WON Case WON Polanka nad Odrou 4-3 Hodonin
Fixture Case File · Ref V
P

Polanka nad Odrou

Home Side
L L D L L
2W 2D 6L ▼ Trending Down
VS
4-3
H
Hodonin
Away Side
D W W L W
7W 2D 1L ▲ Trending Up
CASE VERIFIED
66%
Wednesday, 3rd June 2026 Case Verdict
2
Filing on Hodonin to win
Polanka nad Odrou 30%
Draw 20%
Hodonin 50%
H Fair Odds3.33
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob70.4%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-4.4%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBP<<<<<<<<<<<O<<<<<<<<<H<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<9268C6D694DFB2609222M2609229<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 4 Jun 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
0
Polanka nad Odrou
0
Draws
1
Hodonin
1
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Hodonin won 1 of 1 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Polanka nad Odrou
Metric
Hodonin
0.9
Goals For / Game
1.9
1.8
Goals Against / Game
0.7
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
2-2-6
W — D — L
7-2-1
Win Rate
20%
70%
2.7
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
P0
0-0 7.1%
0-1 13.1%
0-2 12.1%
0-3 7.5%
0-4 3.5%
0-5 1.3%
P1
1-0 5.7%
1-1 10.5%
1-2 9.7%
1-3 6.0%
1-4 2.8%
1-5 1.0%
P2
2-0 2.3%
2-1 4.2%
2-2 3.9%
2-3 2.4%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.4%
P3
3-0 0.6%
3-1 1.1%
3-2 1.0%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
P4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.2%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
P5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(13.1%) 0-2(12.1%) 1-2(9.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing P=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Polanka nad Odrou Win
30%
3.33
Draw
20%
5
Hodonin Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Polanka nad Odrou
Overall
2.6
Scoring
3.0
Defence
4.0
Hodonin
Overall
7.6
Scoring
6.3
Defence
7.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Home Win & BTTS No 10%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Away Win & BTTS No 35%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 9%
Home Win & Under 2.5 9%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 32%
Away Win & Under 2.5 32%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
11.10.25MSFL
Hodonin4
Polanka nad Odrou0
Recent Form
Polanka nad Odrou
31.05.26MSFL
Polanka nad Odrou2
Hlubina4
L
24.05.26MSFL
Slovacko B4
Polanka nad Odrou0
L
20.05.26MSFL
Polanka nad Odrou0
Karvina B0
D
09.05.26MSFL
Trinec3
Polanka nad Odrou0
L
03.05.26MSFL
Polanka nad Odrou1
Blansko2
L
29.04.26MSFL
Hlucin0
Polanka nad Odrou2
W
26.04.26MSFL
Vitkovice0
Polanka nad Odrou3
W
19.04.26MSFL
Polanka nad Odrou0
FK Frydek-Mistek1
L
12.04.26MSFL
Unicov1
Polanka nad Odrou1
D
05.04.26MSFL
Sigma Olomouc B3
Polanka nad Odrou0
L
Hodonin
29.05.26MSFL
FK Frydek-Mistek1
Hodonin1
D
23.05.26MSFL
Hodonin3
Unicov1
W
20.05.26MSFL
Sigma Olomouc B0
Hodonin1
W
09.05.26MSFL
Hodonin0
Nove Mesto na Morave1
L
02.05.26MSFL
Vsetin0
Hodonin2
W
29.04.26MSFL
Hodonin1
Trinec1
D
25.04.26MSFL
Hodonin1
Brno B0
W
22.04.26MSFL
Start Brno1
Hodonin3
W
17.04.26MSFL
SK Hranice1
Hodonin3
W
11.04.26MSFL
Hodonin4
Karvina B1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Wednesday, 3rd June 2026, Polanka nad Odrou host Hodonin in Czech 3 MSFL. Our analysis desk recommends Hodonin to win as the standout selection.

Polanka nad Odrou arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Hodonin are travelling well, with a record of 7W 2D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Polanka nad Odrou, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Hodonin's 1, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: hodonin to win at odds of 1.42 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Czech 3 MSFL game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 2, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.42. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 4 Jun 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Polanka nad Odrou vs Hodonin?
Our selection is 2 — Hodonin to win, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is Polanka nad Odrou's current form?
Polanka nad Odrou have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Hodonin been performing recently?
Hodonin have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Polanka nad Odrou lead with 0 wins versus Hodonin's 1, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. DailyForebet provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Betting carries risk: debt, isolation, dependency. Predictions are for entertainment and informational purposes only, not financial advice.