WON Case WON Young Africans 4-0 JKT Tanzania
Fixture Case File · Ref V
Y

Young Africans

Home Side
W W W W W
9W 0D 1L ▲ Trending Up
VS
4-0
4:00 pm
Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium
J
JKT Tanzania
Away Side
L D L W D
2W 4D 4L ▼ Trending Down
CASE VERIFIED
75%
Monday, 24th August 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Young Africans to win
Implied Prob87.7%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-12.7%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBY<<<<<A<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<JKT<T<<<<<<<<<<<<4D7F48D9B4DFB2608242M2608249<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 25 Aug 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Young Africans to win
1.14
Over 1.5 Goals85% Young Africans Clean Sheet60%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Young Africans vs JKT Tanzania Competition: Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara Date: Monday, 24th August 2026 KO: 4:00 pm Pick: 1 (Young Africans to win) Odds: 1.14 Confidence: 75% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Also: Young Africans Clean Sheet (60%) Ledger Ref: 4D7F48D9B
Head to Head
Record
8
Young Africans
2
Draws
0
JKT Tanzania
10
Meetings
2.2
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Young Africans won 8 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Young Africans
Metric
JKT Tanzania
2.6
Goals For / Game
0.9
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.5
60%
Clean Sheets
20%
9-0-1
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate
90%
20%
2.8
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
J0
J1
J2
J3
J4
J5
Y0
0-0 6.1%
0-1 4.6%
0-2 1.7%
0-3 0.4%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
Y1
1-0 12.5%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 3.5%
1-3 0.9%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
Y2
2-0 12.8%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 3.6%
2-3 0.9%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
Y3
3-0 8.7%
3-1 6.6%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
Y4
4-0 4.5%
4-1 3.4%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
Y5
5-0 1.8%
5-1 1.4%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-0(12.8%) 1-0(12.5%) 2-1(9.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing Y=Home goals ↓   J=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Young Africans
Overall
9.0
Scoring
8.7
Defence
8.0
JKT Tanzania
Overall
3.2
Scoring
3.0
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 38%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 41%
Home Win & Under 2.5 28%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
30.06.26LKB
JKT Tanzania0
Young Africans3
16.05.26FAC
JKT Tanzania0
Young Africans2
25.02.26LKB
Young Africans5
JKT Tanzania0
18.05.25FAC
Young Africans2
JKT Tanzania0
10.02.25LKB
JKT Tanzania0
Young Africans0
22.10.24LKB
Young Africans2
JKT Tanzania0
24.04.24LKB
JKT Tanzania0
Young Africans0
29.08.23LKB
Young Africans5
JKT Tanzania0
19.05.21LKB
JKT Tanzania0
Young Africans2
28.11.20LKB
Young Africans1
JKT Tanzania0
Recent Form
Young Africans
20.08.26LKB
Young Africans4
Coastal Union1
W
15.08.26LKB
Namungo1
Young Africans3
W
12.08.26CS
Simba0
Young Africans1
W
30.06.26LKB
JKT Tanzania0
Young Africans3
W
27.06.26LKB
Young Africans3
TRA United0
W
24.06.26LKB
Young Africans3
Azam0
W
21.06.26FAC
Azam3
Young Africans2
L
18.06.26LKB
Fountain Gate0
Young Africans2
W
13.06.26LKB
Mashujaa0
Young Africans2
W
25.05.26LKB
Young Africans3
Namungo1
W
JKT Tanzania
20.08.26LKB
Polisi Tanzania2
JKT Tanzania0
L
16.08.26LKB
JKT Tanzania1
TRA United1
D
30.06.26LKB
JKT Tanzania0
Young Africans3
L
27.06.26LKB
Pamba1
JKT Tanzania2
W
24.06.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji0
JKT Tanzania0
D
18.06.26LKB
JKT Tanzania0
Tanzania Prisons1
L
13.06.26LKB
JKT Tanzania1
Singida Black Stars2
L
24.05.26LKB
Mtibwa Sugar2
JKT Tanzania2
D
21.05.26LKB
JKT Tanzania2
Fountain Gate2
D
16.05.26FAC
JKT Tanzania0
Young Africans2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Monday, 24th August 2026, Young Africans host JKT Tanzania at Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium in Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara. Our analysis desk recommends Young Africans to win as the standout selection.

Young Africans arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

JKT Tanzania are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 4D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Young Africans, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to JKT Tanzania's 0, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: young africans to win at odds of 1.14 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 5 wins from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 1 at @1.14, a call the model rates at roughly 61%. Things get underway at 4:00 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 25 Aug 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Young Africans vs JKT Tanzania?
Our selection is 1 — Young Africans to win, priced at approximately 1.14. Tip confidence rating: 75%.
What is Young Africans's current form?
Young Africans have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has JKT Tanzania been performing recently?
JKT Tanzania have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Young Africans lead with 8 wins versus JKT Tanzania's 0, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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