Fixture Case File · Ref V
E

Enppi

Home Side
W D L L L
2W 3D 5L ▼ Trending Down
VS
6:00 pm
Petrosport Stadium (Cairo)
P
Pyramids
Away Side
W W W W W
8W 1D 1L → Holding Steady
CASE VERIFIED
80%
Thursday, 17th September 2026 Case Verdict
2
Filing on Pyramids to win
Implied Prob69.4%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge+10.6%Value detected
Kelly %34.5%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBE<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<P<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<6565371ED4DFB2609172M2609179<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 17 Sep 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
0
Enppi
2
Draws
8
Pyramids
10
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Pyramids won 8 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Enppi
Metric
Pyramids
0.8
Goals For / Game
2
1.6
Goals Against / Game
0.6
40%
Clean Sheets
50%
2-3-5
W — D — L
8-1-1
Win Rate
20%
80%
2.5
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
E0
0-0 8.2%
0-1 14.8%
0-2 13.3%
0-3 8.0%
0-4 3.6%
0-5 1.3%
E1
1-0 5.8%
1-1 10.3%
1-2 9.3%
1-3 5.6%
1-4 2.5%
1-5 0.9%
E2
2-0 2.0%
2-1 3.6%
2-2 3.3%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.3%
E3
3-0 0.5%
3-1 0.8%
3-2 0.8%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
E4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.2%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
E5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(14.8%) 0-2(13.3%) 1-2(9.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing E=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Enppi
Overall
2.9
Scoring
2.7
Defence
4.7
Pyramids
Overall
8.3
Scoring
6.7
Defence
8.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Home Win & BTTS No 9%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Away Win & BTTS No 36%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 9%
Home Win & Under 2.5 8%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 36%
Away Win & Under 2.5 30%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
01.05.26PL
Pyramids3
Enppi2
03.04.26CUP
Enppi0
Pyramids4
11.02.26PL
Enppi1
Pyramids2
15.03.25CUP
Pyramids2
Enppi1
08.11.24PL
Enppi1
Pyramids2
01.05.24PL
Enppi0
Pyramids1
16.11.23CF
Enppi1
Pyramids1
08.10.23PL
Pyramids1
Enppi0
26.03.23CUP
Pyramids1
Enppi (5-6)1
16.02.23PL
Pyramids2
Enppi1
Recent Form
Enppi
09.09.26PL
Enppi2
ZED1
W
01.09.26PL
Ghazl El Mahallah0
Enppi0
D
28.08.26PL
Enppi1
Wadi Degla3
L
23.08.26PL
Al Ahly3
Enppi2
L
08.06.26CUP
Enppi0
Al Masry3
L
01.06.26CUP
Wadi Degla0
Enppi1
W
25.05.26CUP
Enppi0
Wadi Degla0
D
05.05.26PL
Al Ahly3
Enppi0
L
01.05.26PL
Pyramids3
Enppi2
L
27.04.26PL
Zamalek0
Enppi0
D
Pyramids
13.09.26CL
Pyramids5
Gor Mahia1
W
09.09.26PL
Pyramids1
El Gouna0
W
06.09.26CL
Gor Mahia0
Pyramids2
W
31.08.26PL
Al Masry0
Pyramids1
W
27.08.26PL
Pyramids2
Abu Qir Semad0
W
22.08.26PL
Ghazl El Mahallah0
Pyramids3
W
08.08.26CF
Rizespor2
Pyramids1
L
20.05.26PL
Pyramids2
Smouha1
W
10.05.26CUP
ZED1
Pyramids2
W
05.05.26PL
Ceramica Cleopatra1
Pyramids1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Thursday, 17th September 2026, Enppi host Pyramids at Petrosport Stadium (Cairo) in Egypt Premier League. Our analysis desk recommends Pyramids to win as the standout selection.

Enppi arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Pyramids are travelling well, with a record of 8W 1D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Enppi, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Pyramids's 8, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: pyramids to win at odds of 1.44 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Egypt Premier League fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at Petrosport Stadium (Cairo), and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 5 wins from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 2 at @1.44, a call the model rates at roughly 19%. Things get underway at 6:00 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 17 Sep 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Enppi vs Pyramids?
Our selection is 2 — Pyramids to win, priced at approximately 1.44. Tip confidence rating: 80%.
What is Enppi's current form?
Enppi have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Pyramids been performing recently?
Pyramids have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Enppi lead with 0 wins versus Pyramids's 8, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
⚠️
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