WON Case WON WIT Georgia 4-2 Iveria Khashuri
Fixture Case File · Ref V
W

WIT Georgia

Home Side
D W D W W
5W 5D 0L ▼ Trending Down
VS
4-2
I
Iveria Khashuri
Away Side
L L D L W
4W 1D 5L → Holding Steady
MODERATE
50%
Thursday, 9th April 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on WIT Georgia to win
WIT Georgia 50%
Draw 30%
Iveria Khashuri 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob73%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-23%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBWIT<G<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<I<<<<<<K<<<<<<<<<371CDE3B04DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 10 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
WIT Georgia
Metric
Iveria Khashuri
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.4
50%
Clean Sheets
30%
5-5-0
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate
50%
40%
2.5
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
I0
I1
I2
I3
I4
I5
W0
0-0 8.2%
0-1 7.0%
0-2 3.0%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
W1
1-0 13.5%
1-1 11.5%
1-2 4.9%
1-3 1.4%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
W2
2-0 11.2%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 4.0%
2-3 1.1%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
W3
3-0 6.2%
3-1 5.2%
3-2 2.2%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
W4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
W5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(13.5%) 2-0(11.2%) 2-1(9.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing W=Home goals ↓   I=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
WIT Georgia Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Iveria Khashuri Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
WIT Georgia
Overall
6.5
Scoring
6.3
Defence
8.0
Iveria Khashuri
Overall
4.3
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 23%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
WIT Georgia
02.04.26
Liga 3: FC Iberia 20101
WIT Georgia1
D
12.03.26
Liga 3: Margveti 20060
WIT Georgia3
W
05.03.26
Liga 3: WIT Georgia0
Gardabani0
D
05.12.25
Liga 3: WIT Georgia5
Bakhmaro0
W
28.11.25
Liga 3: Borjomi0
WIT Georgia1
W
20.11.25
Liga 3: WIT Georgia2
Tbilisi 20252
D
13.11.25
Liga 3: Gardabani0
WIT Georgia1
W
06.11.25
Liga 3: WIT Georgia4
Loco. Tbilisi 21
W
30.10.25
Liga 3: Betlemi1
WIT Georgia1
D
23.10.25
Liga 3: WIT Georgia1
Merani Tbilisi1
D
Iveria Khashuri
02.04.26
Liga 3: Iveria Khashuri0
Tbilisi 20253
L
12.03.26
Liga 3: Iveria Khashuri0
FC Gonio1
L
05.03.26
Liga 3: Iberia 1999 II0
Iveria Khashuri0
D
25.08.10
Georgia Cup: Iveria Khashuri0
Spartaki Tskhinvali2
L
06.06.05
Erovnuli L2: Iveria Khashuri3
Guria Lanchkhuti0
W
31.05.05
Erovnuli L2: Metalurgi Rustavi3
Iveria Khashuri1
L
24.05.05
Erovnuli L2: Iveria Khashuri2
WIT Georgia II1
W
20.05.05
Erovnuli L2: FC Gareji3
Iveria Khashuri2
L
15.05.05
Erovnuli L2: Chikhura Sachkhere0
Iveria Khashuri1
W
12.05.05
Erovnuli L2: Iveria Khashuri2
Magaroeli Chiatura1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Thursday, 9th April 2026, WIT Georgia host Iveria Khashuri in Georgia Liga 3. Our analysis desk recommends WIT Georgia to win as the standout selection.

WIT Georgia arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 5 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Iveria Khashuri are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 1D 5L across 10 matches.

Our verdict: wit georgia to win at odds of 1.37 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Georgia Liga 3 game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.37. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 10 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for WIT Georgia vs Iveria Khashuri?
Our selection is 1 — WIT Georgia to win, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is WIT Georgia's current form?
WIT Georgia have won 5, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Iveria Khashuri been performing recently?
Iveria Khashuri have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game.
⚠️
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