WON Case WON Ferencvaros 3-1 DVTK
Fixture Case File · Ref V
F

Ferencvaros

Home Side
W D L W W
7W 1D 2L ▼ Trending Down
VS
3-1
D
DVTK
Away Side
L L L D L
2W 3D 5L ▲ Trending Up
CAUTION
43%
Friday, 10th April 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Ferencvaros to win
Ferencvaros 50%
Draw 30%
DVTK 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob86.2%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-43.2%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBF<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<DVTK<<<<<<<<<<<<<B1BAE562F4DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 11 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Ferencvaros to win
1.16
Under 2.5 Goals70%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Ferencvaros vs DVTK Competition: Hungary NB 1 Date: Friday, 10th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Ferencvaros to win) Odds: 1.16 Confidence: 43% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%) Ledger Ref: B1BAE562F
Head to Head
Record
0
Ferencvaros
9
Draws
1
DVTK
10
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Against Filing Ferencvaros won 0 of the last 10 meetings (9 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Ferencvaros
Metric
DVTK
0
Goals For / Game
1.4
0
Goals Against / Game
1.8
0%
Clean Sheets
0%
7-1-2
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate
70%
20%
1.6
Avg Goals
45%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
F0
0-0 20.2%
0-1 14.1%
0-2 5.0%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
F1
1-0 18.2%
1-1 12.7%
1-2 4.5%
1-3 1.0%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
F2
2-0 8.2%
2-1 5.7%
2-2 2.0%
2-3 0.5%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
F3
3-0 2.5%
3-1 1.7%
3-2 0.6%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
F4
4-0 0.6%
4-1 0.4%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(18.2%) 2-0(8.2%) 2-1(5.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing F=Home goals ↓   D=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Ferencvaros Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
DVTK Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Ferencvaros
Overall
7.3
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
DVTK
Overall
2.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 38%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 45%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
19.12.25
NB I: DVTK0
Ferencváros1
19.09.25
NB I: Ferencváros2
DVTK2
30.03.25
NB I: DVTK1
Ferencváros1
24.11.24
NB I: Ferencváros3
DVTK3
10.08.24
NB I: DVTK0
Ferencváros2
11.05.24
NB I: DVTK2
Ferencváros0
10.04.24
NB I: Ferencváros2
DVTK1
03.04.24
Magyar Kupa: DVTK0
Ferencváros2
22.10.23
NB I: DVTK1
Ferencváros2
02.03.21
NB I: Ferencváros1
DVTK0
Recent Form
Ferencvaros
05.04.26
NB I: Debreceni VSC0
Ferencváros2
W
22.03.26
NB I: Kisvárda FC1
Ferencváros1
D
18.03.26
Europa League: SC Braga4
Ferencváros0
L
12.03.26
Europa League: Ferencváros2
SC Braga0
W
08.03.26
NB I: Nyíregyháza Spartacus1
Ferencváros3
W
04.03.26
Magyar Kupa: Kazincbarcikai BSC0
Ferencváros5
W
01.03.26
NB I: Ferencváros2
Kazincbarcikai BSC1
W
26.02.26
Europa League: Ferencváros2
Ludogorets0
W
23.02.26
NB I: MTK Budapest1
Ferencváros3
W
19.02.26
Europa League: Ludogorets2
Ferencváros1
L
DVTK
05.04.26
NB I: DVTK1
Puskás Akadémia2
L
21.03.26
NB I: Nyíregyháza3
DVTK1
L
13.03.26
NB I: DVTK0
Kazincbarcikai BSC4
L
08.03.26
NB I: MTK Budapest1
DVTK1
D
05.03.26
Magyar Kupa: Budapest Honvéd1
DVTK0
L
28.02.26
NB I: DVTK1
Zalaegerszegi TE1
D
21.02.26
NB I: Újpest FC2
DVTK1
L
14.02.26
NB I: Paksi FC1
DVTK2
W
11.02.26
Magyar Kupa: Paksi FC2
DVTK6
W
07.02.26
NB I: DVTK1
Győri ETO1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Friday, 10th April 2026, Ferencvaros host DVTK in Hungary NB 1. Our analysis desk recommends Ferencvaros to win as the standout selection.

Ferencvaros arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

DVTK are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 3D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Ferencvaros, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to DVTK's 1, with 9 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: ferencvaros to win at odds of 1.16 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Hungary NB 1 game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.16. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 11 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Ferencvaros vs DVTK?
Our selection is 1 — Ferencvaros to win, priced at approximately 1.16. Tip confidence rating: 43%.
What is Ferencvaros's current form?
Ferencvaros have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has DVTK been performing recently?
DVTK have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Ferencvaros lead with 0 wins versus DVTK's 1, with 9 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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