WON Case WON Kidderminster 4-0 Peterborough Sports

Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽

Kidderminster

Q: What is the recommended bet for Kidderminster vs Peterborough Sports?

Our selection is 1 — Kidderminster to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 56%.

Q: What is Kidderminster's current form?

Kidderminster have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

Q: How has Peterborough Sports been performing recently?

Peterborough Sports have recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats from 5 recent games.

Q: What does the head-to-head record show?

Kidderminster lead with 3 wins versus Peterborough Sports's 2, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.

Q: How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.

Home Side

W W L W D

3W 1D 1L ▼ Trending Down

4-0

Peterborough Sports

Away Side

0W 0D 5L → Holding Steady

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MODERATE

56%

Tuesday, 10th March 2026 Case Verdict

Filing on Kidderminster to win

Kidderminster 50%

Draw 30%

Peterborough Sports 20%

H Fair Odds2

D Fair Odds3.33

A Fair Odds5

Implied Prob75.8%Bookmaker's implied odds

Case Edge-19.8%Overpriced

Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %

Fixture Ledger Code

V<DFBK<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<P<<<<<<<<<<<<S<<<FBEDACBE74DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 11 Mar 2026

✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked

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Supporting Markets

Extras

Primary Filing

1 — Kidderminster to win

1.32

Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80%

📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder

Kidderminster vs Peterborough Sports Competition: National League North Date: Tuesday, 10th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Kidderminster to win) Odds: 1.32 Confidence: 56% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Ledger Ref: FBEDACBE7

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Head to Head

Record

Kidderminster

Draws

Peterborough Sports

Meetings

2.2

Avg Goals

40%

BTTS

60%

Over 2.5

Supports Filing Kidderminster won 3 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).

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Stats Duel

Comparison

Kidderminster

Metric

Peterborough Sports

Goals For / Game

0.6

0.8

Goals Against / Game

2.6

40%

Clean Sheets

3-1-1

W — D — L

0-0-5

Win Rate

60%

Avg Goals

80%

Over 1.5

70%

Over 2.5

60%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 5.0%

0-1 3.5%

0-2 1.2%

0-3 0.3%

0-4 0.1%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 11.5%

1-1 8.0%

1-2 2.8%

1-3 0.7%

1-4 0.1%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 13.2%

2-1 9.2%

2-2 3.2%

2-3 0.8%

2-4 0.1%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 10.1%

3-1 7.1%

3-2 2.5%

3-3 0.6%

3-4 0.1%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 5.8%

4-1 4.1%

4-2 1.4%

4-3 0.3%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 2.7%

5-1 1.9%

5-2 0.7%

5-3 0.2%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 2-0(13.2%) 1-0(11.5%) 3-0(10.1%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing K=Home goals ↓ P=Away →

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Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

Kidderminster Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Peterborough Sports Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

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Team Ratings

Grades

Kidderminster

Overall

6.6 —

Scoring

6.7 —

Defence

7.3 —

Peterborough Sports

Overall

0.0 —

Scoring

2.0 —

Defence

1.3 —

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 52%

Home Win & BTTS No 34%

Draw & BTTS Yes 8%

Draw & BTTS No 6%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%

Away Win & BTTS No 0%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 60%

Home Win & Under 2.5 26%

Draw & Over 2.5 10%

Draw & Under 2.5 4%

Away Win & Over 2.5 0%

Away Win & Under 2.5 0%

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File

Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

⚽ NLN (04.10.25): Peterborough Sports2

Kidderminster1

⚽ NLN (29.03.25): Kidderminster3

Peterborough Sports0

⚽ NLN (26.10.24): Peterborough Sports0

Kidderminster1

⚽ FAT (10.02.24): Peterborough Sports1

Kidderminster0

⚽ NLN (28.01.23): Peterborough Sports1

Kidderminster2

Recent Form

Kidderminster

⚽ NLN (07.03.26): Buxton1

Kidderminster3

⚽ NLN (03.03.26): Kidderminster1

Alfreton0

⚽ FAT (28.02.26): Kidderminster1

Wealdstone2

⚽ NLN (24.02.26): Kidderminster4

Marine0

⚽ NLN (21.02.26): Kidderminster1

Southport1

Peterborough Sports

⚽ NLN (07.03.26): Peterborough Sports0

Southport1

⚽ NLN (28.02.26): Peterborough Sports0

South Shields3

⚽ NLN (24.02.26): Bedford4

Peterborough Sports1

⚽ NLN (21.02.26): Radcliffe2

Peterborough Sports1

⚽ NLN (14.02.26): Peterborough Sports1

Spennymoor3

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Match Analysis

Case Notes

On Tuesday, 10th March 2026, Kidderminster host Peterborough Sports in National League North. Our analysis desk recommends Kidderminster to win as the standout selection.

Kidderminster arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Peterborough Sports are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 0D 5L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Kidderminster, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Peterborough Sports's 2, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: kidderminster to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution

DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst

Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.

Reviewed on 11 Mar 2026

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Kidderminster vs Peterborough Sports?

Our selection is 1 — Kidderminster to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 56%.

What is Kidderminster's current form?

Kidderminster have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

How has Peterborough Sports been performing recently?

Peterborough Sports have recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Kidderminster lead with 3 wins versus Peterborough Sports's 2, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.

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