WON Case WON Oleksandriya 0-5 Dyn Kyiv
Fixture Case File · Ref V
O

Oleksandriya

Home Side
L L L L W
3W 2D 5L ▼ Trending Down
VS
0-5
D
Dyn Kyiv
Away Side
W W W W W
10W 0D 0L → Holding Steady
CASE VERIFIED
77%
Thursday, 19th March 2026 Case Verdict
2
Filing on Dyn Kyiv to win
Oleksandriya 20%
Draw 20%
Dyn Kyiv 60%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds1.67
Implied Prob80%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-3%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBO<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<D<<<K<<<<<<<<<<<<6FF0F6BE64DFB2607202M2607209<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 19 Mar 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
0
Oleksandriya
2
Draws
8
Dyn Kyiv
10
Meetings
3.1
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Dyn Kyiv won 8 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Oleksandriya
Metric
Dyn Kyiv
0.8
Goals For / Game
2.5
1.2
Goals Against / Game
0.8
30%
Clean Sheets
50%
3-2-5
W — D — L
10-0-0
Win Rate
30%
100%
2.7
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
O0
0-0 7.1%
0-1 13.1%
0-2 12.1%
0-3 7.5%
0-4 3.5%
0-5 1.3%
O1
1-0 5.7%
1-1 10.5%
1-2 9.7%
1-3 6.0%
1-4 2.8%
1-5 1.0%
O2
2-0 2.3%
2-1 4.2%
2-2 3.9%
2-3 2.4%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.4%
O3
3-0 0.6%
3-1 1.1%
3-2 1.0%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
O4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.2%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
O5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(13.1%) 0-2(12.1%) 1-2(9.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing O=Home goals ↓   D=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Oleksandriya Win
20%
5
Draw
20%
5
Dyn Kyiv Win
60%
1.67
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Oleksandriya
Overall
3.6
Scoring
2.7
Defence
6.0
Dyn Kyiv
Overall
10.0
Scoring
8.3
Defence
7.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Away Win & BTTS No 43%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 11%
Home Win & Under 2.5 11%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 36%
Away Win & Under 2.5 36%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
22.09.25
PL: Dyn. Kyiv2
Oleksandriya2
17.09.25
CUP: Oleksandriya1
Dyn. Kyiv2
08.12.24
PL: Dyn. Kyiv3
Oleksandriya0
04.12.24
PL: Oleksandriya0
Dyn. Kyiv0
13.04.24
PL: Oleksandriya0
Dyn. Kyiv1
01.10.23
PL: Dyn. Kyiv4
Oleksandriya2
20.05.23
PL: Oleksandriya1
Dyn. Kyiv5
10.11.22
PL: Dyn. Kyiv3
Oleksandriya1
18.09.21
PL: Dyn. Kyiv1
Oleksandriya0
04.04.21
PL: Oleksandriya1
Dyn. Kyiv2
Recent Form
Oleksandriya
14.03.26
PL: LNZ Cherkasy2
Oleksandriya0
L
06.03.26
PL: Oleksandriya0
Shakhtar Donetsk1
L
28.02.26
PL: Metalist 19251
Oleksandriya0
L
23.02.26
PL: Oleksandriya0
Obolon3
L
13.02.26
CF: Oleksandriya1
Dinamo Batumi0
W
12.02.26
CF: Oleksandriya1
Rustavi0
W
08.02.26
CF: Oleksandriya2
Hobro2
D
07.02.26
CF: Oleksandriya1
Neftchi Fargona2
L
29.01.26
CF: Oleksandriya0
Fredericia0
D
26.01.26
CF: Oleksandriya3
KF Llapi1
W
Dyn Kyiv
13.03.26
PL: Dyn. Kyiv2
Obolon1
W
08.03.26
PL: Polissya Zhytomyr1
Dyn. Kyiv2
W
03.03.26
CUP: Dyn. Kyiv2
Inhulets0
W
27.02.26
PL: Dyn. Kyiv4
Epitsentr0
W
20.02.26
PL: Dyn. Kyiv1
Rukh Lviv0
W
14.02.26
CF: Dyn. Kyiv2
RFS0
W
14.02.26
CF: Dyn. Kyiv5
Zimbru Chisinau3
W
09.02.26
CF: Dyn. Kyiv2
Iberia 19990
W
09.02.26
CF: Dyn. Kyiv2
Kudrivka1
W
05.02.26
CF: Dyn. Kyiv3
Veres-Rivne2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Thursday, 19th March 2026, Oleksandriya host Dyn Kyiv in Ukraine Premier League. Our analysis desk recommends Dyn Kyiv to win as the standout selection.

Oleksandriya arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Dyn Kyiv are travelling well, with a record of 10W 0D 0L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Oleksandriya, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Dyn Kyiv's 8, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: dyn kyiv to win at odds of 1.25 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Ukraine Premier League game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass. We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side. We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage. Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 2, especially with the odds sitting nicely at 1.25. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over. The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 19 Mar 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Oleksandriya vs Dyn Kyiv?
Our selection is 2 — Dyn Kyiv to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 77%.
What is Oleksandriya's current form?
Oleksandriya have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Dyn Kyiv been performing recently?
Dyn Kyiv have recorded 10 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Oleksandriya lead with 0 wins versus Dyn Kyiv's 8, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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