LOST Case LOST Al Rayyan 1-2 Al Shahaniya

Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽

Al Rayyan

Q: What is the recommended bet for Al Rayyan vs Al Shahaniya?

Our selection is 1 — Al Rayyan to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 67%.

Q: What is Al Rayyan's current form?

Al Rayyan have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

Q: How has Al Shahaniya been performing recently?

Al Shahaniya have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from 5 recent games.

Q: What does the head-to-head record show?

Al Rayyan lead with 4 wins versus Al Shahaniya's 1, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.

Q: How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.

Home Side

L W W W W

4W 0D 1L ▲ Trending Up

1-2

Al Shahaniya

Away Side

W L L L L

1W 0D 4L ▼ Trending Down

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CASE VERIFIED

67%

Friday, 13th March 2026 Case Verdict

Filing on Al Rayyan to win

Al Rayyan 50%

Draw 30%

Al Shahaniya 20%

H Fair Odds2

D Fair Odds3.33

A Fair Odds5

Implied Prob76.3%Bookmaker's implied odds

Case Edge-9.3%Overpriced

Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %

Fixture Ledger Code

V<DFBA<<R<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<A<<S<<<<<<<<<<<<<BF0DD622F4DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 13 Mar 2026

✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked

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Supporting Markets

Extras

Primary Filing

1 — Al Rayyan to win

1.31

Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals100%

📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder

Al Rayyan vs Al Shahaniya Competition: Qatar QSL Date: Friday, 13th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Al Rayyan to win) Odds: 1.31 Confidence: 67% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (100%) Ledger Ref: BF0DD622F

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Head to Head

Record

Al Rayyan

Draws

Al Shahaniya

Meetings

4.4

Avg Goals

80%

BTTS

80%

Over 2.5

Supports Filing Al Rayyan won 4 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).

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Stats Duel

Comparison

Al Rayyan

Metric

Al Shahaniya

2.4

Goals For / Game

Goals Against / Game

40%

Clean Sheets

4-0-1

W — D — L

1-0-4

Win Rate

80%

20%

3.7

Avg Goals

100%

Over 1.5

80%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 2.5%

0-1 2.5%

0-2 1.2%

0-3 0.4%

0-4 0.1%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 6.7%

1-1 6.7%

1-2 3.3%

1-3 1.1%

1-4 0.3%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 9.0%

2-1 9.0%

2-2 4.5%

2-3 1.5%

2-4 0.4%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 8.1%

3-1 8.1%

3-2 4.1%

3-3 1.4%

3-4 0.3%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 5.5%

4-1 5.5%

4-2 2.7%

4-3 0.9%

4-4 0.2%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 3.0%

5-1 3.0%

5-2 1.5%

5-3 0.5%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 2-0(9.0%) 2-1(9.0%) 3-0(8.1%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing A=Home goals ↓ A=Away →

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Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

Al Rayyan Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Al Shahaniya Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

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Team Ratings

Grades

Al Rayyan

Overall

8.0 —

Scoring

8.0 —

Defence

6.7 —

Al Shahaniya

Overall

2.0 —

Scoring

3.3 —

Defence

0.0 —

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 40%

Home Win & BTTS No 40%

Draw & BTTS Yes 0%

Draw & BTTS No 0%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%

Away Win & BTTS No 10%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 64%

Home Win & Under 2.5 16%

Draw & Over 2.5 0%

Draw & Under 2.5 0%

Away Win & Over 2.5 16%

Away Win & Under 2.5 4%

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File

Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

⚽ QSL (Nov 9, 2025): Al-Shahaniya1

Al Rayyan5

⚽ QSL (Feb 8, 2025): Al-Shahaniya2

Al Rayyan1

⚽ QSL (Sep 13, 2024): Al Rayyan4

Al-Shahaniya2

⚽ QSC (Aug 30, 2024): Al Rayyan1

Al-Shahaniya0

⚽ CF (Jan 31, 2024): Al Rayyan4

Al-Shahaniya2

Recent Form

Al Rayyan

⚽ QSL (Feb 26, 2026): Al-Gharafa3

Al Rayyan2

⚽ QSL (Feb 22, 2026): Al Rayyan2

Al Ahli Doha1

⚽ GCC (Feb 17, 2026): Al Rayyan3

Al Nahda1

⚽ EMI (Feb 14, 2026): Al Rayyan2

Al Khor0

⚽ GCC (Feb 11, 2026): Tadamone Hadramout0

Al Rayyan3

Al Shahaniya

⚽ QSL (Feb 27, 2026): Al Ahli Doha1

Al-Shahaniya2

⚽ QSL (Feb 20, 2026): Al-Shahaniya3

Qatar SC4

⚽ EMI (Feb 13, 2026): Al-Shahaniya0

Al Arabi2

⚽ QSL (Feb 5, 2026): Al-Sadd4

Al-Shahaniya0

⚽ QSL (Jan 29, 2026): Al Wakra4

Al-Shahaniya0

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Match Analysis

Case Notes

On Friday, 13th March 2026, Al Rayyan host Al Shahaniya in Qatar QSL. Our analysis desk recommends Al Rayyan to win as the standout selection.

Al Rayyan arrive in strong form, having recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Al Shahaniya are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 0D 4L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Rayyan, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Al Shahaniya's 1, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al rayyan to win at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution

DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst

Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.

Reviewed on 13 Mar 2026

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Al Rayyan vs Al Shahaniya?

Our selection is 1 — Al Rayyan to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 67%.

What is Al Rayyan's current form?

Al Rayyan have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

How has Al Shahaniya been performing recently?

Al Shahaniya have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Al Rayyan lead with 4 wins versus Al Shahaniya's 1, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.

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