LOST Case LOST Gyor 0-0 MTK Budapest

Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽

Gyor

Q: What is the recommended bet for Gyor vs MTK Budapest?

Our selection is 1 — Gyor to win, priced at approximately 1.44. Tip confidence rating: 62%.

Q: What is Gyor's current form?

Gyor have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

Q: How has MTK Budapest been performing recently?

MTK Budapest have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.

Q: What does the head-to-head record show?

Gyor lead with 3 wins versus MTK Budapest's 1, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.

Q: How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.

Home Side

L W W W W

4W 0D 1L ▲ Trending Up

0-0

MTK Budapest

Away Side

D D L D L

0W 3D 2L → Holding Steady

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MODERATE

62%

Friday, 13th March 2026 Case Verdict

Filing on Gyor to win

Gyor 50%

Draw 30%

MTK Budapest 20%

H Fair Odds2

D Fair Odds3.33

A Fair Odds5

Implied Prob69.4%Bookmaker's implied odds

Case Edge-7.4%Overpriced

Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %

Fixture Ledger Code

V<DFBG<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<MTK<B<<<<<<<<<<<<CE5B539D94DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 13 Mar 2026

✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked

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Supporting Markets

Extras

Primary Filing

1 — Gyor to win

1.44

Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes90%

📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder

Gyor vs MTK Budapest Competition: Hungary NB 1 Date: Friday, 13th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Gyor to win) Odds: 1.44 Confidence: 62% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: BTTS — Yes (90%) Ledger Ref: CE5B539D9

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Head to Head

Record

Gyor

Draws

MTK Budapest

Meetings

4.4

Avg Goals

80%

BTTS

100%

Over 2.5

Supports Filing Gyor won 3 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).

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Stats Duel

Comparison

Gyor

Metric

MTK Budapest

2.2

Goals For / Game

1.4

Goals Against / Game

20%

Clean Sheets

4-0-1

W — D — L

0-3-2

Win Rate

80%

3.5

Avg Goals

90%

Over 1.5

80%

Over 2.5

90%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 3.0%

0-1 4.2%

0-2 3.0%

0-3 1.4%

0-4 0.5%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 6.3%

1-1 8.9%

1-2 6.2%

1-3 2.9%

1-4 1.0%

1-5 0.3%

2-0 6.7%

2-1 9.3%

2-2 6.5%

2-3 3.1%

2-4 1.1%

2-5 0.3%

3-0 4.7%

3-1 6.5%

3-2 4.6%

3-3 2.1%

3-4 0.8%

3-5 0.2%

4-0 2.5%

4-1 3.4%

4-2 2.4%

4-3 1.1%

4-4 0.4%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 1.0%

5-1 1.4%

5-2 1.0%

5-3 0.5%

5-4 0.2%

5-5 0.1%

Top Scores 2-1(9.3%) 2-0(6.7%) 3-1(6.5%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing G=Home goals ↓ M=Away →

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Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

Gyor Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

MTK Budapest Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

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Team Ratings

Grades

Gyor

Overall

8.0 —

Scoring

7.3 —

Defence

5.3 —

MTK Budapest

Overall

1.8 —

Scoring

4.7 —

Defence

3.3 —

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 66%

Home Win & BTTS No 7%

Draw & BTTS Yes 24%

Draw & BTTS No 3%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%

Away Win & BTTS No 0%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 58%

Home Win & Under 2.5 15%

Draw & Over 2.5 22%

Draw & Under 2.5 5%

Away Win & Over 2.5 0%

Away Win & Under 2.5 0%

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File

Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

⚽ NBI (Nov 29, 2025): Gyor3

MTK Budapest0

⚽ NBI (Aug 17, 2025): MTK Budapest2

Gyor7

⚽ NBI (Mar 29, 2025): Gyor2

MTK Budapest1

⚽ NBI (Nov 23, 2024): MTK Budapest2

Gyor2

⚽ NBI (Aug 11, 2024): Gyor1

MTK Budapest2

Recent Form

Gyor

⚽ NBI (Mar 7, 2026): Zalaegerszegi2

Gyor1

⚽ HC (Mar 3, 2026): Gyor3

Kecskemeti TE1

⚽ NBI (Feb 28, 2026): Gyor2

Ujpest1

⚽ NBI (Feb 22, 2026): Paks3

Gyor4

⚽ NBI (Feb 15, 2026): Gyor1

Kisvarda0

MTK Budapest

⚽ NBI (Mar 8, 2026): MTK Budapest1

DVTK1

⚽ NBI (Feb 27, 2026): Debrecen2

MTK Budapest2

⚽ NBI (Feb 23, 2026): MTK Budapest1

Ferencvaros3

⚽ NBI (Feb 14, 2026): MTK Budapest2

Puskas Academy2

⚽ HC (Feb 11, 2026): MTK Budapest1

Kecskemeti TE2

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Match Analysis

Case Notes

On Friday, 13th March 2026, Gyor host MTK Budapest in Hungary NB 1. Our analysis desk recommends Gyor to win as the standout selection.

Gyor arrive in strong form, having recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from their last 5 outings.

MTK Budapest are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 3D 2L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Gyor, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to MTK Budapest's 1, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: gyor to win at odds of 1.44 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution

DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst

Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.

Reviewed on 13 Mar 2026

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Gyor vs MTK Budapest?

Our selection is 1 — Gyor to win, priced at approximately 1.44. Tip confidence rating: 62%.

What is Gyor's current form?

Gyor have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

How has MTK Budapest been performing recently?

MTK Budapest have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Gyor lead with 3 wins versus MTK Budapest's 1, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.

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