WON Case WON Zrinjski 2-0 Radnik Bijeljina
Fixture Case File · Ref V
Z

Zrinjski

Home Side
L D W W W
7W 2D 1L ▲ Trending Up
VS
2-0
R
Radnik Bijeljina
Away Side
L D W L W
3W 3D 4L → Holding Steady
MODERATE
64%
Wednesday, 15th April 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Zrinjski to win
Zrinjski 50%
Draw 30%
Radnik Bijeljina 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob80.6%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-16.6%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBZ<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<R<<<<<<B<<<<<<<<<3A72AE3894DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 15 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Zrinjski to win
1.24
BTTS — No65% Radnik Bijeljina Clean Sheet60%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Zrinjski vs Radnik Bijeljina Competition: Bosnian Cup Date: Wednesday, 15th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Zrinjski to win) Odds: 1.24 Confidence: 64% Also: BTTS — No (65%) Also: Radnik Bijeljina Clean Sheet (60%) Ledger Ref: 3A72AE389
Head to Head
Record
8
Zrinjski
1
Draws
1
Radnik Bijeljina
10
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
20%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Zrinjski won 8 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Zrinjski
Metric
Radnik Bijeljina
1.5
Goals For / Game
0.8
0.8
Goals Against / Game
0.8
40%
Clean Sheets
60%
7-2-1
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate
70%
30%
2
Avg Goals
55%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
Z0
0-0 14.2%
0-1 11.4%
0-2 4.6%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
Z1
1-0 16.4%
1-1 13.1%
1-2 5.2%
1-3 1.4%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.0%
Z2
2-0 9.4%
2-1 7.5%
2-2 3.0%
2-3 0.8%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
Z3
3-0 3.6%
3-1 2.9%
3-2 1.2%
3-3 0.3%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
Z4
4-0 1.0%
4-1 0.8%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
Z5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(16.4%) 2-0(9.4%) 2-1(7.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing Z=Home goals ↓   R=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Zrinjski Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Radnik Bijeljina Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Zrinjski
Overall
7.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.3
Radnik Bijeljina
Overall
3.9
Scoring
2.7
Defence
7.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 36%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 34%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 12%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
08.04.26CUP
Radnik Bijeljina0
Zrinjski0
08.03.26LIG
Zrinjski2
Radnik Bijeljina1
21.11.25LIG
Radnik Bijeljina0
Zrinjski2
01.09.25LIG
Zrinjski2
Radnik Bijeljina0
10.05.25LIG
Zrinjski5
Radnik Bijeljina0
15.12.24LIG
Radnik Bijeljina2
Zrinjski0
16.10.24LIG
Zrinjski2
Radnik Bijeljina0
14.03.23CUP
Zrinjski2
Radnik Bijeljina0
01.03.23CUP
Radnik Bijeljina1
Zrinjski3
19.03.22LIG
Zrinjski4
Radnik Bijeljina0
Recent Form
Zrinjski
11.04.26LIG
FK Sarajevo2
Zrinjski1
L
08.04.26CUP
Radnik Bijeljina0
Zrinjski0
D
03.04.26LIG
Velez Mostar0
Zrinjski1
W
22.03.26LIG
Zrinjski1
Prijedor0
W
18.03.26SC
Zrinjski1
FK Sarajevo0
W
15.03.26LIG
Posusje1
Zrinjski1
D
11.03.26CUP
Zrinjski3
GOSK Gabela2
W
08.03.26LIG
Zrinjski2
Radnik Bijeljina1
W
05.03.26CUP
GOSK Gabela1
Zrinjski2
W
02.03.26LIG
Zeljeznicar1
Zrinjski3
W
Radnik Bijeljina
11.04.26LIG
Radnik Bijeljina0
Zeljeznicar3
L
08.04.26CUP
Radnik Bijeljina0
Zrinjski0
D
04.04.26LIG
Radnik Bijeljina2
Siroki Brijeg0
W
21.03.26LIG
Borac Banja Luka1
Radnik Bijeljina0
L
17.03.26CUP
Radnik Bijeljina4
Laktasi0
W
14.03.26LIG
Radnik Bijeljina0
Sloga Meridian0
D
08.03.26LIG
Zrinjski2
Radnik Bijeljina1
L
28.02.26LIG
Radnik Bijeljina1
Velez Mostar0
W
25.02.26CUP
Laktasi2
Radnik Bijeljina0
L
21.02.26LIG
Prijedor0
Radnik Bijeljina0
D
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Wednesday, 15th April 2026, Zrinjski host Radnik Bijeljina in Bosnian Cup. Our analysis desk recommends Zrinjski to win as the standout selection.

Zrinjski arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Radnik Bijeljina are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Zrinjski, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Radnik Bijeljina's 1, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 20% of those meetings.

Our verdict: zrinjski to win at odds of 1.24 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Bosnian Cup game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.24. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 15 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Zrinjski vs Radnik Bijeljina?
Our selection is 1 — Zrinjski to win, priced at approximately 1.24. Tip confidence rating: 64%.
What is Zrinjski's current form?
Zrinjski have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Radnik Bijeljina been performing recently?
Radnik Bijeljina have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Zrinjski lead with 8 wins versus Radnik Bijeljina's 1, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
⚠️
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