Fixture Case File · Ref V ⚽
D

Dinamo Batumi

Home Side
W W W W D
7W 2D 1L ▲ Trending Up
VS
—
4:00 pm
—
Batumi Arena (Batumi)
M
Meshakhte Tkibuli
Away Side
W L L D L
2W 3D 5L ▲ Trending Up
⚑
MODERATE
64%
Sunday, 1st November 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Dinamo Batumi to win
Implied Prob72.5%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-8.5%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBD<<<<<<B<<<<<<<<<<<<<<M<<<<<<<<<T<<<<<<1EA0B222E4DFB2611012M2611019<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 1 Nov 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
⚔
Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Dinamo Batumi
Metric
Meshakhte Tkibuli
2.2
Goals For / Game
0.9
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.3
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
7-2-1
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate
70%
20%
2.7
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
D0
0-0 7.1%
0-1 6.4%
0-2 2.9%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
D1
1-0 12.4%
1-1 11.1%
1-2 5.0%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
D2
2-0 10.8%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 4.4%
2-3 1.3%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
D3
3-0 6.3%
3-1 5.7%
3-2 2.6%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
D4
4-0 2.8%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
D5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(12.4%) 2-0(10.8%) 2-1(9.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing D=Home goals ↓   M=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Dinamo Batumi
Overall
7.6 —
Scoring
7.3 —
Defence
7.0 —
Meshakhte Tkibuli
Overall
2.9 —
Scoring
3.0 —
Defence
5.7 —
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 31%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 34%
Home Win & Under 2.5 27%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Dinamo Batumi
28.10.26CUP
Dinamo Batumi3
Dila Gori1
W
24.10.26EL1
Dinamo Batumi3
Samgurali0
W
17.10.26EL1
Gagra1
Dinamo Batumi3
W
11.10.26EL1
Dinamo Batumi1
Dinamo Tbilisi0
W
02.10.26CF
Noah2
Dinamo Batumi2
D
20.09.26EL1
Dinamo Batumi3
Torpedo Kutaisi2
W
13.09.26EL1
Dila Gori2
Dinamo Batumi2
D
09.09.26EL1
Dinamo Batumi2
Iberia 19990
W
04.09.26EL1
Rustavi0
Dinamo Batumi1
W
30.08.26EL1
Dinamo Batumi3
Spaeri0
W
Meshakhte Tkibuli
24.10.26EL1
Meshakhte Tkibuli2
Dila Gori1
W
17.10.26EL1
Samgurali2
Meshakhte Tkibuli0
L
10.10.26EL1
Meshakhte Tkibuli1
Iberia 19992
L
19.09.26EL1
Gagra1
Meshakhte Tkibuli1
D
14.09.26EL1
Meshakhte Tkibuli0
Rustavi1
L
10.09.26EL1
Dinamo Tbilisi0
Meshakhte Tkibuli0
D
05.09.26EL1
Meshakhte Tkibuli2
Spaeri2
D
31.08.26EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi0
Meshakhte Tkibuli2
W
21.08.26EL1
Meshakhte Tkibuli0
Dinamo Batumi1
L
16.08.26EL1
Dila Gori3
Meshakhte Tkibuli1
L
Dinamo Batumi (Home)
28.10.26CUP
Dinamo Batumi3
Dila Gori1
W
24.10.26EL1
Dinamo Batumi3
Samgurali0
W
11.10.26EL1
Dinamo Batumi1
Dinamo Tbilisi0
W
20.09.26EL1
Dinamo Batumi3
Torpedo Kutaisi2
W
09.09.26EL1
Dinamo Batumi2
Iberia 19990
W
30.08.26EL1
Dinamo Batumi3
Spaeri0
W
08.08.26EL1
Dinamo Batumi2
Gagra2
D
02.08.26CUP
Dinamo Batumi1
Telavi0
W
12.06.26EL1
Dinamo Batumi3
Dila Gori2
W
25.05.26EL1
Dinamo Batumi1
Rustavi0
W
Meshakhte Tkibuli (Away)
17.10.26EL1
Samgurali2
Meshakhte Tkibuli0
L
19.09.26EL1
Gagra1
Meshakhte Tkibuli1
D
10.09.26EL1
Dinamo Tbilisi0
Meshakhte Tkibuli0
D
31.08.26EL1
Torpedo Kutaisi0
Meshakhte Tkibuli2
W
16.08.26EL1
Dila Gori3
Meshakhte Tkibuli1
L
01.08.26CUP
Samgurali1
Meshakhte Tkibuli0
L
25.07.26CUP
Gonio1
Meshakhte Tkibuli2
W
23.06.26EL1
Iberia 19992
Meshakhte Tkibuli1
L
13.06.26EL1
Rustavi1
Meshakhte Tkibuli0
L
25.05.26EL1
Spaeri2
Meshakhte Tkibuli1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Sunday, 1st November 2026, Dinamo Batumi host Meshakhte Tkibuli at Batumi Arena (Batumi) in Georgia Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga. Our analysis desk recommends Dinamo Batumi to win as the standout selection.

Dinamo Batumi arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Meshakhte Tkibuli are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 3D 5L across 10 matches.

Our verdict: dinamo batumi to win at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Before any bet goes on, one question is worth asking: what exactly is this price paying me for? A bookmaker’s odds are sharp but not flawless. They blend a model, the public’s money, and a margin — and somewhere in that blend, gaps open up. This Georgia Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga fixture is a hunt for one of those gaps.

The hosts come in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, which is the anchor the market has wrapped its line around. We push past the anchor. Is this a home side currently converting their dominance into goals, grinding out narrow wins, or leaking results they ought to be banking? Each pattern carries a wildly different implication for what is likely at Batumi Arena (Batumi), and only the recent run tells you which one applies.

The visitors answer with 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. The away record is the part casual bettors underweight most. A team quietly accumulating points on the road over recent weeks is a genuinely different animal from one whose seasonal away tally was banked early and has since dried up. We treat the recent away form as the live signal it is.

Weigh the two and the value crystallises. Our read is 1 at @1.38, a call the model rates at roughly 59. Things get underway at 4:00 pm.

That is the play, and the thinking that produced it. We have broken down a full card of fixtures today — worth a browse before you settle on your final selections, because the smart slips are usually built from more than one good read.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 1 Nov 2026
❓
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Dinamo Batumi vs Meshakhte Tkibuli?
Our selection is 1 — Dinamo Batumi to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 64%.
What is Dinamo Batumi's current form?
Dinamo Batumi have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Meshakhte Tkibuli been performing recently?
Meshakhte Tkibuli have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game.
⚠️
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