WON Case WON Zhejiang W 1-3 Beijing Beikong W
Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽
Z

Zhejiang W

Home Side
L D W L L
4W 1D 5L ▲ Trending Up
VS
1-3
12:00 pm
N/A
B
Beijing Beikong W
Away Side
D D D W W
6W 3D 1L ▼ Trending Down
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CASE VERIFIED
75%
Monday, 19th October 2026 Case Verdict
2
Filing on Beijing Beikong W to win
Implied Prob80.6%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-5.6%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBZ<<<<<<<<W<<<<<<<<<<<<B<<<<<<<B<<<<<<<WB6E4299C44DFB2610192M2610199<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 19 Oct 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
⚡
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
2 — Beijing Beikong W to win
1.24
Under 2.5 Goals80%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Zhejiang W vs Beijing Beikong W Competition: China Super League Women Date: Monday, 19th October 2026 KO: 12:00 pm Pick: 2 (Beijing Beikong W to win) Odds: 1.24 Confidence: 75% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (80%) Ledger Ref: B6E4299C4
⚔
Head to Head
Record
1
Zhejiang W
0
Draws
9
Beijing Beikong W
10
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Beijing Beikong W won 9 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Zhejiang W
Metric
Beijing Beikong W
0.5
Goals For / Game
1.7
0.6
Goals Against / Game
0.9
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-1-5
W — D — L
6-3-1
Win Rate
40%
60%
1.9
Avg Goals
45%
Over 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
Z0
0-0 15.7%
0-1 18.1%
0-2 10.4%
0-3 4.0%
0-4 1.2%
0-5 0.3%
Z1
1-0 11.0%
1-1 12.7%
1-2 7.3%
1-3 2.8%
1-4 0.8%
1-5 0.2%
Z2
2-0 3.9%
2-1 4.4%
2-2 2.6%
2-3 1.0%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
Z3
3-0 0.9%
3-1 1.0%
3-2 0.6%
3-3 0.2%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
Z4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.2%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
Z5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(18.1%) 0-2(10.4%) 1-2(7.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing Z=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Zhejiang W
Overall
4.3 ▲
Scoring
1.7 ▲
Defence
8.0 ▲
Beijing Beikong W
Overall
6.9 ▲
Scoring
5.7 ▲
Defence
7.0 ▲
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 30%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 7%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 14%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 40%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
26.04.26SL
Beijing Beikong W4
Zhejiang1
23.07.25SL
Zhejiang W0
Beijing Beikong2
22.06.25SL
Beijing Beikong W3
Zhejiang1
30.06.24SL
Beijing Beikong W6
Zhejiang0
24.03.24SL
Zhejiang W1
Beijing Beikong2
25.11.23SL
Zhejiang W0
Beijing Beikong1
14.05.23SL
Beijing Beikong W0
Zhejiang1
22.11.21SL
Beijing Beikong W2
Zhejiang1
22.10.21SL
Beijing Beikong W3
Zhejiang1
26.08.20SL
Zhejiang W0
Beijing Beikong4
Recent Form
Zhejiang W
10.10.26SL
Liaoning W1
Zhejiang W0
L
19.07.26SL
Shaanxi Changan W1
Zhejiang W1
D
14.07.26SL
Zhejiang W1
Changchun Dazhong W0
W
04.07.26SL
Jiangsu Suning W1
Zhejiang W0
L
28.06.26SL
Shandong SL W1
Zhejiang W0
L
24.06.26SL
Zhejiang W0
Shanghai RCB W1
L
20.06.26SL
Sichuan W0
Zhejiang W1
W
14.06.26SL
Zhejiang W1
Guangxi Pingguo W0
W
16.05.26SL
Zhejiang W0
Liaoning W1
L
09.05.26SL
Guangdong Meizhou W0
Zhejiang W1
W
Beijing Beikong W
11.10.26SL
Beijing Beikong W1
Shanghai RCB W1
D
19.07.26SL
Shandong SL W1
Beijing Beikong W1
D
12.07.26SL
Beijing Beikong W1
Shanghai RCB W1
D
05.07.26SL
Beijing Beikong W2
Shaanxi Changan W1
W
29.06.26SL
Guangxi Pingguo W0
Beijing Beikong W2
W
24.06.26SL
Sichuan W1
Beijing Beikong W3
W
19.06.26SL
Beijing Beikong W3
Changchun Dazhong W1
W
13.06.26SL
Guangdong Meizhou W0
Beijing Beikong W1
W
17.05.26SL
Beijing Beikong W3
Jiangsu Suning W2
W
10.05.26SL
Wuhan Jiangda W1
Beijing Beikong W0
L
Zhejiang W (Home)
14.07.26SL
Zhejiang W1
Changchun Dazhong W0
W
24.06.26SL
Zhejiang W0
Shanghai RCB W1
L
14.06.26SL
Zhejiang W1
Guangxi Pingguo W0
W
16.05.26SL
Zhejiang W0
Liaoning W1
L
02.05.26SL
Zhejiang W0
Wuhan Jiangda W3
L
30.08.25SL
Zhejiang W1
Shanghai RCB W1
D
24.08.25SL
Zhejiang W2
Yongchuan Chashan W2
D
13.08.25SL
Zhejiang W2
Liaoning W2
D
03.08.25SL
Zhejiang W1
Shandong SL W1
D
23.07.25SL
Zhejiang W0
Beijing Beikong W2
L
Beijing Beikong W (Away)
19.07.26SL
Shandong SL W1
Beijing Beikong W1
D
29.06.26SL
Guangxi Pingguo W0
Beijing Beikong W2
W
24.06.26SL
Sichuan W1
Beijing Beikong W3
W
13.06.26SL
Guangdong Meizhou W0
Beijing Beikong W1
W
10.05.26SL
Wuhan Jiangda W1
Beijing Beikong W0
L
31.08.25SL
Henan Songshan Longmen W3
Beijing Beikong W3
D
03.08.25SL
Changchun Dazhong W1
Beijing Beikong W1
D
27.07.25SL
Guangdong Meizhou W2
Beijing Beikong W1
L
23.07.25SL
Zhejiang W0
Beijing Beikong W2
W
19.07.25SL
Liaoning W1
Beijing Beikong W0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Monday, 19th October 2026, Zhejiang W host Beijing Beikong W at N/A in China Super League Women. Our analysis desk recommends Beijing Beikong W to win as the standout selection.

Zhejiang W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Beijing Beikong W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 3D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Zhejiang W, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Beijing Beikong W's 9, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: beijing beikong w to win at odds of 1.24 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This China Super League Women fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at N/A, and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 2 wins, 3 draws from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 2 at @1.24, a call the model rates at roughly 23%. Things get underway at 12:00 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 19 Oct 2026
❓
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Zhejiang W vs Beijing Beikong W?
Our selection is 2 — Beijing Beikong W to win, priced at approximately 1.24. Tip confidence rating: 75%.
What is Zhejiang W's current form?
Zhejiang W have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Beijing Beikong W been performing recently?
Beijing Beikong W have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Zhejiang W lead with 1 wins versus Beijing Beikong W's 9, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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