Fixture Case File ยท Ref V โšฝ
L

Levanger

Home Side
W W W W L
8W 0D 2L โ†’ Holding Steady
VS
โ€”
1:00 pm
โ€”
Tobb Arena Levanger (Levanger)
U
Ull/Kisa
Away Side
L L W W L
2W 0D 8L โ†’ Holding Steady
โš‘
MODERATE
57%
Saturday, 25th July 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Levanger to win
Levanger 50%
Draw 30%
Ull/Kisa 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob84%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-27%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBL<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<U<<<K<<<<<<<<<<<<EB9F0A7D94DFB2607252M2607259<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst ยท Last checked 25 Jul 2026
โœ“ Data-Audited โœ“ Independently Checked
โšก
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 โ€” Levanger to win
1.19
Over 2.5 Goals85% Over 1.5 Goals90%
๐Ÿ“‹ Case Slip / Combo Builder
Levanger vs Ull/Kisa Competition: Norway Div 2 G2 Date: Saturday, 25th July 2026 KO: 1:00 pm Pick: 1 (Levanger to win) Odds: 1.19 Confidence: 57% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (85%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Ledger Ref: EB9F0A7D9
โš”
Head to Head
Record
4
Levanger
3
Draws
3
Ull/Kisa
10
Meetings
3.8
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Against Filing Levanger won 4 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
๐Ÿ“Š
Stats Duel
Comparison
Levanger
Metric
Ull/Kisa
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.2
1
Goals Against / Game
3.1
40%
Clean Sheets
0%
8-0-2
W โ€” D โ€” L
2-0-8
Win Rate
80%
20%
3.8
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
๐ŸŽฏ
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
U0
U1
U2
U3
U4
U5
L0
0-0 2.4%
0-1 2.6%
0-2 1.4%
0-3 0.5%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
L1
1-0 6.2%
1-1 6.9%
1-2 3.8%
1-3 1.4%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
L2
2-0 8.3%
2-1 9.1%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
L3
3-0 7.3%
3-1 8.0%
3-2 4.4%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
L4
4-0 4.8%
4-1 5.3%
4-2 2.9%
4-3 1.1%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
L5
5-0 2.6%
5-1 2.8%
5-2 1.6%
5-3 0.6%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.1%) 2-0(8.3%) 3-1(8.0%)
โ–  Best match โ–  Possible โ–  Low ยท โ–  Contradicts filing L=Home goals โ†“   U=Away โ†’
๐Ÿ“‰
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Levanger Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Ull/Kisa Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
๐Ÿ“ˆ
Team Ratings
Grades
Levanger
Overall
8.0 โ€”
Scoring
7.3 โ€”
Defence
6.7 โ€”
Ull/Kisa
Overall
2.0 โ–ผ
Scoring
4.0 โ–ผ
Defence
0.0 โ–ผ
๐Ÿ”€
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 48%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 68%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 0%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 3%
๐Ÿงฎ
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ€”
Kelly %
โ€”
Stake
โ€”
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
๐Ÿ”Ž How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter โ€” a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee โ€” it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

๐Ÿ“ Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds โ€” no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status โ€” nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
๐Ÿ“œ
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
14.09.25DIV
Levanger1
Ull/Kisa1
03.05.25DIV
Ull/Kisa3
Levanger3
04.11.23DIV
Ull/Kisa0
Levanger5
16.04.23DIV
Levanger2
Ull/Kisa0
22.10.22DIV
Levanger4
Ull/Kisa0
26.06.22DIV
Ull/Kisa2
Levanger1
19.08.18OBO
Ull/Kisa3
Levanger2
01.07.18OBO
Levanger2
Ull/Kisa3
05.11.17OBO
Levanger2
Ull/Kisa0
02.04.17OBO
Ull/Kisa2
Levanger2
Recent Form
Levanger
28.06.26DIV
Follo0
Levanger2
W
20.06.26DIV
Levanger2
Skeid1
W
14.06.26DIV
Eidsvold TF1
Levanger3
W
31.05.26DIV
Levanger3
Junkeren0
W
25.05.26DIV
Lorenskog1
Levanger0
L
16.05.26DIV
Levanger3
Trygg/Lade0
W
10.05.26DIV
Grorud2
Levanger3
W
03.05.26DIV
Levanger2
Tromsdalen3
L
26.04.26DIV
Honefoss0
Levanger1
W
19.04.26DIV
Rana FK2
Levanger3
W
Ull/Kisa
27.06.26DIV
Ull/Kisa1
Rana FK3
L
20.06.26DIV
Kjelsas3
Ull/Kisa0
L
13.06.26DIV
Ull/Kisa2
Grorud1
W
30.05.26DIV
Follo1
Ull/Kisa2
W
25.05.26DIV
Junkeren3
Ull/Kisa0
L
15.05.26DIV
Ull/Kisa2
Eidsvold TF5
L
10.05.26DIV
Trygg/Lade4
Ull/Kisa2
L
02.05.26DIV
Ull/Kisa2
Stjordals Blink3
L
25.04.26DIV
Lorenskog5
Ull/Kisa1
L
18.04.26DIV
Ull/Kisa0
Honefoss3
L
๐Ÿ“
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 25th July 2026, Levanger host Ull/Kisa at Tobb Arena Levanger (Levanger) in Norway Div 2 G2. Our analysis desk recommends Levanger to win as the standout selection.

Levanger arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Ull/Kisa are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 0D 8L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Levanger, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Ull/Kisa's 3, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: levanger to win at odds of 1.19 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin โ€” and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Norway Div 2 G2 fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at Tobb Arena Levanger (Levanger), and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 1 at @1.19, a call the model rates at roughly 50,30,20%. Things get underway at 1:00 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today โ€” worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 25 Jul 2026
โ“
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Levanger vs Ull/Kisa?
Our selection is 1 โ€” Levanger to win, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 57%.
What is Levanger's current form?
Levanger have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ull/Kisa been performing recently?
Ull/Kisa have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Levanger lead with 4 wins versus Ull/Kisa's 3, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
โš ๏ธ
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