WON Case WON Peamount W 0-2 Athlone WFC W
Fixture Case File · Ref V
P

Peamount W

Home Side
L L W L W
4W 1D 5L ▲ Trending Up
VS
0-2
7:45 pm
N/A
A
Athlone WFC W
Away Side
W W W L W
8W 1D 1L ▼ Trending Down
MODERATE
59%
Wednesday, 19th August 2026 Case Verdict
2
Filing on Athlone WFC W to win
Peamount W 20%
Draw 30%
Athlone WFC W 50%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob74.6%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-15.6%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBP<<<<<<<<W<<<<<<<<<<<<A<<<<<<<WFC<W<<<<F7E9718E14DFB2608192M2608199<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 20 Aug 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
2 — Athlone WFC W to win
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Peamount W vs Athlone WFC W Competition: Ireland N'League Women Date: Wednesday, 19th August 2026 KO: 7:45 pm Pick: 2 (Athlone WFC W to win) Odds: 1.34 Confidence: 59% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Ledger Ref: F7E9718E1
Head to Head
Record
4
Peamount W
1
Draws
5
Athlone WFC W
10
Meetings
2.8
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral Athlone WFC W won 5 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Peamount W
Metric
Athlone WFC W
1.4
Goals For / Game
2.8
2
Goals Against / Game
1
20%
Clean Sheets
50%
4-1-5
W — D — L
8-1-1
Win Rate
40%
80%
3.6
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
P0
0-0 2.7%
0-1 6.6%
0-2 7.9%
0-3 6.3%
0-4 3.8%
0-5 1.8%
P1
1-0 3.3%
1-1 7.9%
1-2 9.4%
1-3 7.6%
1-4 4.5%
1-5 2.2%
P2
2-0 2.0%
2-1 4.7%
2-2 5.7%
2-3 4.5%
2-4 2.7%
2-5 1.3%
P3
3-0 0.8%
3-1 1.9%
3-2 2.3%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 1.1%
3-5 0.5%
P4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.2%
P5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-2(9.4%) 0-2(7.9%) 1-3(7.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing P=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Peamount W Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Athlone WFC W Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Peamount W
Overall
4.3
Scoring
4.7
Defence
3.3
Athlone WFC W
Overall
8.3
Scoring
9.3
Defence
6.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Away Win & BTTS No 37%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 37%
Away Win & Under 2.5 24%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
04.07.26CUP
Peamount W0
Athlone WFC2
19.04.26WNL
Athlone WFC W2
Peamount0
04.10.25WNL
Peamount W1
Athlone WFC0
16.08.25CUP
Peamount W0
Athlone WFC1
21.06.25WNL
Athlone WFC W3
Peamount0
27.07.24WNL
Peamount W2
Athlone WFC1
13.04.24WNL
Athlone WFC W3
Peamount1
16.09.23CUP
Athlone WFC W0
Peamount0
03.06.23WNL
Peamount W5
Athlone WFC3
04.03.23WNL
Athlone WFC W1
Peamount3
Recent Form
Peamount W
15.08.26WNL
Peamount W0
Shamrock Rovers W3
L
08.08.26WNL
Shelbourne W2
Peamount W0
L
18.07.26WNL
Waterford W3
Peamount W5
W
11.07.26WNL
Peamount W0
Treaty Utd W2
L
08.07.26WNL
Peamount W1
DLR Waves W0
W
04.07.26CUP
Peamount W0
Athlone WFC W2
L
27.06.26AIC
Galway United W1
Peamount W1
L
20.06.26WNL
Cork City W6
Peamount W0
L
13.06.26AIC
Shamrock Rovers W0
Peamount W1
W
30.05.26AIC
Peamount W6
Lisburn Rangers W1
W
Athlone WFC W
15.08.26WNL
Athlone WFC W3
Sligo Rovers W2
W
08.08.26WNL
Wexford W0
Athlone WFC W3
W
01.08.26CUP
Athlone WFC W5
Shamrock Rovers W3
W
25.07.26CL
Athlone WFC W1
Czarni Sosnowiec W3
L
22.07.26CL
Athlone WFC W4
ZFK Skopje 2014 W0
W
18.07.26WNL
Athlone WFC W3
Bohemians WFC W0
W
11.07.26WNL
Cork City W0
Athlone WFC W3
W
08.07.26WNL
Athlone WFC W1
Shelbourne W1
D
04.07.26CUP
Peamount W0
Athlone WFC W2
W
20.06.26WNL
Athlone WFC W3
Shamrock Rovers W1
W
Peamount W (Home)
15.08.26WNL
Peamount W0
Shamrock Rovers W3
L
11.07.26WNL
Peamount W0
Treaty Utd W2
L
08.07.26WNL
Peamount W1
DLR Waves W0
W
04.07.26CUP
Peamount W0
Athlone WFC W2
L
30.05.26AIC
Peamount W6
Lisburn Rangers W1
W
23.05.26WNL
Peamount W2
Shelbourne W4
L
09.05.26AIC
Peamount W5
DLR Waves W0
W
25.04.26WNL
Peamount W1
Sligo Rovers W1
D
28.03.26WNL
Peamount W3
Waterford W0
W
14.03.26WNL
Peamount W2
Bohemians WFC W2
D
Athlone WFC W (Away)
08.08.26WNL
Wexford W0
Athlone WFC W3
W
11.07.26WNL
Cork City W0
Athlone WFC W3
W
04.07.26CUP
Peamount W0
Athlone WFC W2
W
30.05.26AIC
Treaty Utd W3
Athlone WFC W1
L
23.05.26WNL
Galway United W2
Athlone WFC W1
L
10.05.26AIC
Cliftonville W3
Athlone WFC W2
L
02.05.26WNL
Waterford W2
Athlone WFC W4
W
28.03.26WNL
Bohemians WFC W2
Athlone WFC W5
W
14.03.26WNL
Sligo Rovers W1
Athlone WFC W1
D
04.10.25WNL
Peamount W1
Athlone WFC W0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Wednesday, 19th August 2026, Peamount W host Athlone WFC W at N/A in Ireland N'League Women. Our analysis desk recommends Athlone WFC W to win as the standout selection.

Peamount W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Athlone WFC W are travelling well, with a record of 8W 1D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Peamount W, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Athlone WFC W's 5, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: athlone wfc w to win at odds of 1.34 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Ireland N’League Women fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at N/A, and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 2 at @1.34, a call the model rates at roughly 20,30,50%. Things get underway at 7:45 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 20 Aug 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Peamount W vs Athlone WFC W?
Our selection is 2 — Athlone WFC W to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Peamount W's current form?
Peamount W have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Athlone WFC W been performing recently?
Athlone WFC W have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Peamount W lead with 4 wins versus Athlone WFC W's 5, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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