LOST Case LOST Talleres (R.E) 0-0 Ituzaingo
Fixture Case File · Ref V
T

Talleres (R.E)

Home Side
W W L D W
6W 3D 1L → Holding Steady
VS
0-0
7:00 pm
Estadio de Talleres de Remedios de Escalada (Buenos Aires)
I
Ituzaingo
Away Side
D L L D L
1W 3D 6L ▲ Trending Up
CAUTION
43%
Thursday, 8th January 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Talleres (R.E) to win
Talleres (R.E) 50%
Draw 30%
Ituzaingo 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob75.2%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-32.2%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBT<<<<<<<<<R<E<<<<<<<<<I<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<D87DBF68F4DFB2601082M2601089<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 2 Aug 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Talleres (R.E) to win
1.33
Under 2.5 Goals65% Talleres (R.E) Clean Sheet60%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Talleres (R.E) vs Ituzaingo Competition: Argentina Primera B Date: Thursday, 8th January 2026 KO: 7:00 pm Pick: 1 (Talleres (R.E) to win) Odds: 1.33 Confidence: 43% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Talleres (R.E) Clean Sheet (60%) Ledger Ref: D87DBF68F
Head to Head
Record
1
Talleres (R.E)
5
Draws
3
Ituzaingo
9
Meetings
1.7
Avg Goals
33%
BTTS
22%
Over 2.5
Against Filing Talleres (R.E) won 1 of the last 9 meetings (5 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Talleres (R.E)
Metric
Ituzaingo
1.6
Goals For / Game
0.8
0.5
Goals Against / Game
1.5
60%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-3-1
W — D — L
1-3-6
Win Rate
60%
10%
2.2
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
I0
I1
I2
I3
I4
I5
T0
0-0 11.1%
0-1 7.2%
0-2 2.3%
0-3 0.5%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
T1
1-0 17.2%
1-1 11.2%
1-2 3.6%
1-3 0.8%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
T2
2-0 13.3%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 2.8%
2-3 0.6%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
T3
3-0 6.9%
3-1 4.5%
3-2 1.5%
3-3 0.3%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
T4
4-0 2.7%
4-1 1.7%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
T5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(17.2%) 2-0(13.3%) 2-1(8.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing T=Home goals ↓   I=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Talleres (R.E) Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Ituzaingo Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Talleres (R.E)
Overall
6.9
Scoring
5.3
Defence
8.3
Ituzaingo
Overall
1.9
Scoring
2.7
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 33%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 17%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 39%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 20%
Away Win & Over 2.5 4%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
21.03.26PB
Ituzaingo0
Talleres (R.E)0
23.09.23PB
Talleres (R.E)3
Ituzaingo0
21.05.23PB
Ituzaingo1
Talleres (R.E)1
17.07.22PB
Talleres (R.E)0
Ituzaingo2
20.03.22PB
Ituzaingo1
Talleres (R.E)0
23.05.14PC
Talleres (R.E)0
Ituzaingo1
14.12.13PC
Ituzaingo0
Talleres (R.E)0
09.03.02PB
Ituzaingo2
Talleres (R.E)2
01.09.01PB
Talleres (R.E)1
Ituzaingo1
Recent Form
Talleres (R.E)
26.07.26PB
Laferrere0
Talleres (R.E)2
W
18.07.26PB
Talleres (R.E)1
Brown Adrogue0
W
14.07.26PB
Deportivo Armenio2
Talleres (R.E)1
L
10.07.26PB
Talleres (R.E)1
Flandria1
D
05.07.26PB
Argentino de Quilmes0
Talleres (R.E)3
W
27.06.26PB
Talleres (R.E)1
Defensores Unidos0
W
21.06.26PB
Talleres (R.E)0
Comunicaciones0
D
13.06.26PB
Dock Sud1
Talleres (R.E)1
D
06.06.26PB
Talleres (R.E)2
Dep. Merlo0
W
31.05.26PB
Deportivo Camioneros1
Talleres (R.E)4
W
Ituzaingo
25.07.26PB
Ituzaingo0
Sportivo Italiano0
D
18.07.26PB
Laferrere2
Ituzaingo0
L
14.07.26PB
Ituzaingo1
San Martin Burzaco2
L
10.07.26PB
Brown Adrogue0
Ituzaingo0
D
04.07.26PB
Ituzaingo1
Villa San Carlos3
L
27.06.26PB
Deportivo Armenio2
Ituzaingo1
L
19.06.26PB
Ituzaingo1
Liniers1
D
13.06.26PB
Flandria3
Ituzaingo2
L
05.06.26PB
Ituzaingo2
Real Pilar0
W
01.06.26PB
Argentino de Quilmes2
Ituzaingo0
L
Talleres (R.E) (Home)
18.07.26PB
Talleres (R.E)1
Brown Adrogue0
W
10.07.26PB
Talleres (R.E)1
Flandria1
D
27.06.26PB
Talleres (R.E)1
Defensores Unidos0
W
21.06.26PB
Talleres (R.E)0
Comunicaciones0
D
06.06.26PB
Talleres (R.E)2
Dep. Merlo0
W
23.05.26PB
Talleres (R.E)0
Sportivo Italiano1
L
09.05.26PB
Talleres (R.E)1
Villa San Carlos0
W
26.04.26PB
Talleres (R.E)0
Real Pilar0
D
14.04.26PB
Talleres (R.E)0
Villa Dalmine2
L
04.04.26PB
Talleres (R.E)0
Arsenal Sarandi1
L
Ituzaingo (Away)
18.07.26PB
Laferrere2
Ituzaingo0
L
10.07.26PB
Brown Adrogue0
Ituzaingo0
D
27.06.26PB
Deportivo Armenio2
Ituzaingo1
L
13.06.26PB
Flandria3
Ituzaingo2
L
01.06.26PB
Argentino de Quilmes2
Ituzaingo0
L
16.05.26PB
Defensores Unidos2
Ituzaingo1
L
05.05.26PB
Comunicaciones3
Ituzaingo2
L
19.04.26PB
Dock Sud3
Ituzaingo0
L
11.04.26PB
Dep. Merlo3
Ituzaingo2
L
28.03.26PB
Deportivo Camioneros2
Ituzaingo1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Thursday, 8th January 2026, Talleres (R.E) host Ituzaingo at Estadio de Talleres de Remedios de Escalada (Buenos Aires) in Argentina Primera B. Our analysis desk recommends Talleres (R.E) to win as the standout selection.

Talleres (R.E) arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Ituzaingo are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 3D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Talleres (R.E), who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Ituzaingo's 3, with 5 draws from 9 encounters. Both teams have scored in 33% of those meetings.

Our verdict: talleres (r.e) to win at odds of 1.33 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Argentina Primera B fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at Estadio de Talleres de Remedios de Escalada (Buenos Aires), and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 2 draws, 3 losses from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 1 at @1.33, a call the model rates at roughly 50,30,20%. Things get underway at 7:00 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 2 Aug 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Talleres (R.E) vs Ituzaingo?
Our selection is 1 — Talleres (R.E) to win, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 43%.
What is Talleres (R.E)'s current form?
Talleres (R.E) have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ituzaingo been performing recently?
Ituzaingo have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Talleres (R.E) lead with 1 wins versus Ituzaingo's 3, with 5 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.
⚠️
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