WON Case WON Chengdu Rongcheng 4-0 Zhejiang Professional
Fixture Case File · Ref V
C

Chengdu Rongcheng

Home Side
W W W W D
6W 2D 2L ▼ Trending Down
VS
4-0
Z
Zhejiang Professional
Away Side
L D L L W
2W 4D 4L ▼ Trending Down
MODERATE
53%
Saturday, 25th April 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Chengdu Rongcheng to win
Chengdu Rongcheng 50%
Draw 30%
Zhejiang Professional 20%
H Fair Odds2
D Fair Odds3.33
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob71.9%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-18.9%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBC<<<<<<<R<<<<<<<<<<<<<Z<<<<<<<<P<<<<<<<CB62D399C4DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 25 Apr 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Head to Head
Record
5
Chengdu Rongcheng
3
Draws
2
Zhejiang Professional
10
Meetings
3.2
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Neutral Chengdu Rongcheng won 5 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Chengdu Rongcheng
Metric
Zhejiang Professional
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.2
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.5
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-2-2
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate
60%
20%
3.1
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
Z0
Z1
Z2
Z3
Z4
Z5
C0
0-0 4.7%
0-1 5.7%
0-2 3.4%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
C1
1-0 8.8%
1-1 10.5%
1-2 6.3%
1-3 2.5%
1-4 0.8%
1-5 0.2%
C2
2-0 8.1%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 5.8%
2-3 2.3%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
C3
3-0 5.0%
3-1 6.0%
3-2 3.6%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
C4
4-0 2.3%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
C5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.7%) 1-0(8.8%) 2-0(8.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing C=Home goals ↓   Z=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Chengdu Rongcheng Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Zhejiang Professional Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Chengdu Rongcheng
Overall
6.6
Scoring
7.3
Defence
6.0
Zhejiang Professional
Overall
3.2
Scoring
4.0
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 16%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 30%
Home Win & Under 2.5 25%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 12%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
26.09.25SL
Zhejiang Professional3
Chengdu Rongcheng3
05.05.25SL
Chengdu Rongcheng2
Zhejiang Professional1
28.07.24SL
Zhejiang Professional1
Chengdu Rongcheng3
10.04.24SL
Chengdu Rongcheng3
Zhejiang Professional0
29.07.23SL
Chengdu Rongcheng1
Zhejiang Professional2
30.04.23SL
Zhejiang Professional0
Chengdu Rongcheng2
15.12.22SL
Zhejiang Professional1
Chengdu Rongcheng1
24.10.22SL
Chengdu Rongcheng1
Zhejiang Professional1
18.12.21L1
Chengdu Rongcheng1
Zhejiang Professional2
30.11.21L1
Zhejiang Professional1
Chengdu Rongcheng3
Recent Form
Chengdu Rongcheng
21.04.26SL
Chengdu Rongcheng2
Yunnan Yukun1
W
17.04.26SL
Wuhan Three Towns0
Chengdu Rongcheng1
W
12.04.26SL
Beijing Guoan1
Chengdu Rongcheng2
W
03.04.26SL
Chengdu Rongcheng5
Qingdao West Coast1
W
21.03.26SL
Chongqing Tonglianglong3
Chengdu Rongcheng3
D
15.03.26SL
Chengdu Rongcheng1
Qingdao Hainiu0
W
06.03.26SL
Chengdu Rongcheng5
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1
W
17.02.26CL
Machida3
Chengdu Rongcheng2
L
10.02.26CL
Chengdu Rongcheng0
Buriram1
L
26.01.26CF
Dynamo Moscow1
Chengdu Rongcheng1
D
Zhejiang Professional
21.04.26SL
Wuhan Three Towns2
Zhejiang Professional0
L
17.04.26SL
Zhejiang Professional0
Beijing Guoan0
D
10.04.26SL
Dalian Yingbo3
Zhejiang Professional0
L
05.04.26SL
Zhejiang Professional0
Chongqing Tonglianglong1
L
20.03.26SL
Qingdao Hainiu1
Zhejiang Professional4
W
14.03.26SL
Zhejiang Professional1
Shanghai Shenhua1
D
08.03.26SL
Zhejiang Professional2
Qingdao West Coast0
W
13.02.26CF
Zhejiang Professional2
FC Astana2
D
05.02.26CF
Akron Togliatti3
Zhejiang Professional1
L
22.11.25SL
Zhejiang Professional2
Qingdao Hainiu2
D
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 25th April 2026, Chengdu Rongcheng host Zhejiang Professional in China Super League. Our analysis desk recommends Chengdu Rongcheng to win as the standout selection.

Chengdu Rongcheng arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Zhejiang Professional are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 4D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Chengdu Rongcheng, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Zhejiang Professional's 2, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: chengdu rongcheng to win at odds of 1.39 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This China Super League game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.39. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 25 Apr 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Chengdu Rongcheng vs Zhejiang Professional?
Our selection is 1 — Chengdu Rongcheng to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Chengdu Rongcheng's current form?
Chengdu Rongcheng have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Zhejiang Professional been performing recently?
Zhejiang Professional have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Chengdu Rongcheng lead with 5 wins versus Zhejiang Professional's 2, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
⚠️
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