LOST Case LOST Tampines II 1-2 Lion City II
Fixture Case File · Ref V
T

Tampines II

Home Side
W W W W W
7W 1D 2L ▼ Trending Down
VS
1-2
L
Lion City II
Away Side
W L L L L
4W 0D 6L ▲ Trending Up
CASE VERIFIED
66%
Tuesday, 21st April 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Tampines II to win
Tampines II 50%
Draw 30%
Lion City II 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob77.5%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-11.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBT<<<<<<<<II<<<<<<<<<<<L<<<<C<<<<II<<<<<7D28E62914DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 21 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Tampines II to win
1.29
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Tampines II vs Lion City II Competition: Singapore Premier League 2 Date: Tuesday, 21st April 2026 Pick: 1 (Tampines II to win) Odds: 1.29 Confidence: 66% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Ledger Ref: 7D28E6291
Head to Head
Record
1
Tampines II
0
Draws
0
Lion City II
1
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Tampines II won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Tampines II
Metric
Lion City II
2.2
Goals For / Game
2.2
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.8
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
7-1-2
W — D — L
4-0-6
Win Rate
70%
40%
3.5
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
T0
0-0 3.0%
0-1 4.5%
0-2 3.4%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
T1
1-0 6.0%
1-1 9.1%
1-2 6.8%
1-3 3.4%
1-4 1.3%
1-5 0.4%
T2
2-0 6.0%
2-1 9.1%
2-2 6.8%
2-3 3.4%
2-4 1.3%
2-5 0.4%
T3
3-0 4.0%
3-1 6.0%
3-2 4.5%
3-3 2.3%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.3%
T4
4-0 2.0%
4-1 3.0%
4-2 2.3%
4-3 1.1%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
T5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(9.1%) 1-0(6.0%) 2-0(6.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing T=Home goals ↓   L=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Tampines II Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Lion City II Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Tampines II
Overall
7.3
Scoring
7.3
Defence
7.3
Lion City II
Overall
4.0
Scoring
7.3
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 40%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
10.09.25
 (Premier League 2) Tampines II2
Lion City II1
Recent Form
Tampines II
14.04.26
 (Premier League 2) Hougang II0
Tampines II - W1
07.04.26
 (Premier League 2) Tampines II5
Balestier Khalsa II - W2
31.03.26
 (Premier League 2) Geylang II0
Tampines II - W7
17.03.26
 (Premier League 2) Tampines II2
Tanjong P. II - W0
02.03.26
 (Premier League 2) Geylang II1
Tampines II - W2
24.02.26
 (Premier League 2) Young Lions II1
Tampines II - W2
21.01.26
 (Premier League 2) Tampines II0
Hougang II - L1
14.01.26
 (Premier League 2) Balestier Khalsa II2
Tampines II - L1
06.01.26
 (Premier League 2) Tampines II1
Geylang II - D1
22.12.25
 (Premier League 2) Albirex Niigata II0
Tampines II - W1
Lion City II
14.04.26
 (Premier League 2) Lion City II2
Albirex Niigata II - W0
07.04.26
 (Premier League 2) Lion City II2
Young Lions II - L5
30.03.26
 (Premier League 2) Hougang II2
Lion City II - L1
17.03.26
 (Premier League 2) Lion City II1
Balestier Khalsa II - L4
24.02.26
 (Premier League 2) Geylang II2
Lion City II - L1
03.02.26
 (Premier League 2) Lion City II2
Tanjong P. II - L3
21.01.26
 (Premier League 2) Albirex Niigata II2
Lion City II - L1
13.01.26
 (Premier League 2) Young Lions II0
Lion City II - W2
05.01.26
 (Premier League 2) Lion City II2
Hougang II - L3
15.12.25
 (Premier League 2) Balestier Khalsa II0
Lion City II - W5
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Tuesday, 21st April 2026, Tampines II host Lion City II in Singapore Premier League 2. Our analysis desk recommends Tampines II to win as the standout selection.

Tampines II arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Lion City II are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 0D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Tampines II, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Lion City II's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: tampines ii to win at odds of 1.29 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Singapore Premier League 2 game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.29. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 21 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Tampines II vs Lion City II?
Our selection is 1 — Tampines II to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is Tampines II's current form?
Tampines II have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Lion City II been performing recently?
Lion City II have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Tampines II lead with 1 wins versus Lion City II's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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