WON Case WON Oran 2-1 Rouisset
Fixture Case File · Ref V
O

Oran

Home Side
W W L W W
5W 2D 3L ▼ Trending Down
VS
2-1
R
Rouisset
Away Side
D L L D L
3W 2D 5L ▲ Trending Up
MODERATE
59%
Thursday, 9th April 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Oran to win
Oran 50%
Draw 30%
Rouisset 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob80%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-21%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBO<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<R<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<6E15358844DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 10 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Oran to win
1.25
Under 2.5 Goals80% BTTS — No75%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Oran vs Rouisset Competition: Algeria Ligue 1 Date: Thursday, 9th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Oran to win) Odds: 1.25 Confidence: 59% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: BTTS — No (75%) Ledger Ref: 6E1535884
Head to Head
Record
1
Oran
0
Draws
0
Rouisset
1
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Oran won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Oran
Metric
Rouisset
1.1
Goals For / Game
0
0.9
Goals Against / Game
0
30%
Clean Sheets
0%
5-2-3
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
50%
30%
1
Avg Goals
35%
Over 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
O0
0-0 36.8%
0-1 16.6%
0-2 3.7%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
O1
1-0 20.2%
1-1 9.1%
1-2 2.1%
1-3 0.3%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
O2
2-0 5.6%
2-1 2.5%
2-2 0.6%
2-3 0.1%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
O3
3-0 1.0%
3-1 0.5%
3-2 0.1%
3-3 0.0%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
O4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.0%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
O5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(20.2%) 2-0(5.6%) 2-1(2.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing O=Home goals ↓   R=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Oran Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Rouisset Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Oran
Overall
5.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
7.0
Rouisset
Overall
3.6
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 38%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 10%
Home Win & Under 2.5 40%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 16%
Away Win & Over 2.5 6%
Away Win & Under 2.5 24%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
11.08.25
Ligue 1: MB Rouissat1
MC Oran3
Recent Form
Oran
03.04.26
Ligue 1: CS Constantine0
MC Oran1
W
17.03.26
Ligue 1: MC Oran2
MC El Bayadh0
W
13.03.26
Ligue 1: JS Saoura2
MC Oran0
L
06.03.26
Ligue 1: MC Oran2
USM Khenchela1
W
27.02.26
Ligue 1: Paradou AC1
MC Oran2
W
20.02.26
Ligue 1: MC Oran2
MC Alger1
W
13.02.26
Ligue 1: ES Mostaganem0
MC Oran0
D
06.02.26
Ligue 1: MC Oran0
Olympique Akbou1
L
30.01.26
Ligue 1: ES Ben Aknoun2
MC Oran1
L
23.01.26
Ligue 1: USM Alger1
MC Oran1
D
Rouisset
03.04.26
Ligue 1: MB Rouissat1
Olympique Akbou1
D
18.03.26
Ligue 1: ES Ben Aknoun3
MB Rouissat2
L
07.03.26
Ligue 1: CR Belouizdad3
MB Rouissat1
L
28.02.26
Ligue 1: MB Rouissat1
ASO Chlef1
D
20.02.26
Ligue 1: ES Sétif2
MB Rouissat1
L
14.02.26
Ligue 1: MB Rouissat1
ES Mostaganem0
W
08.02.26
Ligue 1: MB Rouissat1
CS Constantine2
L
04.02.26
Ligue 1: MC El Bayadh2
MB Rouissat0
L
24.01.26
Ligue 1: MB Rouissat1
JS Saoura0
W
09.01.26
Ligue 1: MB Rouissat2
USM Khenchela0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Thursday, 9th April 2026, Oran host Rouisset in Algeria Ligue 1. Our analysis desk recommends Oran to win as the standout selection.

Oran arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Rouisset are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Oran, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Rouisset's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: oran to win at odds of 1.25 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Algeria Ligue 1 game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.25. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 10 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Oran vs Rouisset?
Our selection is 1 — Oran to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Oran's current form?
Oran have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Rouisset been performing recently?
Rouisset have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Oran lead with 1 wins versus Rouisset's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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