WON Case WON Ujpest W 0-7 Puskas Academy W
Fixture Case File · Ref V
U

Ujpest W

Home Side
D L W W L
5W 2D 3L ▼ Trending Down
VS
0-7
P
Puskas Academy W
Away Side
W W D D L
6W 2D 2L ▲ Trending Up
CASE VERIFIED
72%
Wednesday, 1st April 2026 Case Verdict
Over 2.5
Filing on over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob73.5%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-1.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBU<<<<<<W<<<<<<<<<<<<<<P<<<<<<A<<<<<<<W<0D96CB46C4DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 1 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.36
Under 2.5 Goals100% BTTS — No100%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Ujpest W vs Puskas Academy W Competition: Hungary NB 1 Women Date: Wednesday, 1st April 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.36 Confidence: 72% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (100%) Also: BTTS — No (100%) Ledger Ref: 0D96CB46C
Head to Head
Record
0
Ujpest W
3
Draws
0
Puskas Academy W
3
Meetings
6.3
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Over 2.5 in 100% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Ujpest W
Metric
Puskas Academy W
0
Goals For / Game
0
0
Goals Against / Game
0
0%
Clean Sheets
0%
5-2-3
W — D — L
6-2-2
Win Rate
50%
60%
0
Avg Goals
0%
Over 1.5
0%
Over 2.5
0%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
U0
0-0 67.0%
0-1 13.4%
0-2 1.3%
0-3 0.1%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
U1
1-0 13.4%
1-1 2.7%
1-2 0.3%
1-3 0.0%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
U2
2-0 1.3%
2-1 0.3%
2-2 0.0%
2-3 0.0%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
U3
3-0 0.1%
3-1 0.0%
3-2 0.0%
3-3 0.0%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
U4
4-0 0.0%
4-1 0.0%
4-2 0.0%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
U5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-0(67.0%) 0-1(13.4%) 1-0(13.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing U=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Ujpest W
Overall
5.6
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
Puskas Academy W
Overall
6.6
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Home Win & BTTS No 38%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 47%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 0%
Home Win & Under 2.5 38%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 47%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
27.09.25
NBI: Puskás Akadémia W6
Újpest1
19.03.23
NBI: Újpest W2
Puskás Akadémia5
27.08.22
NBI: Puskás Akadémia W5
Újpest0
Recent Form
Ujpest W
28.03.26
NBI: Szent Mihály W1
Újpest W1
D
21.03.26
NBI: Újpest W0
Ferencváros W3
L
14.03.26
NBI: Budaörsi SC W0
Újpest W2
W
21.02.26
NBI: Újpest W1
Viktória FC W0
W
14.02.26
CUP: Újpest W0
DVTK W3
L
08.02.26
CF: Újpest W4
Z. Moravce-Vrable W0
W
31.01.26
CF: Újpest W2
Komarno W0
W
22.11.25
NBI: Pécsi MFC W1
Újpest W1
D
15.11.25
NBI: Szekszárdi W1
Újpest W4
W
08.11.25
NBI: Újpest W0
MTK Hungária W3
L
Puskas Academy W
28.03.26
NBI: Puskás Akadémia W1
Győri ETO W0
W
21.03.26
NBI: DVTK W1
Puskás Akadémia W2
W
14.03.26
NBI: Puskás Akadémia W0
Honvéd W0
D
21.02.26
NBI: Puskás Akadémia W0
MTK Hungária W0
D
14.02.26
CUP: Puskás Akadémia W2
Ferencváros W (AET)3
L
31.01.26
CF: Slovácko W1
Puskás Akadémia W0
L
22.11.25
NBI: Szent Mihály W2
Puskás Akadémia W3
W
15.11.25
NBI: Ferencváros W1
Puskás Akadémia W3
W
08.11.25
NBI: Puskás Akadémia W5
Budaörsi SC W1
W
02.11.25
NBI: Viktória FC W0
Puskás Akadémia W3
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Wednesday, 1st April 2026, Ujpest W host Puskas Academy W in Hungary NB 1 Women. Our analysis desk recommends over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Ujpest W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Puskas Academy W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 2D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Ujpest W, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Puskas Academy W's 0, with 3 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.36 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Hungary NB 1 Women game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is Over 2.5, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.36. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 1 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Ujpest W vs Puskas Academy W?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 72%.
What is Ujpest W's current form?
Ujpest W have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Puskas Academy W been performing recently?
Puskas Academy W have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Ujpest W lead with 0 wins versus Puskas Academy W's 0, with 3 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 0 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
⚠️
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