14.03.26RL
Paderborn II0
Bochum II2
W
08.03.26RL
Bochum II3
Wiedenbruck1
W
04.03.26RL
SSVg Velbert2
Bochum II3
W
27.02.26RL
Koln II1
Bochum II3
W
21.02.26RL
Bochum II1
Schalke II4
L
B. Monchengladbach II
19.04.26RL
Wuppertal0
B. Monchengladbach II3
W
15.04.26RL
B. Monchengladbach II2
Dortmund II1
W
11.04.26RL
B. Monchengladbach II3
Lotte1
W
04.04.26RL
Siegen2
B. Monchengladbach II2
D
21.03.26RL
B. Monchengladbach II2
Paderborn II0
W
13.03.26RL
Wiedenbruck0
B. Monchengladbach II2
W
07.03.26RL
B. Monchengladbach II0
Koln II2
L
28.02.26RL
Schalke II1
B. Monchengladbach II2
W
18.02.26PLICC
Crystal Palace U212
B. Monchengladbach II0
L
14.02.26RL
Rodinghausen0
B. Monchengladbach II3
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Monday, 27th April 2026, Bochum II host B. Monchengladbach II in Gemany Regionalliga West. Our analysis desk recommends over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Bochum II arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

B. Monchengladbach II are travelling well, with a record of 7W 1D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Bochum II, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to B. Monchengladbach II's 8, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.48 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Gemany Regionalliga West game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is Over 2.5, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.48. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 27 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Bochum II vs B. Monchengladbach II?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.48. Tip confidence rating: 76%.
What is Bochum II's current form?
Bochum II have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has B. Monchengladbach II been performing recently?
B. Monchengladbach II have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Bochum II lead with 0 wins versus B. Monchengladbach II's 8, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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