WON Case WON Donbirn 0-3 Wacker Innsbruck
Fixture Case File · Ref V
D

Donbirn

Home Side
W W W W W
9W 0D 1L ▲ Trending Up
VS
0-3
W
Wacker Innsbruck
Away Side
W W L W W
8W 1D 1L ▲ Trending Up
MODERATE
62%
Wednesday, 25th March 2026 Case Verdict
Over 2.5
Filing on over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob69%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-7%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBD<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<W<<<<<<I<<<<<<<<<480FF57EE4DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 26 Mar 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.45
Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No80% Wacker Innsbruck Clean Sheet60%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Donbirn vs Wacker Innsbruck Competition: Austria Regionalliga West Date: Wednesday, 25th March 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.45 Confidence: 62% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: BTTS — No (80%) Also: Wacker Innsbruck Clean Sheet (60%) Ledger Ref: 480FF57EE
Head to Head
Record
0
Donbirn
1
Draws
8
Wacker Innsbruck
9
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
11%
BTTS
44%
Over 2.5
Neutral Over 2.5 in 44% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Donbirn
Metric
Wacker Innsbruck
0
Goals For / Game
2.2
0
Goals Against / Game
0.8
0%
Clean Sheets
60%
9-0-1
W — D — L
8-1-1
Win Rate
90%
80%
1.5
Avg Goals
35%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
W0
W1
W2
W3
W4
W5
D0
0-0 22.3%
0-1 24.5%
0-2 13.5%
0-3 5.0%
0-4 1.4%
0-5 0.3%
D1
1-0 8.9%
1-1 9.8%
1-2 5.4%
1-3 2.0%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
D2
2-0 1.8%
2-1 2.0%
2-2 1.1%
2-3 0.4%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
D3
3-0 0.2%
3-1 0.3%
3-2 0.1%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
D4
4-0 0.0%
4-1 0.0%
4-2 0.0%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
D5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(24.5%) 0-0(22.3%) 0-2(13.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing D=Home goals ↓   W=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Donbirn
Overall
9.0
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
Wacker Innsbruck
Overall
8.3
Scoring
7.3
Defence
7.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Home Win & BTTS No 41%
Draw & BTTS Yes 1%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 37%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 15%
Home Win & Under 2.5 36%
Draw & Over 2.5 1%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 32%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
15.08.25
RL: Wacker Innsbruck4
FC Dornbirn0
22.05.22
ERS: Wacker Innsbruck3
FC Dornbirn0
20.11.21
ERS: FC Dornbirn1
Wacker Innsbruck0
09.04.21
ERS: Wacker Innsbruck1
FC Dornbirn0
26.10.20
ERS: FC Dornbirn0
Wacker Innsbruck1
29.05.20
CF: FC Dornbirn2
Wacker Innsbruck3
01.03.20
ERS: FC Dornbirn0
Wacker Innsbruck4
04.08.19
ERS: Wacker Innsbruck1
FC Dornbirn0
07.05.10
ERS: Wacker Innsbruck2
FC Dornbirn0
Recent Form
Donbirn
21.03.26
RL: Kitzbühel0
FC Dornbirn4
W
14.03.26
RL: FC Dornbirn4
Wals-Grünau2
W
06.02.26
CF: Hard0
FC Dornbirn6
W
21.01.26
CF: FC Dornbirn6
Altach U213
W
15.11.25
RL: FC Dornbirn1
Saalfelden0
W
31.10.25
RL: Reichenau1
FC Dornbirn0
L
25.10.25
RL: FC Dornbirn3
Seekirchen0
W
18.10.25
RL: Altach U210
FC Dornbirn2
W
11.10.25
RL: FC Dornbirn3
TSV St. Johann1
W
04.10.25
RL: Kufstein0
FC Dornbirn3
W
Wacker Innsbruck
20.03.26
RL: Wacker Innsbruck4
Reichenau0
W
14.03.26
RL: Seekirchen0
Wacker Innsbruck1
W
22.02.26
CF: Wacker Innsbruck1
Ceske Budejovice3
L
04.02.26
CF: Unterhaching2
Wacker Innsbruck3
W
24.01.26
CF: Bregenz1
Wacker Innsbruck3
W
15.11.25
RL: Altach U212
Wacker Innsbruck2
D
08.11.25
RL: Wacker Innsbruck1
TSV St. Johann0
W
02.11.25
RL: Kufstein0
Wacker Innsbruck2
W
26.10.25
RL: Wacker Innsbruck4
Hohenems0
W
19.10.25
RL: Kuchl0
Wacker Innsbruck1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Wednesday, 25th March 2026, Donbirn host Wacker Innsbruck in Austria Regionalliga West. Our analysis desk recommends over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Donbirn arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Wacker Innsbruck are travelling well, with a record of 8W 1D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Donbirn, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Wacker Innsbruck's 8, with 1 draws from 9 encounters. Both teams have scored in 11% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.45 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Austria Regionalliga West game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is Over 2.5, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.45. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 26 Mar 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Donbirn vs Wacker Innsbruck?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.45. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Donbirn's current form?
Donbirn have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Wacker Innsbruck been performing recently?
Wacker Innsbruck have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Donbirn lead with 0 wins versus Wacker Innsbruck's 8, with 1 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 11%.
⚠️
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