WON Case WON CS Sfaxien 2-0 Olympique Beja
Fixture Case File · Ref V
C

CS Sfaxien

Home Side
D W W D W
7W 3D 0L ▼ Trending Down
VS
2-0
O
Olympique Beja
Away Side
W L L W L
5W 1D 4L ▲ Trending Up
MODERATE
51%
Sunday, 3rd May 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on CS Sfaxien to win
CS Sfaxien 50%
Draw 30%
Olympique Beja 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob75.8%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-24.8%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBCS<S<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<O<<<<<<<<<B<<<<<<AA85FC5D14DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 4 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — CS Sfaxien to win
1.32
Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No70% CS Sfaxien Clean Sheet70%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
CS Sfaxien vs Olympique Beja Competition: Tunisian League Date: Sunday, 3rd May 2026 Pick: 1 (CS Sfaxien to win) Odds: 1.32 Confidence: 51% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: BTTS — No (70%) Also: CS Sfaxien Clean Sheet (70%) Ledger Ref: AA85FC5D1
Head to Head
Record
3
CS Sfaxien
3
Draws
4
Olympique Beja
10
Meetings
1.4
Avg Goals
20%
BTTS
20%
Over 2.5
Against Filing CS Sfaxien won 3 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
CS Sfaxien
Metric
Olympique Beja
1.3
Goals For / Game
1
0.3
Goals Against / Game
1
70%
Clean Sheets
40%
7-3-0
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
70%
50%
1.8
Avg Goals
55%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
O0
O1
O2
O3
O4
O5
C0
0-0 16.5%
0-1 10.7%
0-2 3.5%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
C1
1-0 19.0%
1-1 12.4%
1-2 4.0%
1-3 0.9%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
C2
2-0 10.9%
2-1 7.1%
2-2 2.3%
2-3 0.5%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
C3
3-0 4.2%
3-1 2.7%
3-2 0.9%
3-3 0.2%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 1.2%
4-1 0.8%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(19.0%) 2-0(10.9%) 2-1(7.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing C=Home goals ↓   O=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
CS Sfaxien Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Olympique Beja Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
CS Sfaxien
Overall
7.9
Scoring
4.3
Defence
9.0
Olympique Beja
Overall
5.3
Scoring
3.3
Defence
6.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 25%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 15%
Home Win & Under 2.5 35%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 25%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
05.11.25LP1
Olympique Beja0
CS Sfaxien1
27.02.25LP1
Olympique Beja1
CS Sfaxien2
03.11.24LP1
CS Sfaxien0
Olympique Beja0
11.06.23LP1
Olympique Beja2
CS Sfaxien0
23.04.23LP1
CS Sfaxien0
Olympique Beja0
26.02.23CUP
CS Sfaxien2
Olympique Beja (aet)3
02.06.21CUP
CS Sfaxien1
Olympique Beja0
14.04.21LP1
CS Sfaxien0
Olympique Beja0
16.02.21LP1
Olympique Beja1
CS Sfaxien0
09.02.14LP1
Olympique Beja1
CS Sfaxien0
Recent Form
CS Sfaxien
30.04.26LP1
Esperance Tunis0
CS Sfaxien0
D
26.04.26LP1
CS Sfaxien1
Stade Tunisien0
W
19.04.26CUP
CS Sfaxien2
Jendouba Sport1
W
12.04.26LP1
Soliman1
CS Sfaxien1
D
05.04.26LP1
CS Sfaxien3
JS Kairouan0
W
22.03.26CUP
JS Kairouan0
CS Sfaxien - W (aet)1
07.03.26LP1
Monastir0
CS Sfaxien2
W
01.03.26LP1
CS Sfaxien1
AS Gabes0
W
15.02.26LP1
Ben Guerdane0
CS Sfaxien1
W
08.02.26LP1
CS Sfaxien1
Club Africain1
D
Olympique Beja
30.04.26LP1
Olympique Beja1
CA Bizertin0
W
26.04.26LP1
Zarzis2
Olympique Beja0
L
18.04.26CUP
PS Sakiet Eddaier2
Olympique Beja - L (aet)1
11.04.26LP1
Olympique Beja3
Etoile Sahel1
W
03.04.26LP1
AS Marsa1
Olympique Beja0
L
22.03.26CUP
Mornag1
Olympique Beja - W (aet)2
07.03.26LP1
Metlaoui0
Olympique Beja0
D
01.03.26LP1
Olympique Beja0
Esperance Tunis3
L
13.02.26LP1
Stade Tunisien0
Olympique Beja2
W
07.02.26LP1
Olympique Beja1
Soliman0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Sunday, 3rd May 2026, CS Sfaxien host Olympique Beja in Tunisian League. Our analysis desk recommends CS Sfaxien to win as the standout selection.

CS Sfaxien arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Olympique Beja are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour CS Sfaxien, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Olympique Beja's 4, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 20% of those meetings.

Our verdict: cs sfaxien to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Tunisian League game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.32. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 4 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for CS Sfaxien vs Olympique Beja?
Our selection is 1 — CS Sfaxien to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 51%.
What is CS Sfaxien's current form?
CS Sfaxien have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Olympique Beja been performing recently?
Olympique Beja have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
CS Sfaxien lead with 3 wins versus Olympique Beja's 4, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
⚠️
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