Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽
E

Eintracht Frankfurt W

Home Side
L W W W D
6W 2D 2L ▲ Trending Up
VS
—
6:30 pm
—
Stadion am Brentanobad (Frankfurt)
P
PSV W
Away Side
W L W W D
6W 1D 3L ▼ Trending Down
⚑
CASE VERIFIED
70%
Wednesday, 11th November 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Eintracht Frankfurt W to win
Implied Prob75.8%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-5.8%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBE<<<<<<<<<F<<<<<<<<<<<PSV<W<<<<<<<<<<<<4A675D1124DFB2611112M2611119<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 11 Nov 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
⚔
Head to Head
Record
4
Eintracht Frankfurt W
0
Draws
0
PSV W
4
Meetings
3.5
Avg Goals
75%
BTTS
75%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Eintracht Frankfurt W won 4 of the last 4 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Eintracht Frankfurt W
Metric
PSV W
2.1
Goals For / Game
2.4
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.2
40%
Clean Sheets
50%
6-2-2
W — D — L
6-1-3
Win Rate
60%
60%
3.3
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
E0
0-0 3.7%
0-1 6.1%
0-2 5.0%
0-3 2.8%
0-4 1.1%
0-5 0.4%
E1
1-0 6.1%
1-1 10.0%
1-2 8.3%
1-3 4.6%
1-4 1.9%
1-5 0.6%
E2
2-0 5.0%
2-1 8.3%
2-2 6.8%
2-3 3.8%
2-4 1.6%
2-5 0.5%
E3
3-0 2.8%
3-1 4.6%
3-2 3.8%
3-3 2.1%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.3%
E4
4-0 1.1%
4-1 1.9%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
E5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(8.3%) 1-0(6.1%) 2-0(5.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing E=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Eintracht Frankfurt W
Overall
6.6 ▲
Scoring
7.0 ▲
Defence
7.0 ▲
PSV W
Overall
6.3 —
Scoring
8.0 —
Defence
6.0 —
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 27%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 26%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 27%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
28.10.26EC
PSV W0
Eintracht Frankfurt2
20.11.25EC
Eintracht Frankfurt W3
PSV1
12.11.25EC
PSV W1
Eintracht Frankfurt2
15.01.23CF
Eintracht Frankfurt W4
PSV1
Recent Form
Eintracht Frankfurt W
06.11.26BUN
Eintracht Frankfurt W1
Wolfsburg W3
L
01.11.26POK
1.FC Nurnberg W0
Eintracht Frankfurt W (2-4)0
28.10.26EC
PSV W0
Eintracht Frankfurt W2
W
24.10.26BUN
Stuttgart W0
Eintracht Frankfurt W3
W
17.10.26BUN
Bayer Leverkusen W1
Eintracht Frankfurt W1
D
03.10.26BUN
Eintracht Frankfurt W0
Bayern Munich W1
L
30.09.26EC
Eintracht Frankfurt W4
Hafnarfjordur W1
W
27.09.26POK
Karlsruher SC W1
Eintracht Frankfurt W6
W
23.09.26EC
Hafnarfjordur W0
Eintracht Frankfurt W1
W
18.09.26BUN
Mainz W2
Eintracht Frankfurt W3
W
PSV W
01.11.26ERE
PSV W5
Heerenveen W2
W
28.10.26EC
PSV W0
Eintracht Frankfurt W2
L
18.10.26ERE
Ajax W1
PSV W4
W
04.10.26ERE
Den Haag W0
PSV W3
W
30.09.26EC
Fortuna Hjorring W0
PSV W0
D
26.09.26ERE
PSV W4
De Graafschap W0
W
23.09.26EC
PSV W1
Fortuna Hjorring W0
W
19.09.26ERE
PSV W0
Twente W4
L
13.09.26ERE
AZ Alkmaar W3
PSV W1
L
06.09.26ERE
Feyenoord W0
PSV W6
W
Eintracht Frankfurt W (Home)
06.11.26BUN
Eintracht Frankfurt W1
Wolfsburg W3
L
03.10.26BUN
Eintracht Frankfurt W0
Bayern Munich W1
L
30.09.26EC
Eintracht Frankfurt W4
Hafnarfjordur W1
W
13.09.26BUN
Eintracht Frankfurt W4
Hoffenheim W2
W
30.08.26BUN
Eintracht Frankfurt W1
1.FC Nurnberg W1
D
26.08.26CL
Eintracht Frankfurt W1
PSG W1
D
22.08.26BUN
Eintracht Frankfurt W2
Koln W0
W
08.08.26CL
Eintracht Frankfurt W2
Malmo FF W0
W
05.08.26CL
Eintracht Frankfurt W8
Omonia W0
W
31.07.26CF
Eintracht Frankfurt W1
Strasbourg W0
W
PSV W (Away)
18.10.26ERE
Ajax W1
PSV W4
W
04.10.26ERE
Den Haag W0
PSV W3
W
30.09.26EC
Fortuna Hjorring W0
PSV W0
D
13.09.26ERE
AZ Alkmaar W3
PSV W1
L
06.09.26ERE
Feyenoord W0
PSV W6
W
02.09.26CL
Koge W1
PSV W1
D
16.08.26ERE
PEC Zwolle W0
PSV W2
W
05.08.26CL
Sarajevo W2
PSV W3
W
23.07.26CF
Wolfsburg W2
PSV W0
L
22.05.26ERE
Twente W1
PSV W2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Wednesday, 11th November 2026, Eintracht Frankfurt W host PSV W at Stadion am Brentanobad (Frankfurt) in UEFA Europa Cup Women. Our analysis desk recommends Eintracht Frankfurt W to win as the standout selection.

Eintracht Frankfurt W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

PSV W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 1D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Eintracht Frankfurt W, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to PSV W's 0, with 0 draws from 4 encounters. Both teams have scored in 75% of those meetings.

Our verdict: eintracht frankfurt w to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This UEFA Europa Cup Women fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at Stadion am Brentanobad (Frankfurt), and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 1 at @1.32, a call the model rates at roughly 59%. Things get underway at 6:30 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 11 Nov 2026
❓
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Eintracht Frankfurt W vs PSV W?
Our selection is 1 — Eintracht Frankfurt W to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 70%.
What is Eintracht Frankfurt W's current form?
Eintracht Frankfurt W have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has PSV W been performing recently?
PSV W have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Eintracht Frankfurt W lead with 4 wins versus PSV W's 0, with 0 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 75%.
⚠️
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