WON Case WON Anorthosis 2-0 Paralimni
Fixture Case File · Ref V
A

Anorthosis

Home Side
W D L W D
5W 4D 1L ▼ Trending Down
VS
2-0
P
Paralimni
Away Side
L L L W L
1W 0D 9L → Holding Steady
MODERATE
57%
Saturday, 2nd May 2026 Case Verdict
1
Filing on Anorthosis to win
Anorthosis 60%
Draw 20%
Paralimni 20%
H Fair Odds1.67
D Fair Odds5
A Fair Odds5
Implied Prob87%Bookmaker's implied odds
Case Edge-30%Overpriced
Kelly %0%Suggested bankroll %
Fixture Ledger Code
V<DFBA<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<P<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<8A78CAAAB4DFB2607272M2607279<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
DD
Case reviewed & signed off by DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst · Last checked 3 May 2026
✓ Data-Audited ✓ Independently Checked
Supporting Markets
Extras
Primary Filing
1 — Anorthosis to win
1.15
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Case Slip / Combo Builder
Anorthosis vs Paralimni Competition: Cyprus League Date: Saturday, 2nd May 2026 Pick: 1 (Anorthosis to win) Odds: 1.15 Confidence: 57% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Ledger Ref: 8A78CAAAB
Head to Head
Record
6
Anorthosis
3
Draws
1
Paralimni
10
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Filing Anorthosis won 6 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Anorthosis
Metric
Paralimni
1.3
Goals For / Game
0.7
0.6
Goals Against / Game
2.7
50%
Clean Sheets
0%
5-4-1
W — D — L
1-0-9
Win Rate
50%
10%
2.7
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
A0
0-0 7.1%
0-1 4.6%
0-2 1.5%
0-3 0.3%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
A1
1-0 14.1%
1-1 9.2%
1-2 3.0%
1-3 0.7%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
A2
2-0 14.1%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 3.0%
2-3 0.7%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
A3
3-0 9.4%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 2.0%
3-3 0.4%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 4.7%
4-1 3.1%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 1.9%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(14.1%) 2-0(14.1%) 3-0(9.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts filing A=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Anorthosis Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Paralimni Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Anorthosis
Overall
6.2
Scoring
4.3
Defence
8.0
Paralimni
Overall
1.0
Scoring
2.3
Defence
1.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 28%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses the Kelly Criterion at your selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
🔎 How we calculate confidence, edge & Kelly %

Our confidence score blends three inputs: the market-implied signal from public odds, the head-to-head record between these two sides, and each team's recent form (weighted by sample size). No single input can move the score more than 18 points from the market signal, which keeps the model grounded.

  • Case Edge compares our confidence against the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds you enter — a positive number suggests the price may be generous relative to our model.
  • Kelly % is a standard bankroll-management formula, not a guarantee — it sizes a stake relative to perceived edge and odds.
  • Score matrix uses a Poisson distribution built from each side's recent scoring and conceding rates.

All models are statistical estimates, not certainties. Treat every figure on this page as one input into your own decision, not as a promise of an outcome.

📐 Editorial Standards for This Case File
  • Every fixture is cross-checked against at least three data points: recent form, head-to-head history, and market odds — no case is filed on a single signal alone.
  • Confidence and edge figures are generated by a documented formula (see methodology above), never assigned arbitrarily.
  • Case files are reviewed by a named analyst before publication and re-checked closer to kickoff for team news or lineup changes.
  • Settled cases are logged publicly with WON / LOST / VOID status — nothing is quietly deleted or hidden after the fact.
  • Corrections to a published case (updated odds, lineup news, postponements) are recorded in the update log below with a timestamp.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
28.02.26CL
Anorthosis3
Paralimni0
23.11.25CL
Paralimni2
Anorthosis3
05.05.25CL
Anorthosis1
Paralimni2
24.02.25CL
Paralimni2
Anorthosis2
24.11.24CL
Anorthosis3
Paralimni2
29.05.23CL
Anorthosis1
Paralimni0
23.04.23CL
Paralimni0
Anorthosis0
23.01.23CL
Anorthosis1
Paralimni0
19.01.23CUP
Anorthosis1
Paralimni (aet)0
15.10.22CL
Paralimni1
Anorthosis1
Recent Form
Anorthosis
27.04.26CL
AEL Limassol0
Anorthosis1
W
19.04.26CL
Anorthosis1
Omonia Aradippou1
D
05.04.26CL
Achnas1
Anorthosis0
L
21.03.26CL
Anorthosis3
Chloraka2
W
15.03.26CL
Anorthosis1
Apollon1
D
08.03.26CL
APOEL0
Anorthosis2
W
28.02.26CL
Anorthosis3
Paralimni0
W
21.02.26CL
Pafos0
Anorthosis0
D
13.02.26CL
Anorthosis1
Krasava1
D
09.02.26CL
Aris0
Anorthosis1
W
Paralimni
25.04.26CL
Paralimni1
Chloraka2
L
17.04.26CL
AEL Limassol2
Paralimni1
L
04.04.26CL
Paralimni1
Ol. Nicosia3
L
20.03.26CL
Omonia Aradippou1
Paralimni2
W
16.03.26CL
Krasava4
Paralimni0
L
08.03.26CL
Paralimni0
Aris4
L
28.02.26CL
Anorthosis3
Paralimni0
L
20.02.26CL
Paralimni0
AEL Limassol2
L
14.02.26CL
Omonia3
Paralimni0
L
11.02.26CUP
APOEL3
Paralimni2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Case Notes

On Saturday, 2nd May 2026, Anorthosis host Paralimni in Cyprus League. Our analysis desk recommends Anorthosis to win as the standout selection.

Anorthosis arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Paralimni are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 0D 9L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Anorthosis, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Paralimni's 1, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: anorthosis to win at odds of 1.15 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If you want to actually make money on football instead of just throwing it away, you have to trust the stats. This Cyprus League game is a perfect chance to do exactly that. Forget about the fan hype and focus entirely on how these teams are actually playing on the grass.

We always check the home team first to set the stage. Their overall season gives us a starting point, but their recent matches tell us if they are hot or cold right now in the moments that matter. Then we turn our attention to the away side.

We compare what they have done all year with their last few weeks to see if the bookies are offering a really good deal by mistake. Looking at their past matchups against each other is just as important. Head-to-head records often reveal playing styles that just do not mix well for one team, creating a natural advantage.

Taking those past games and adding today’s form makes picking a winner so much easier. Right now, the smartest bet on the board is 1, especially with the odds sitting nicely at @1.15. Once the referee starts the game, the stats step aside and the players take over.

The final score will tell us if we got it right. Check our other daily tips for more winning ideas.

Source: Recent fixture results Source: Head-to-head archive Source: Public market odds Model: Poisson score distribution
DD
DailyForebet Verification Desk
Senior Fixture Analyst
Cross-checks every fixture against form, head-to-head and market data before a case file is closed for publication.
Reviewed on 3 May 2026
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Anorthosis vs Paralimni?
Our selection is 1 — Anorthosis to win, priced at approximately 1.15. Tip confidence rating: 57%.
What is Anorthosis's current form?
Anorthosis have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Paralimni been performing recently?
Paralimni have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Anorthosis lead with 6 wins versus Paralimni's 1, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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