LOST Case LOST U Espanola W 0-0 S. Wanderers W
Fixture Case File · Ref V
U

U Espanola W

Home Side
L W W W W
5W 3D 2L → Holding Steady
VS
0-0
8:30 pm
N/A
S
S. Wanderers W
Away Side
L L L L W
2W 3D 5L → Holding Steady
MODERATE
47%
Saturday, 7th November 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on U Espanola W to win
U Espanola W 50%
Draw 30%
S. Wanderers W 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob75.8%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-28.8%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBU<E<<<<<<<<W<<<<<<<<<<S<<W<<<<<<<<<W<<<864B4D95C4DFB2611072M2611079<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 12 Jul 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — U Espanola W to win
1.32
Under 2.5 Goals75% BTTS — No65%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
U Espanola W vs S. Wanderers W Competition: Chile Primera Division Women Date: Saturday, 7th November 2026 KO: 8:30 pm Pick: 1 (U Espanola W to win) Odds: 1.32 Confidence: 47% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: BTTS — No (65%) Ledger Ref: 864B4D95C
Head to Head
Record
1
U Espanola W
2
Draws
0
S. Wanderers W
3
Meetings
2.3
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
33%
Over 2.5
Against Filing U Espanola W won 1 of the last 3 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
U Espanola W
Metric
S. Wanderers W
1.5
Goals For / Game
0.7
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.3
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
5-3-2
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate
50%
20%
2.2
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
U0
0-0 11.7%
0-1 8.7%
0-2 3.3%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
U1
1-0 16.3%
1-1 12.2%
1-2 4.6%
1-3 1.2%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
U2
2-0 11.4%
2-1 8.6%
2-2 3.2%
2-3 0.8%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
U3
3-0 5.3%
3-1 4.0%
3-2 1.5%
3-3 0.4%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
U4
4-0 1.9%
4-1 1.4%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
U5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(16.3%) 2-0(11.4%) 2-1(8.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing U=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
U Espanola W Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
S. Wanderers W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
U Espanola W
Overall
5.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.3
S. Wanderers W
Overall
2.9
Scoring
2.3
Defence
5.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 33%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 20%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 13%
Home Win & Under 2.5 38%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 23%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
13.05.26PD
S. Wanderers W1
U. Espanola1
24.05.25PD
U. Espanola W2
S. Wanderers2
09.03.25PD
S. Wanderers W0
U. Espanola1
Recent Form
U Espanola W
08.07.26PD
Deportes Iquique W1
U. Espanola W0
L
27.06.26PD
U. Espanola W3
Magallanes W0
W
19.06.26PD
Deportes Temuco W0
U. Espanola W1
W
13.06.26PD
U. Espanola W1
U. De Concepcion W0
W
30.05.26PD
U. Espanola W5
Recoleta W2
W
23.05.26PD
Huachipato W1
U. Espanola W1
D
17.05.26PD
U. Espanola W0
Palestino W2
L
13.05.26PD
S. Wanderers W1
U. Espanola W1
D
09.05.26PD
U. Espanola W1
U. De Chile W1
D
24.04.26PD
Magallanes W0
U. Espanola W2
W
S. Wanderers W
08.07.26PD
U. Catolica W2
S. Wanderers W0
L
03.07.26PD
Coquimbo W2
S. Wanderers W0
L
26.06.26PD
S. Wanderers W1
Recoleta W2
L
20.06.26PD
S. Wanderers W0
Coquimbo W2
L
29.05.26PD
Deportes Temuco W0
S. Wanderers W1
W
23.05.26PD
S. Wanderers W0
U. De Concepcion W0
D
16.05.26PD
U. De Chile W3
S. Wanderers W0
L
13.05.26PD
S. Wanderers W1
U. Espanola W1
D
10.05.26PD
S. Wanderers W0
Palestino W0
D
02.05.26PD
Recoleta W1
S. Wanderers W4
W
U Espanola W (Home)
27.06.26PD
U. Espanola W3
Magallanes W0
W
13.06.26PD
U. Espanola W1
U. De Concepcion W0
W
30.05.26PD
U. Espanola W5
Recoleta W2
W
17.05.26PD
U. Espanola W0
Palestino W2
L
09.05.26PD
U. Espanola W1
U. De Chile W1
D
04.04.26PD
U. Espanola W1
Deportes Iquique W0
W
21.03.26PD
U. Espanola W1
Coquimbo W0
W
14.11.25PD
U. Espanola W2
U. De Chile W3
L
07.11.25PD
U. Espanola W2
Deportes Iquique W0
W
07.09.25PD
U. Espanola W1
U. Catolica W0
W
S. Wanderers W (Away)
08.07.26PD
U. Catolica W2
S. Wanderers W0
L
03.07.26PD
Coquimbo W2
S. Wanderers W0
L
29.05.26PD
Deportes Temuco W0
S. Wanderers W1
W
16.05.26PD
U. De Chile W3
S. Wanderers W0
L
02.05.26PD
Recoleta W1
S. Wanderers W4
W
25.04.26PD
Deportes Iquique W2
S. Wanderers W1
L
27.03.26PD
U. Catolica W1
S. Wanderers W0
L
14.03.26PD
Huachipato W3
S. Wanderers W1
L
06.09.25PD
U. De Concepcion W1
S. Wanderers W0
L
27.08.25PD
Recoleta W0
S. Wanderers W3
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 7th November 2026, U Espanola W host S. Wanderers W at N/A in Chile Primera Division Women. Our analysis desk recommends U Espanola W to win as the standout selection.

U Espanola W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

S. Wanderers W are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 3D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour U Espanola W, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to S. Wanderers W's 0, with 2 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.

Our verdict: u espanola w to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Chile Primera Division Women fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at N/A, and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 1 at @1.32, a call the model rates at roughly 50,30,20%. Things get underway at 8:30 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 12 Jul 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for U Espanola W vs S. Wanderers W?
Our selection is 1 — U Espanola W to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 47%.
What is U Espanola W's current form?
U Espanola W have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has S. Wanderers W been performing recently?
S. Wanderers W have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
U Espanola W lead with 1 wins versus S. Wanderers W's 0, with 2 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
⚠️
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