WON Case WON Kuchl 3-1 FC Lustenau
Fixture Case File · Ref V
K

Kuchl

Home Side
L W W W L
6W 0D 4L ▲ Trending Up
VS
3-1
F
FC Lustenau
Away Side
D L L W L
3W 2D 5L ▲ Trending Up
CASE VERIFIED
90%
Saturday, 30th May 2026 Case Verdict
1X
Filing on Kuchl to win or draw
Implied Prob90.9%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-0.9%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBK<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<FC<L<<<<<<<<<<<<<2138B8D214DFB2609222M2609229<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 31 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1X — Kuchl to win or draw
1.10
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Kuchl vs FC Lustenau Competition: Austria Regionalliga West Date: Saturday, 30th May 2026 Pick: 1X (Kuchl to win or draw) Odds: 1.10 Confidence: 90% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%) Ledger Ref: 2138B8D21
Head to Head
Record
0
Kuchl
1
Draws
0
FC Lustenau
1
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Kuchl
Metric
FC Lustenau
2
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.4
Goals Against / Game
2.3
30%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-0-4
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
60%
30%
3.7
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
K0
0-0 2.6%
0-1 3.9%
0-2 2.9%
0-3 1.5%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
K1
1-0 5.6%
1-1 8.4%
1-2 6.3%
1-3 3.1%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.4%
K2
2-0 6.0%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 6.8%
2-3 3.4%
2-4 1.3%
2-5 0.4%
K3
3-0 4.3%
3-1 6.5%
3-2 4.8%
3-3 2.4%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.3%
K4
4-0 2.3%
4-1 3.5%
4-2 2.6%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.2%
K5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.5%
5-2 1.1%
5-3 0.6%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(9.0%) 1-1(8.4%) 2-2(6.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing K=Home goals ↓   F=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Kuchl
Overall
6.0
Scoring
6.7
Defence
5.3
FC Lustenau
Overall
3.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
2.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 42%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 45%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
25.10.25RL
FC Lustenau2
Kuchl2
Recent Form
Kuchl
22.05.26RL
Wacker Innsbruck4
Kuchl3
L
14.05.26RL
Kuchl3
Kitzbuhel1
W
09.05.26RL
Wals-Grunau1
Kuchl2
W
03.05.26RL
Kuchl1
Saalfelden0
W
25.04.26RL
Dornbirn2
Kuchl0
L
19.04.26RL
Kuchl3
Reichenau0
W
10.04.26RL
Seekirchen2
Kuchl1
L
06.04.26RL
Kuchl4
Altach U211
W
02.04.26RL
TSV St. Johann0
Kuchl2
W
29.03.26RL
Kuchl1
Kufstein3
L
FC Lustenau
23.05.26RL
FC Lustenau2
Schwaz2
D
16.05.26RL
SC Imst4
FC Lustenau1
L
09.05.26RL
FC Lustenau1
Bischofshofen4
L
02.05.26RL
Lauterach2
FC Lustenau3
W
19.04.26RL
Wacker Innsbruck5
FC Lustenau0
L
11.04.26RL
Kitzbuhel1
FC Lustenau0
L
06.04.26RL
FC Lustenau1
Wals-Grunau2
L
03.04.26RL
Saalfelden1
FC Lustenau3
W
28.03.26RL
FC Lustenau1
Dornbirn1
D
25.03.26RL
Reichenau1
FC Lustenau4
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 30th May 2026, Kuchl host FC Lustenau in Austria Regionalliga West. Our analysis desk recommends Kuchl to win or draw as the standout selection.

Kuchl arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

FC Lustenau are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Kuchl, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to FC Lustenau's 0, with 1 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: kuchl to win or draw at odds of 1.10 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Austria Regionalliga West game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1X, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.10. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 31 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kuchl vs FC Lustenau?
Our selection is 1X — Kuchl to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.10. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Kuchl's current form?
Kuchl have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has FC Lustenau been performing recently?
FC Lustenau have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Kuchl lead with 0 wins versus FC Lustenau's 0, with 1 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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