WON Case WON DPMM 0-1 Persib Bandung
Fixture Case File · Ref V
D

DPMM

Home Side
D L L L D
1W 3D 6L ▲ Trending Up
VS
0-1
1:30 pm
Sultan Hassanal Bolkiah Stadium (B. S. Begawan)
P
Persib Bandung
Away Side
W D W W W
7W 3D 0L → Holding Steady
MODERATE
58%
Tuesday, 28th July 2026 Case Verdict
2
Filing on Persib Bandung to win
DPMM 20%
Draw 30%
Persib Bandung 50%
H Fair Odds5
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds2
Implied Prob74.6%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-16.6%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBDPMM<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<P<<<<<<B<<<<<<<<<36460F1C44DFB7001012M7001019<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 29 Jul 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
2 — Persib Bandung to win
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals70%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
DPMM vs Persib Bandung Competition: Indonesia President Cup Date: Tuesday, 28th July 2026 KO: 1:30 pm Pick: 2 (Persib Bandung to win) Odds: 1.34 Confidence: 58% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Ledger Ref: 36460F1C4
Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
DPMM
Metric
Persib Bandung
1.2
Goals For / Game
1.7
2.2
Goals Against / Game
0.8
10%
Clean Sheets
50%
1-3-6
W — D — L
7-3-0
Win Rate
10%
70%
3
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
D0
0-0 5.2%
0-1 10.2%
0-2 10.0%
0-3 6.5%
0-4 3.2%
0-5 1.2%
D1
1-0 5.2%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 10.0%
1-3 6.5%
1-4 3.2%
1-5 1.2%
D2
2-0 2.6%
2-1 5.1%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.6%
2-5 0.6%
D3
3-0 0.9%
3-1 1.7%
3-2 1.7%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.2%
D4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.4%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.1%
D5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(10.2%) 0-2(10.0%) 1-2(10.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing D=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
DPMM Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Persib Bandung Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
DPMM
Overall
1.9
Scoring
4.0
Defence
2.7
Persib Bandung
Overall
7.9
Scoring
5.7
Defence
7.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Home Win & BTTS No 4%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 35%
Away Win & BTTS No 29%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 6%
Home Win & Under 2.5 3%
Draw & Over 2.5 19%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 45%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
DPMM
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L
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L
Persib Bandung
25.07.26PRE
Persib Bandung1
Arema FC0
W
23.05.26SL
Persib Bandung0
Persijap Jepara0
D
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PSM Makassar1
Persib Bandung2
W
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Persija Jakarta1
Persib Bandung2
W
04.05.26SL
Persib Bandung1
PSIM Yogyakarta0
W
30.04.26SL
FC Bhayangkara2
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W
24.04.26SL
Persib Bandung0
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D
20.04.26SL
Dewa United2
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D
12.04.26SL
Persib Bandung3
Bali United2
W
05.04.26SL
Semen Padang0
Persib Bandung2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Tuesday, 28th July 2026, DPMM host Persib Bandung at Sultan Hassanal Bolkiah Stadium (B. S. Begawan) in Indonesia President Cup. Our analysis desk recommends Persib Bandung to win as the standout selection.

DPMM arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Persib Bandung are travelling well, with a record of 7W 3D 0L across 10 matches.

Our verdict: persib bandung to win at odds of 1.34 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Indonesia President Cup fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 2 draws, 3 losses from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at Sultan Hassanal Bolkiah Stadium (B. S. Begawan), and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 2 at @1.34, a call the model rates at roughly 20,30,50%. Things get underway at 1:30 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 29 Jul 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for DPMM vs Persib Bandung?
Our selection is 2 — Persib Bandung to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is DPMM's current form?
DPMM have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Persib Bandung been performing recently?
Persib Bandung have recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game.
⚠️
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