WON Case WON Kauno Zalgiris 4-0 Panevezys

Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽

Kauno Zalgiris

Q: What is the recommended bet for Kauno Zalgiris vs Panevezys?

Our selection is 1 — Kauno Zalgiris to win, priced at approximately 1.43. Tip confidence rating: 68%.

Q: What is Kauno Zalgiris's current form?

Kauno Zalgiris have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

Q: How has Panevezys been performing recently?

Panevezys have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.

Q: What does the head-to-head record show?

Kauno Zalgiris lead with 4 wins versus Panevezys's 1, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.

Q: How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.

Home Side

W W W W W

5W 0D 0L → Holding Steady

4-0

Panevezys

Away Side

D L D L W

1W 2D 2L ▲ Trending Up

⚑

CASE VERIFIED

68%

Tuesday, 10th March 2026 Case Verdict

Filing on Kauno Zalgiris to win

Kauno Zalgiris 50%

Draw 30%

Panevezys 20%

H Fair Odds2

D Fair Odds3.33

A Fair Odds5

Implied Prob69.9%Bookmaker's implied odds

Case Edge-1.9%Overpriced

Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %

Fixture Ledger Code

V<DFBK<<<<<Z<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<P<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<F31DC4C574DFB2607262M2607269<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 11 Mar 2026

✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked

⚔

Head to Head

Record

Kauno Zalgiris

Draws

Panevezys

Meetings

2.4

Avg Goals

20%

BTTS

40%

Over 2.5

Supports Filing Kauno Zalgiris won 4 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).

📊

Stats Duel

Comparison

Kauno Zalgiris

Metric

Panevezys

1.6

Goals For / Game

1.2

0.6

Goals Against / Game

1.4

40%

Clean Sheets

20%

5-0-0

W — D — L

1-2-2

Win Rate

100%

20%

2.4

Avg Goals

60%

Over 1.5

50%

Over 2.5

60%

BTTS Rate

🎯

Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 9.1%

0-1 8.2%

0-2 3.7%

0-3 1.1%

0-4 0.3%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 13.6%

1-1 12.3%

1-2 5.5%

1-3 1.7%

1-4 0.4%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 10.2%

2-1 9.2%

2-2 4.1%

2-3 1.2%

2-4 0.3%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 5.1%

3-1 4.6%

3-2 2.1%

3-3 0.6%

3-4 0.1%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 1.9%

4-1 1.7%

4-2 0.8%

4-3 0.2%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.6%

5-1 0.5%

5-2 0.2%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 1-0(13.6%) 2-0(10.2%) 2-1(9.2%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing K=Home goals ↓ P=Away →

📉

Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

Kauno Zalgiris Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Panevezys Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

📈

Team Ratings

Grades

Kauno Zalgiris

Overall

10.0 —

Scoring

5.3 —

Defence

8.0 —

Panevezys

Overall

3.2 —

Scoring

4.0 —

Defence

5.3 —

🔀

Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 43%

Home Win & BTTS No 28%

Draw & BTTS Yes 8%

Draw & BTTS No 6%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%

Away Win & BTTS No 6%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 36%

Home Win & Under 2.5 36%

Draw & Over 2.5 7%

Draw & Under 2.5 7%

Away Win & Over 2.5 8%

Away Win & Under 2.5 8%

🧮

Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File

Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.

📜

Match Archives

History

Head to Head

⚽ SC (16.02.26): Kauno Zalgiris1

FK Panevezys0

⚽ TL (02.11.25): Kauno Zalgiris3

FK Panevezys2

⚽ TL (24.08.25): FK Panevezys1

Kauno Zalgiris0

⚽ TL (24.06.25): Kauno Zalgiris3

FK Panevezys0

⚽ TL (19.04.25): FK Panevezys0

Kauno Zalgiris2

Recent Form

Kauno Zalgiris

⚽ TL (07.03.26): Dziugas Telsiai1

Kauno Zalgiris2

⚽ TL (28.02.26): Kauno Zalgiris1

Banga0

⚽ TL (23.02.26): Riteriai1

Kauno Zalgiris2

⚽ SC (16.02.26): Kauno Zalgiris1

FK Panevezys0

⚽ CF (06.02.26): Kauno Zalgiris2

Zimbru Chisinau1

Panevezys

⚽ TL (07.03.26): FK Panevezys1

Hegelmann1

⚽ TL (27.02.26): Zalgiris4

FK Panevezys1

⚽ TL (22.02.26): FK Panevezys0

Suduva0

⚽ SC (16.02.26): Kauno Zalgiris1

FK Panevezys0

⚽ CF (11.02.26): FK Panevezys4

Transinvest1

📝

Match Analysis

Case Notes

On Tuesday, 10th March 2026, Kauno Zalgiris host Panevezys in Lithuania TopLyga. Our analysis desk recommends Kauno Zalgiris to win as the standout selection.

Kauno Zalgiris arrive in strong form, having recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Panevezys are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 2D 2L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Kauno Zalgiris, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Panevezys's 1, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 20% of those meetings.

Our verdict: kauno zalgiris to win at odds of 1.43 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution

DailyForebet Verification Desk

Senior Fixture Analyst

Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.

Reviewed on 11 Mar 2026

❓

Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Kauno Zalgiris vs Panevezys?

Our selection is 1 — Kauno Zalgiris to win, priced at approximately 1.43. Tip confidence rating: 68%.

What is Kauno Zalgiris's current form?

Kauno Zalgiris have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

How has Panevezys been performing recently?

Panevezys have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Kauno Zalgiris lead with 4 wins versus Panevezys's 1, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.

🔗

More Cases Today

⚠️

Bet Responsibly. DailyForebet provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.