LOST Case LOST Sreenidi Deccan 0-0 Lajong
Fixture Case File · Ref V
S

Sreenidi Deccan

Home Side
W D W L W
3W 3D 4L ▼ Trending Down
VS
0-0
L
Lajong
Away Side
W W L W D
6W 1D 3L ▲ Trending Up
CASE VERIFIED
94%
Wednesday, 1st April 2026 Case Verdict
Over 1.5
Filing on over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob84.7%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge+9.3%Value detected
Kelly %60.7%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBS<<<<<<<<D<<<<<<<<<<<<L<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<9FC2CF7B14DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 1 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.18
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Sreenidi Deccan vs Lajong Competition: India I-League Date: Wednesday, 1st April 2026 Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals) Odds: 1.18 Confidence: 94% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Ledger Ref: 9FC2CF7B1
Head to Head
Record
1
Sreenidi Deccan
2
Draws
1
Lajong
4
Meetings
5.8
Avg Goals
75%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Over 1.5 in 100% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Sreenidi Deccan
Metric
Lajong
1
Goals For / Game
2
1.5
Goals Against / Game
1
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
3-3-4
W — D — L
6-1-3
Win Rate
30%
60%
2.8
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
S0
0-0 6.4%
0-1 11.2%
0-2 9.8%
0-3 5.7%
0-4 2.5%
0-5 0.9%
S1
1-0 6.4%
1-1 11.2%
1-2 9.8%
1-3 5.7%
1-4 2.5%
1-5 0.9%
S2
2-0 3.2%
2-1 5.6%
2-2 4.9%
2-3 2.9%
2-4 1.3%
2-5 0.4%
S3
3-0 1.1%
3-1 1.9%
3-2 1.6%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.2%
S4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.5%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(11.2%) 1-1(11.2%) 0-2(9.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing S=Home goals ↓   L=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Sreenidi Deccan
Overall
3.9
Scoring
3.3
Defence
5.0
Lajong
Overall
6.3
Scoring
6.7
Defence
6.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Home Win & BTTS No 11%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Away Win & BTTS No 22%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 16%
Home Win & Under 2.5 11%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 33%
Away Win & Under 2.5 22%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
14.02.25
IL: Shillong Lajong4
Sreenidi Deccan0
18.01.25
IL: Sreenidi Deccan5
Shillong Lajong5
13.04.24
IL: Sreenidi Deccan3
Shillong Lajong2
14.11.23
IL: Shillong Lajong2
Sreenidi Deccan2
Recent Form
Sreenidi Deccan
25.03.26
I-League: Sreenidi Deccan3
Dempo SC1
W
19.03.26
I-League: Sreenidi Deccan1
Namdhari FC1
D
14.03.26
I-League: Gokulam Kerala0
Sreenidi Deccan1
W
07.03.26
I-League: Chanmari FC2
Sreenidi Deccan1
L
28.02.26
I-League: Diamond Harbour0
Sreenidi Deccan1
W
11.10.25
IFS: Sreenidi Deccan0
Namdhari FC3
L
08.10.25
IFS: East Bengal4
Sreenidi Deccan0
L
05.04.25
I-League: Sreenidi Deccan2
SC Bengaluru2
D
30.03.25
I-League: Gokulam Kerala1
Sreenidi Deccan0
L
23.03.25
I-League: Churchill Brothers1
Sreenidi Deccan1
D
Lajong
26.03.26
I-League: Gokulam Kerala0
Shillong Lajong2
W
19.03.26
I-League: Chanmari FC1
Shillong Lajong2
W
14.03.26
I-League: Shillong Lajong1
Diamond Harbour2
L
08.03.26
I-League: Shillong Lajong2
Real Kashmir1
W
01.03.26
I-League: Shillong Lajong1
Rajasthan United1
D
19.08.25
Durand Cup: Shillong Lajong0
NorthEast Utd1
L
16.08.25
Durand Cup: Shillong Lajong2
Indian Navy1
W
08.08.25
Durand Cup: Shillong Lajong1
NorthEast Utd2
L
29.07.25
Durand Cup: Shillong Lajong3
Rangdajied United1
W
26.07.25
Durand Cup: Shillong Lajong6
ATM FA0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Wednesday, 1st April 2026, Sreenidi Deccan host Lajong in India I-League. Our analysis desk recommends over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

Sreenidi Deccan arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Lajong are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 1D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Sreenidi Deccan, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Lajong's 1, with 2 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 75% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.18 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This India I-League game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is Over 1.5, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.18. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 1 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Sreenidi Deccan vs Lajong?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 94%.
What is Sreenidi Deccan's current form?
Sreenidi Deccan have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Lajong been performing recently?
Lajong have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Sreenidi Deccan lead with 1 wins versus Lajong's 1, with 2 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 75%.
⚠️
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