Fixture Case File · Ref V
N

NSI Runavik

Home Side
D W D W L
4W 3D 3L → Holding Steady
VS
3:00 pm
Við Løkin (Runavík)
A
AB Argir
Away Side
L L W L L
4W 0D 6L ▲ Trending Up
MODERATE
61%
Sunday, 30th August 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on NSI Runavik to win
Implied Prob76.9%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-15.9%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBNSI<R<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<AB<A<<<<<<<<<<<<<4D675D7844DFB2608302M2608309<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 30 Aug 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — NSI Runavik to win
1.30
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
NSI Runavik vs AB Argir Date: Sunday, 30th August 2026 KO: 3:00 pm Pick: 1 (NSI Runavik to win) Odds: 1.30 Confidence: 61% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Ledger Ref: 4D675D784
Head to Head
Record
8
NSI Runavik
0
Draws
2
AB Argir
10
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing NSI Runavik won 8 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
NSI Runavik
Metric
AB Argir
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.5
1.6
Goals Against / Game
1.8
10%
Clean Sheets
10%
4-3-3
W — D — L
4-0-6
Win Rate
40%
40%
3.4
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
N0
0-0 3.3%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 4.0%
0-3 2.1%
0-4 0.8%
0-5 0.3%
N1
1-0 6.2%
1-1 9.6%
1-2 7.4%
1-3 3.8%
1-4 1.5%
1-5 0.5%
N2
2-0 5.7%
2-1 8.9%
2-2 6.9%
2-3 3.5%
2-4 1.4%
2-5 0.4%
N3
3-0 3.5%
3-1 5.5%
3-2 4.2%
3-3 2.2%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.3%
N4
4-0 1.6%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 2.0%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
N5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(8.9%) 1-0(6.2%) 2-0(5.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing N=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
NSI Runavik
Overall
4.9
Scoring
6.3
Defence
4.7
AB Argir
Overall
4.0
Scoring
5.0
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 27%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
30.05.26PL
AB Argir3
NSI Runavik2
21.03.26PL
NSI Runavik2
AB Argir1
21.08.22PL
AB Argir1
NSI Runavik2
15.05.22PL
NSI Runavik1
AB Argir4
18.04.22PL
AB Argir2
NSI Runavik3
04.10.20PL
AB Argir1
NSI Runavik2
28.06.20PL
AB Argir2
NSI Runavik3
12.06.20PL
NSI Runavik3
AB Argir0
18.08.19PL
AB Argir1
NSI Runavik5
15.06.19PL
NSI Runavik2
AB Argir0
Recent Form
NSI Runavik
23.08.26PL
Klaksvik2
NSI Runavik2
D
16.08.26PL
NSI Runavik4
Streymur2
W
13.08.26UECL
NSI Runavik2
Lugano2
D
10.08.26PL
NSI Runavik4
Skala Itrottarfelag0
W
06.08.26UECL
Lugano2
NSI Runavik0
L
03.08.26PL
HB Torshavn3
NSI Runavik1
L
30.07.26UECL
Koper1
NSI Runavik (3-4)3
23.07.26UECL
NSI Runavik0
Koper2
L
16.07.26UECL
Hamrun1
NSI Runavik2
W
09.07.26UECL
NSI Runavik1
Hamrun1
D
AB Argir
23.08.26PL
Streymur2
AB Argir0
L
17.08.26PL
AB Argir3
Klaksvik4
L
02.08.26PL
AB Argir3
Skala Itrottarfelag2
W
28.07.26PL
B36 Torshavn1
AB Argir0
L
04.07.26PL
AB Argir1
Streymur2
L
29.06.26PL
Toftir0
AB Argir1
W
21.06.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur2
AB Argir0
L
14.06.26PL
AB Argir3
HB Torshavn1
W
30.05.26PL
AB Argir3
NSI Runavik2
W
25.05.26PL
Klaksvik2
AB Argir1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Sunday, 30th August 2026, NSI Runavik host AB Argir at Við Løkin (Runavík). Our analysis desk recommends NSI Runavik to win as the standout selection.

NSI Runavik arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

AB Argir are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 0D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour NSI Runavik, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to AB Argir's 2, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: nsi runavik to win at odds of 1.30 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Unknown League fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at Við Løkin (Runavík), and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 1 at @1.30, a call the model rates at roughly close to 64. Things get underway at 3:00 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 30 Aug 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for NSI Runavik vs AB Argir?
Our selection is 1 — NSI Runavik to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 61%.
What is NSI Runavik's current form?
NSI Runavik have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has AB Argir been performing recently?
AB Argir have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
NSI Runavik lead with 8 wins versus AB Argir's 2, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
⚠️
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