LOST Case LOST Colo Colo 1-0 Huachipato
Fixture Case File · Ref V
C

Colo Colo

Home Side
W D W W L
7W 1D 2L ▼ Trending Down
VS
1-0
H
Huachipato
Away Side
L D L L L
3W 1D 6L ▲ Trending Up
CASE VERIFIED
85%
Wednesday, 1st April 2026 Case Verdict
Over 1.5
Filing on over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob80.6%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge+4.4%Value detected
Kelly %22.5%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBC<<<<C<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<H<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<7D4A451074DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 2 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
7
Colo Colo
1
Draws
2
Huachipato
10
Meetings
2.3
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Over 1.5 in 70% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Colo Colo
Metric
Huachipato
1.6
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.6
50%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-1-2
W — D — L
3-1-6
Win Rate
70%
30%
2.5
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
C0
0-0 8.2%
0-1 7.4%
0-2 3.3%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
C1
1-0 13.1%
1-1 11.8%
1-2 5.3%
1-3 1.6%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
C2
2-0 10.5%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 4.3%
2-3 1.3%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
C3
3-0 5.6%
3-1 5.0%
3-2 2.3%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 2.2%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(13.1%) 1-1(11.8%) 2-0(10.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing C=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Colo Colo
Overall
7.3
Scoring
5.3
Defence
7.7
Huachipato
Overall
3.3
Scoring
3.7
Defence
4.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
17.03.26
LDP: Colo-Colo2
Huachipato0
03.08.25
LDP: Colo-Colo2
Huachipato2
02.03.25
LDP: Huachipato2
Colo-Colo1
13.11.24
SC: Huachipato0
Colo-Colo2
13.10.24
LDP: Huachipato1
Colo-Colo2
03.03.24
LDP: Colo-Colo2
Huachipato0
29.07.23
LDP: Colo-Colo3
Huachipato1
01.04.23
LDP: Huachipato0
Colo-Colo1
23.07.22
LDP: Colo-Colo1
Huachipato0
27.02.22
LDP: Huachipato1
Colo-Colo0
Recent Form
Colo Colo
17.03.26
LDP: Colo-Colo2
Huachipato0
03.08.25
LDP: Colo-Colo2
Huachipato2
02.03.25
LDP: Huachipato2
Colo-Colo1
13.11.24
SC: Huachipato0
Colo-Colo2
13.10.24
LDP: Huachipato1
Colo-Colo2
03.03.24
LDP: Colo-Colo2
Huachipato0
29.07.23
LDP: Colo-Colo3
Huachipato1
01.04.23
LDP: Huachipato0
Colo-Colo1
23.07.22
LDP: Colo-Colo1
Huachipato0
27.02.22
LDP: Huachipato1
Colo-Colo0
Huachipato
25.03.26
CDL: Huachipato0
Coquimbo Unido1
L
21.03.26
CDL: Huachipato2
D. Concepción2
D
17.03.26
LDP: Colo-Colo2
Huachipato0
L
07.03.26
LDP: Huachipato1
Coquimbo Unido3
L
28.02.26
LDP: Limache3
Huachipato0
L
24.02.26
LIB: Huachipato1
Carabobo2
L
21.02.26
LDP: Huachipato2
Palestino1
W
17.02.26
LIB: Carabobo1
Huachipato0
L
13.02.26
LDP: Everton0
Huachipato3
W
08.02.26
LDP: Huachipato2
U. de Chile1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Wednesday, 1st April 2026, Colo Colo host Huachipato in Chile: Copa De La Liga. Our analysis desk recommends over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

Colo Colo arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Huachipato are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 1D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Colo Colo, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Huachipato's 2, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.24 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Chile: Copa De La Liga game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is Over 1.5, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.24. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 2 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Colo Colo vs Huachipato?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.24. Tip confidence rating: 85%.
What is Colo Colo's current form?
Colo Colo have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Huachipato been performing recently?
Huachipato have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Colo Colo lead with 7 wins versus Huachipato's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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