WON Case WON Dyn Kyiv 2-1 Obolon

Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽

Dyn Kyiv

Q: What is the recommended bet for Dyn Kyiv vs Obolon?

Our selection is 1 — Dyn Kyiv to win, priced at approximately 1.23. Tip confidence rating: 72%.

Q: What is Dyn Kyiv's current form?

Dyn Kyiv have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

Q: How has Obolon been performing recently?

Obolon have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from 5 recent games.

Q: What does the head-to-head record show?

Dyn Kyiv lead with 3 wins versus Obolon's 1, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.

Q: How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.

Home Side

W W W W W

5W 0D 0L → Holding Steady

2-1

Obolon

Away Side

D W W D D

2W 3D 0L → Holding Steady

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CASE VERIFIED

72%

Friday, 13th March 2026 Case Verdict

Filing on Dyn Kyiv to win

Dyn Kyiv 60%

Draw 20%

Obolon 20%

H Fair Odds1.67

D Fair Odds5

A Fair Odds5

Implied Prob81.3%Bookmaker's implied odds

Case Edge-9.3%Overpriced

Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %

Fixture Ledger Code

V<DFBD<<<K<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<O<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<D9E8AE89F4DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 13 Mar 2026

✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked

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Supporting Markets

Extras

Primary Filing

1 — Dyn Kyiv to win

1.23

BTTS — No70% Dyn Kyiv Clean Sheet80% Obolon Clean Sheet60%

📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder

Dyn Kyiv vs Obolon Competition: Ukraine Premier League Date: Friday, 13th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Dyn Kyiv to win) Odds: 1.23 Confidence: 72% Also: BTTS — No (70%) Also: Dyn Kyiv Clean Sheet (80%) Also: Obolon Clean Sheet (60%) Ledger Ref: D9E8AE89F

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Head to Head

Record

Dyn Kyiv

Draws

Obolon

Meetings

3.2

Avg Goals

40%

BTTS

60%

Over 2.5

Supports Filing Dyn Kyiv won 3 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).

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Stats Duel

Comparison

Dyn Kyiv

Metric

Obolon

2.2

Goals For / Game

1.6

0.2

Goals Against / Game

0.8

80%

Clean Sheets

60%

5-0-0

W — D — L

2-3-0

Win Rate

100%

40%

2.4

Avg Goals

70%

Over 1.5

40%

Over 2.5

30%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 9.1%

0-1 8.2%

0-2 3.7%

0-3 1.1%

0-4 0.3%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 13.6%

1-1 12.3%

1-2 5.5%

1-3 1.7%

1-4 0.4%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 10.2%

2-1 9.2%

2-2 4.1%

2-3 1.2%

2-4 0.3%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 5.1%

3-1 4.6%

3-2 2.1%

3-3 0.6%

3-4 0.1%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 1.9%

4-1 1.7%

4-2 0.8%

4-3 0.2%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.6%

5-1 0.5%

5-2 0.2%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 1-0(13.6%) 2-0(10.2%) 2-1(9.2%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing D=Home goals ↓ O=Away →

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Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

Dyn Kyiv Win

60%

1.67

Draw

20%

Obolon Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

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Team Ratings

Grades

Dyn Kyiv

Overall

10.0 —

Scoring

7.3 —

Defence

9.3 —

Obolon

Overall

5.8 —

Scoring

5.3 —

Defence

7.3 —

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%

Home Win & BTTS No 41%

Draw & BTTS Yes 5%

Draw & BTTS No 13%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%

Away Win & BTTS No 16%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 24%

Home Win & Under 2.5 35%

Draw & Over 2.5 7%

Draw & Under 2.5 11%

Away Win & Over 2.5 9%

Away Win & Under 2.5 14%

🧮

Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File

Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

⚽ PL (Sep 13, 2025): Obolon2

Dyn. Kyiv2

⚽ PL (Apr 18, 2025): Dyn. Kyiv3

Obolon0

⚽ PL (Oct 19, 2024): Obolon1

Dyn. Kyiv5

⚽ PL (Dec 11, 2023): Dyn. Kyiv2

Obolon0

⚽ CUP (Sep 27, 2023): Obolon1

Dyn. Kyiv0

Recent Form

Dyn Kyiv

⚽ PL (Mar 8, 2026): Polissya Zhytomyr1

Dyn. Kyiv2

⚽ CUP (Mar 3, 2026): Dyn. Kyiv2

Inhulets0

⚽ PL (Feb 27, 2026): Dyn. Kyiv4

Epitsentr0

⚽ PL (Feb 20, 2026): Dyn. Kyiv1

Rukh Lviv0

⚽ CF (Feb 14, 2026): Dyn. Kyiv2

RFS0

Obolon

PL (Mar 7, 2026): Obolon0

Kryvbas0

⚽ PL (Mar 1, 2026): Obolon1

Rukh Lviv0

⚽ PL (Feb 23, 2026): Oleksandriya0

Obolon (Awarded)3

⚽ CF (Feb 12, 2026): Obolon1

Pakhtakor1

⚽ CF (Feb 12, 2026): Obolon3

Koge3

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Match Analysis

Case Notes

On Friday, 13th March 2026, Dyn Kyiv host Obolon in Ukraine Premier League. Our analysis desk recommends Dyn Kyiv to win as the standout selection.

Dyn Kyiv arrive in strong form, having recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Obolon are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 2W 3D 0L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Dyn Kyiv, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Obolon's 1, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: dyn kyiv to win at odds of 1.23 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution

DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst

Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.

Reviewed on 13 Mar 2026

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Dyn Kyiv vs Obolon?

Our selection is 1 — Dyn Kyiv to win, priced at approximately 1.23. Tip confidence rating: 72%.

What is Dyn Kyiv's current form?

Dyn Kyiv have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

How has Obolon been performing recently?

Obolon have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Dyn Kyiv lead with 3 wins versus Obolon's 1, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.

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