WON Case WON Vindbjart 2-1 Odd 2
Fixture Case File ยท Ref V โšฝ
V

Vindbjart

Home Side
W L W W D
5W 2D 3L โ–ฒ Trending Up
VS
2-1
5:00 pm
N/A
O
Odd 2
Away Side
D D W L L
2W 4D 4L โ–ฒ Trending Up
โš‘
MODERATE
53%
Sunday, 8th March 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Vindbjart to win
Vindbjart 50%
Draw 30%
Odd 2 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob74.1%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-21.1%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBV<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<O<<<2<<<<<<<<<<<<02C062C114DFB2603082M2603089<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst ยท Last checked 4 Aug 2026
โœ“ Data-Audited โœ“ Independently Checked
โšก
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 โ€” Vindbjart to win
1.35
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals100% BTTS โ€” Yes70%
๐Ÿ“‹ Case Slip / Combo Builder
Vindbjart vs Odd 2 Competition: Norway D3 Group 4 Date: Sunday, 8th March 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: 1 (Vindbjart to win) Odds: 1.35 Confidence: 53% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (100%) Also: BTTS โ€” Yes (70%) Ledger Ref: 02C062C11
โš”
Head to Head
Record
6
Vindbjart
0
Draws
4
Odd 2
10
Meetings
5
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Vindbjart won 6 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
๐Ÿ“Š
Stats Duel
Comparison
Vindbjart
Metric
Odd 2
2.6
Goals For / Game
1.7
1.4
Goals Against / Game
2
40%
Clean Sheets
0%
5-2-3
W โ€” D โ€” L
2-4-4
Win Rate
50%
20%
3.9
Avg Goals
100%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
๐ŸŽฏ
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
O0
O1
O2
O3
O4
O5
V0
0-0 2.1%
0-1 3.3%
0-2 2.6%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.2%
V1
1-0 4.9%
1-1 7.6%
1-2 5.9%
1-3 3.0%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.4%
V2
2-0 5.6%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 6.8%
2-3 3.5%
2-4 1.4%
2-5 0.4%
V3
3-0 4.3%
3-1 6.7%
3-2 5.2%
3-3 2.7%
3-4 1.0%
3-5 0.3%
V4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 3.9%
4-2 3.0%
4-3 1.5%
4-4 0.6%
4-5 0.2%
V5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.8%
5-2 1.4%
5-3 0.7%
5-4 0.3%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(8.7%) 3-1(6.7%) 2-0(5.6%)
โ–  Best match โ–  Possible โ–  Low ยท โ–  Contradicts filing V=Home goals โ†“   O=Away โ†’
๐Ÿ“‰
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Vindbjart Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Odd 2 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
๐Ÿ“ˆ
Team Ratings
Grades
Vindbjart
Overall
5.6 โ–ผ
Scoring
8.7 โ–ผ
Defence
5.3 โ–ผ
Odd 2
Overall
3.2 โ€”
Scoring
5.7 โ€”
Defence
3.3 โ€”
๐Ÿ”€
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 21%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 38%
Home Win & Under 2.5 13%
Draw & Over 2.5 23%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
๐Ÿงฎ
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ€”
Kelly %
โ€”
Stake
โ€”
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
๐Ÿ”Ž How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter โ€” a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee โ€” it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

๐Ÿ“ Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds โ€” no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status โ€” nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
๐Ÿ“œ
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
02.05.26DIV
Odd 22
Vindbjart3
14.07.24DIV
Vindbjart3
Odd 20
22.06.24DIV
Odd 22
Vindbjart3
04.09.23DIV
Vindbjart2
Odd 23
06.05.23DIV
Odd 20
Vindbjart1
16.09.17DIV
Odd 23
Vindbjart0
05.06.17DIV
Vindbjart2
Odd 24
22.10.16DIV
Odd 23
Vindbjart4
04.07.16DIV
Vindbjart3
Odd 20
24.10.15DIV
Odd 28
Vindbjart4
Recent Form
Vindbjart
25.07.26DIV
Hinna0
Vindbjart7
W
28.06.26DIV
Vindbjart2
Stabaek 23
L
21.06.26DIV
Akra0
Vindbjart2
W
13.06.26DIV
Vindbjart4
Haugesund 20
W
30.05.26DIV
Vindbjart2
Madla IL2
D
23.05.26DIV
Flekkeroy2
Vindbjart0
L
16.05.26DIV
Mandalskameratene2
Vindbjart0
L
09.05.26DIV
Vindbjart3
Staal Jorpeland3
D
02.05.26DIV
Odd 22
Vindbjart3
W
26.04.26DIV
Vindbjart3
Viking 20
W
Odd 2
27.07.26DIV
Odd 21
Vag1
D
28.06.26DIV
Varhaug2
Odd 22
D
22.06.26DIV
Odd 23
Flekkeroy1
W
15.06.26DIV
Staal Jorpeland5
Odd 22
L
31.05.26DIV
Odd 21
Akra2
L
26.05.26DIV
Brodd2
Odd 21
L
14.05.26DIV
Odd 22
Madla IL2
D
07.05.26DIV
Haugesund 21
Odd 22
W
02.05.26DIV
Odd 22
Vindbjart3
L
26.04.26DIV
Hinna1
Odd 21
D
Vindbjart (Home)
28.06.26DIV
Vindbjart2
Stabaek 23
L
13.06.26DIV
Vindbjart4
Haugesund 20
W
30.05.26DIV
Vindbjart2
Madla IL2
D
09.05.26DIV
Vindbjart3
Staal Jorpeland3
D
26.04.26DIV
Vindbjart3
Viking 20
W
11.04.26DIV
Vindbjart2
Brodd0
W
21.02.26CF
Vindbjart5
Vidar2
W
18.10.25DIV
Vindbjart2
Vidar2
D
04.10.25DIV
Vindbjart5
Madla IL2
W
22.09.25DIV
Vindbjart5
Viking 21
W
Odd 2 (Away)
28.06.26DIV
Varhaug2
Odd 22
D
15.06.26DIV
Staal Jorpeland5
Odd 22
L
26.05.26DIV
Brodd2
Odd 21
L
07.05.26DIV
Haugesund 21
Odd 22
W
26.04.26DIV
Hinna1
Odd 21
D
20.04.26DIV
Viking 24
Odd 20
L
07.04.26DIV
Stabaek 22
Odd 23
W
26.10.25DIV
Sarpsborg 08 21
Odd 20
L
06.10.25DIV
Drobak-Frogn0
Odd 21
W
02.10.25DIV
Fredrikstad 20
Odd 25
W
๐Ÿ“
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Sunday, 8th March 2026, Vindbjart host Odd 2 at N/A in Norway D3 Group 4. Our analysis desk recommends Vindbjart to win as the standout selection.

Vindbjart arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Odd 2 are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 4D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Vindbjart, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Odd 2's 4, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: vindbjart to win at odds of 1.35 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin โ€” and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Norway D3 Group 4 fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at N/A, and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 1 at @1.35, a call the model rates at roughly 50,30,20%. Things get underway at 5:00 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today โ€” worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 4 Aug 2026
โ“
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Vindbjart vs Odd 2?
Our selection is 1 โ€” Vindbjart to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Vindbjart's current form?
Vindbjart have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Odd 2 been performing recently?
Odd 2 have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Vindbjart lead with 6 wins versus Odd 2's 4, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
โš ๏ธ
Bet Responsibly. DailyForebet provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Betting carries risk: debt, isolation, dependency. Predictions are for entertainment and informational purposes only, not financial advice.