WON Case WON Eintracht Frankfurt W 0-1 Bayern Munich W
Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽
E

Eintracht Frankfurt W

Home Side
W W W W W
7W 2D 1L ▼ Trending Down
VS
0-1
4:55 pm
Stadion am Brentanobad (Frankfurt)
B
Bayern Munich W
Away Side
W W D W W
9W 1D 0L → Holding Steady
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CASE VERIFIED
79%
Saturday, 3rd October 2026 Case Verdict
2
Filing on Bayern Munich W to win
Implied Prob67.6%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge+11.4%Value detected
Kelly %35.3%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBE<<<<<<<<<F<<<<<<<<<<<B<<<<<<M<<<<<<W<<89016A5434DFB2610032M2610039<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 4 Oct 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
⚡
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
2 — Bayern Munich W to win
1.48
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Eintracht Frankfurt W vs Bayern Munich W Competition: German Bundesliga Women Date: Saturday, 3rd October 2026 KO: 4:55 pm Pick: 2 (Bayern Munich W to win) Odds: 1.48 Confidence: 79% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Ledger Ref: 89016A543
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Head to Head
Record
0
Eintracht Frankfurt W
4
Draws
6
Bayern Munich W
10
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Bayern Munich W won 6 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Eintracht Frankfurt W
Metric
Bayern Munich W
2.4
Goals For / Game
3
1.3
Goals Against / Game
0.9
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
7-2-1
W — D — L
9-1-0
Win Rate
70%
90%
3.8
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
E0
0-0 2.2%
0-1 4.8%
0-2 5.2%
0-3 3.7%
0-4 2.0%
0-5 0.9%
E1
1-0 3.7%
1-1 7.9%
1-2 8.5%
1-3 6.1%
1-4 3.3%
1-5 1.4%
E2
2-0 3.1%
2-1 6.6%
2-2 7.0%
2-3 5.0%
2-4 2.7%
2-5 1.2%
E3
3-0 1.7%
3-1 3.6%
3-2 3.9%
3-3 2.8%
3-4 1.5%
3-5 0.6%
E4
4-0 0.7%
4-1 1.5%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 1.1%
4-4 0.6%
4-5 0.3%
E5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-2(8.5%) 1-3(6.1%) 0-2(5.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing E=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Eintracht Frankfurt W
Overall
7.6 ▼
Scoring
8.0 ▼
Defence
5.7 ▼
Bayern Munich W
Overall
9.3 ▲
Scoring
10.0 ▲
Defence
7.0 ▲
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 26%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 33%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
09.05.26BUN
Bayern Munich W2
Eintracht Frankfurt0
07.12.25BUN
Eintracht Frankfurt W0
Bayern Munich5
12.04.25BUN
Eintracht Frankfurt W0
Bayern Munich3
12.02.25POK
Bayern Munich W4
Eintracht Frankfurt1
04.11.24BUN
Bayern Munich W1
Eintracht Frankfurt1
31.03.24POK
Bayern Munich W1
Eintracht Frankfurt W (3-1)1
09.03.24BUN
Eintracht Frankfurt W1
Bayern Munich2
14.10.23BUN
Bayern Munich W0
Eintracht Frankfurt0
11.02.23BUN
Bayern Munich W2
Eintracht Frankfurt1
16.09.22BUN
Eintracht Frankfurt W0
Bayern Munich0
Recent Form
Eintracht Frankfurt W
30.09.26EC
Eintracht Frankfurt W4
Hafnarfjordur W1
W
27.09.26POK
Karlsruher SC W1
Eintracht Frankfurt W6
W
23.09.26EC
Hafnarfjordur W0
Eintracht Frankfurt W1
W
18.09.26BUN
Mainz W2
Eintracht Frankfurt W3
W
13.09.26BUN
Eintracht Frankfurt W4
Hoffenheim W2
W
07.09.26BUN
Union Berlin W0
Eintracht Frankfurt W1
W
02.09.26CL
PSG W5
Eintracht Frankfurt W1
L
30.08.26BUN
Eintracht Frankfurt W1
1.FC Nurnberg W1
D
26.08.26CL
Eintracht Frankfurt W1
PSG W1
D
22.08.26BUN
Eintracht Frankfurt W2
Koln W0
W
Bayern Munich W
30.09.26CL
SL Benfica W0
Bayern Munich W3
W
27.09.26POK
B. Monchengladbach W1
Bayern Munich W2
W
22.09.26CL
Bayern Munich W2
Manchester City W2
D
19.09.26BUN
Bayern Munich W5
Koln W2
W
14.09.26BUN
Bayer Leverkusen W2
Bayern Munich W3
W
06.09.26BUN
Bayern Munich W4
Freiburg W1
W
31.08.26BUN
Bayern Munich W2
Mainz W0
W
21.08.26BUN
Union Berlin W1
Bayern Munich W4
W
15.08.26SCW
Bayern Munich W3
Wolfsburg W0
W
09.08.26CF
Bayern Munich W2
Paris FC W0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 3rd October 2026, Eintracht Frankfurt W host Bayern Munich W at Stadion am Brentanobad (Frankfurt) in German Bundesliga Women. Our analysis desk recommends Bayern Munich W to win as the standout selection.

Eintracht Frankfurt W arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Bayern Munich W are travelling well, with a record of 9W 1D 0L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Eintracht Frankfurt W, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Bayern Munich W's 6, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: bayern munich w to win at odds of 1.48 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This German Bundesliga Women fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 5 wins from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at Stadion am Brentanobad (Frankfurt), and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 2 at @1.48, a call the model rates at roughly 18%. Things get underway at 4:55 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 4 Oct 2026
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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Eintracht Frankfurt W vs Bayern Munich W?
Our selection is 2 — Bayern Munich W to win, priced at approximately 1.48. Tip confidence rating: 79%.
What is Eintracht Frankfurt W's current form?
Eintracht Frankfurt W have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Bayern Munich W been performing recently?
Bayern Munich W have recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Eintracht Frankfurt W lead with 0 wins versus Bayern Munich W's 6, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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